Giovanni Reyna
(ast. Gessime Yassine)
17'
77'
(ast. Ousmane Dembélé)
Ilya Zabarnyi
85'
Ousmane Dembélé
90'+3
(ast. Ferrán Torres)
Désiré Doue
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 43% win probability (draw 26%, Strasbourg 29%). The final result was Strasbourg 1–3 Paris Saint Germain. In 2 previous meetings, Strasbourg have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Paris Saint Germain.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
18
8
Shots on target
7
1.05
Actual xG
2.68
4
Saves
7
27%
Possession
73%
3
Corners
6
18
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Giovanni Reyna
· ast. Gessime Yassine
17'
53'
Nuno Mendes
/
Lucas Digne
54'
Désiré Doue
/
Dro Fernández
54'
Vitinha
/
Lucas Beraldo
Fábio Baldé
/ Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
60'
63'
Achraf Hakimi
/
João Neves
63'
Ousmane Dembélé
/
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
70'
72'
(missed pen.)
Ousmane Dembélé⚽
Pape Demba Diop
/ Samir El-Mourabet
75'
Conrad Harder
76'
77'
ast. Ousmane Dembélé ·
Ilya Zabarnyi⚽
Dario Essugo
78'
Gessime Yassine
/ Yaya Dieme
83'
Conrad Harder
/ Jacobo Ortega
83'
85'
Ousmane Dembélé⚽
90'+3
ast. Ferrán Torres ·
Désiré Doue⚽
Pre-match prediction
29.4%
Strasbourg
26.8%
X
43.81%
Paris ←
we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain)
43.81%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.85
1.05
-0.8
2.72
2.68
-0.04
Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (2.68 vs 1.05).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
F. Jörgensen
G
F. Jörgensen
G
36
Oso
D
Oso
D
31
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
D
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
D
4
J. Mitchell
D
J. Mitchell
D
16
G. Antwi
D
G. Antwi
D
21
P. Diop
75'
M
P. Diop
75'
M
14
Dário Essugo
M
Dário Essugo
M
19
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé
60'
M
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé
60'
M
10
G. Reyna
1 ⚽
M
G. Reyna
1 ⚽
M
80
Gessime Yassine
1 👟
83'
M
Gessime Yassine
1 👟
83'
M
40
C. Harder
83'
F
C. Harder
83'
F
Bench
23
Diogo Sousa
M
Diogo Sousa
M
30
J. Ortega
7'
F
J. Ortega
7'
F
24
L. Høgsberg
D
L. Høgsberg
D
12
M. Piekutowski
G
M. Piekutowski
G
7
S. Amo-Ameyaw
30'
F
S. Amo-Ameyaw
30'
F
29
S. El Mourabet
15'
M
S. El Mourabet
15'
M
28
Tyrese Noubissie
M
Tyrese Noubissie
M
43
Y. Becker
D
Y. Becker
D
39
M. Safonov
G
M. Safonov
G
12
L. Digne
53'
D
L. Digne
53'
D
21
L. Hernández
D
L. Hernández
D
6
I. Zabarnyi
1 ⚽
D
I. Zabarnyi
1 ⚽
D
33
W. Zaïre-Emery
D
W. Zaïre-Emery
D
4
Beraldo
54'
M
Beraldo
54'
M
27
Pedro Fernández
54'
M
Pedro Fernández
54'
M
87
João Neves
63'
M
João Neves
63'
M
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
63'
F
K. Kvaratskhelia
63'
F
9
Ferran Torres
1 👟
F
Ferran Torres
1 👟
F
11
M. Akliouche
F
M. Akliouche
F
Bench
2
A. Hakimi
27'
D
A. Hakimi
27'
D
14
D. Doué
1 ⚽
36'
F
D. Doué
1 ⚽
36'
F
8
Fabián Ruiz
M
Fabián Ruiz
M
30
L. Chevalier
G
L. Chevalier
G
22
M. Godts
F
M. Godts
F
25
Nuno Mendes
34'
D
Nuno Mendes
34'
D
10
O. Dembélé
1 ⚽
1 👟
27'
F
O. Dembélé
1 ⚽
1 👟
27'
F
17
Vitinha
36'
M
Vitinha
36'
M
51
W. Pacho
D
W. Pacho
D
Best on the pitch
M. Safonov
G · Paris
8.55
· 19 pass
O. Dembélé
F · Paris
8.04
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 13 pass
I. Zabarnyi
D · Paris
8.01
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 103 pass
D. Doué
F · Paris
7.78
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 18 pass
G. Reyna
M · Strasbourg
7.38
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 32 pass
Ferran Torres
F · Paris
7.27
1 👟
1 shots
· 10 pass
Strasbourg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Jörgensen | G | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Oso | D | 90 | 6.72 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Abdoul Karim Coulibaly | D | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Mitchell | D | 90 | 6.85 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Antwi | D | 90 | 7.08 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Diop | M | 75 | 6.43 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Dário Essugo | M | 90 | 6.18 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé | M | 60 | 6.32 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Reyna | M | 90 | 7.38 | 1 | — | 2 | 32 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| Gessime Yassine | M | 83 | 6.47 | — | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Harder | F | 83 | 6.85 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Ortega | F | 7 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Amo-Ameyaw | F | 30 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| S. El Mourabet | M | 15 | 6.03 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Safonov | G | 90 | 8.55 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Digne | D | 53 | 6.71 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Hernández | D | 90 | 6.76 | — | — | 1 | 84 | 80% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Zabarnyi | D | 90 | 8.01 | 1 | — | 1 | 103 | 98% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Zaïre-Emery | D | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 54% | 0 | — | — |
| Beraldo | M | 54 | 6.78 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Fernández | M | 54 | 7.16 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| João Neves | M | 63 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 60 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Kvaratskhelia | F | 63 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Ferran Torres | F | 90 | 7.27 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Akliouche | F | 90 | 6.32 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Hakimi | D | 27 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Doué | F | 36 | 7.78 | 1 | — | 4 | 18 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Nuno Mendes | D | 34 | 6.56 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Dembélé | F | 27 | 8.04 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Vitinha | M | 36 | 7.17 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
The final score was Strasbourg 1–3 Paris Saint Germain.
What did the model predict before Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Strasbourg win, 26% to a draw, and 43% to an Paris Saint Germain win.