Conference League · Round of 16 March 19, 2026 21:00

Strasbourg

#1 · 16 pts

1 – 1

Final score

HNK Rijeka

#16 · 9 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Strasbourg a 47% win probability (draw 23%, HNK Rijeka 29%). The final result was Strasbourg 1–1 HNK Rijeka. In 1 previous meetings, Strasbourg have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for HNK Rijeka.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

2

1.04

Actual xG

1.01

57%

Possession

43%

4

Corners

8

Pre-match prediction

47.32%

Strasbourg

23.09%

X ←

29.59%

HNK

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.09% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Strasbourg

2.35

1.04

-1.31

HNK

2.20

1.01

-1.19

xG dominance was balanced (1.04 – 1.01). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Strasbourg	6	16
2	Raków Częstochowa	6	14
3	AEK Athens FC	6	13
4	Sparta Praha	6	13
5	Rayo Vallecano	6	13
6	Shakhtar Donetsk	6	13
7	FSV Mainz 05	6	13
8	AEK Larnaca	6	12
9	Lausanne	6	11
10	Crystal Palace	6	10
11	Lech Poznan	6	10
12	Samsunspor	6	10
13	Celje	6	10
14	AZ Alkmaar	6	10
15	Fiorentina	6	9
16	HNK Rijeka	6	9
17	Jagiellonia	6	9
18	Omonia Nicosia	6	8
19	FC Noah	6	8
20	Drita	6	8
21	KuPS	6	7
22	Shkendija	6	7
23	Zrinjski	6	7
24	Sigma Olomouc	6	7
25	Universitatea Craiova	6	7
26	Lincoln Red Imps FC	6	7
27	Dynamo Kyiv	6	6
28	Legia Warszawa	6	6
29	Slovan Bratislava	6	6
30	Breidablik	6	5
31	Shamrock Rovers	6	4
32	BK Hacken	6	3
33	Hamrun Spartans	6	3
34	Shelbourne	6	2
35	Aberdeen	6	2
36	Rapid Vienna	6	1