S. Jatta
65'
(pen.)
10'
(ast. Danilo Soares)
D. Weixelbraun
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sturm Graz a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Austria Lustenau 30%). The final result was Sturm Graz 1–1 Austria Lustenau.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
6
1.67
Actual xG
0.73
5
Saves
2
64%
Possession
36%
10
Corners
8
16
Tackles
27
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
10'
ast. Danilo Soares ·
D. Weixelbraun⚽
S. Wlodarczyk
/ N. Weiper
46'
53'
L. Afrifa
⚽S. Jatta
(pen.)
65'
N. Weiper
66'
E. Soglo
/ L. Balbo
67'
67'
L. Jastremski
/
A. Gashi
S. Seidl
/ G. Mamageishvili
67'
73'
F. Gmeiner
77'
H. Ismailcebioglu
/
D. Weixelbraun
77'
S. Delaye
/
L. Afrifa
P. Petrovic
/ P. Koller
79'
S. Jatta
/ B. Beganovic
79'
88'
P. Grabher
/
D. Kacuri
89'
P. Benjamin
/
A. Verinac
G. Mamageishvili
90'+2
J. Gorenc Stankovic
90'+2
90'+5
H. Ismailcebioglu
90'+8
D. Schierl
Pre-match prediction
39.14%
Sturm
30.11%
X ←
30.75%
Austria
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.11%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.77
1.67
-0.1
1.32
0.73
-0.59
Sturm Graz dominated by xG (1.67 vs 0.73).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
A. Helac
G
A. Helac
G
18
Emran Soglo
67'
D
Emran Soglo
67'
D
5
A. Vallci
D
A. Vallci
D
21
P. Petrović
79'
D
P. Petrović
79'
D
28
J. Heil
D
J. Heil
D
19
S. Seidl
67'
M
S. Seidl
67'
M
39
Luca Weinhandl
M
Luca Weinhandl
M
4
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M
43
Jacob Peter Hödl
M
Jacob Peter Hödl
M
20
S. Jatta
1 ⚽
79'
F
S. Jatta
1 ⚽
79'
F
17
S. Włodarczyk
45'
F
S. Włodarczyk
45'
F
Bench
11
A. Kayombo
F
A. Kayombo
F
23
A. Malic
D
A. Malic
D
26
B. Beganović
11'
F
B. Beganović
11'
F
32
C. Wiener-Pucher
G
C. Wiener-Pucher
G
15
G. Mamageishvili
23'
M
G. Mamageishvili
23'
M
40
J. Halwachs
M
J. Halwachs
M
27
Luís Balbo
23'
D
Luís Balbo
23'
D
44
N. Weiper
45'
F
N. Weiper
45'
F
30
P. Koller
11'
D
P. Koller
11'
D
27
D. Schierl
G
D. Schierl
G
3
Danilo Soares
1 👟
D
Danilo Soares
1 👟
D
29
N. Pertlwieser
D
N. Pertlwieser
D
15
E. Chukwu
D
E. Chukwu
D
7
F. Gmeiner
D
F. Gmeiner
D
8
D. Kacuri
88'
M
D. Kacuri
88'
M
17
A. Gashi
67'
M
A. Gashi
67'
M
24
S. Diarra
M
S. Diarra
M
20
L. Afrifa
77'
M
L. Afrifa
77'
M
11
D. Weixelbraun
1 ⚽
77'
M
D. Weixelbraun
1 ⚽
77'
M
39
A. Verinac
89'
F
A. Verinac
89'
F
Bench
61
H. Ismailcebioglu
13'
M
H. Ismailcebioglu
13'
M
26
L. Ibertsberger
D
L. Ibertsberger
D
9
L. Jastremski
23'
F
L. Jastremski
23'
F
31
M. Maak
D
M. Maak
D
14
P. Benjamin
11'
F
P. Benjamin
11'
F
30
P. Böhm
G
P. Böhm
G
23
P. Grabher
12'
M
P. Grabher
12'
M
18
R. Voisine
D
R. Voisine
D
19
S. Delaye
13'
M
S. Delaye
13'
M
Best on the pitch
Danilo Soares
D · Austria
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 27 pass
Luca Weinhandl
M · Sturm
7.70
1 shots
· 50 pass
A. Vallci
D · Sturm
7.60
· 76 pass
N. Pertlwieser
D · Austria
7.50
· 13 pass
G. Mamageishvili
M · Sturm
7.20
· 13 pass
D. Weixelbraun
M · Austria
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 8 pass
Sturm Graz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Helac | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Emran Soglo | D | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Vallci | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 76 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Petrović | D | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Heil | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Seidl | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Luca Weinhandl | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 41% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Gorenc Stankovič | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 56% | — | 1 | — |
| Jacob Peter Hödl | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Jatta | F | 79 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| S. Włodarczyk | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| B. Beganović | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| G. Mamageishvili | M | 23 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luís Balbo | D | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| N. Weiper | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Koller | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
Austria Lustenau — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Schierl | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 13% | — | — | 1 |
| Danilo Soares | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 24% | 8 | — | — |
| N. Pertlwieser | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Chukwu | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Gmeiner | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Kacuri | M | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Gashi | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Diarra | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Afrifa | M | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Weixelbraun | M | 77 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 8 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Verinac | F | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Ismailcebioglu | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Jastremski | F | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Benjamin | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Grabher | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Delaye | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau?
The final score was Sturm Graz 1–1 Austria Lustenau.
What did the model predict before Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Sturm Graz win, 30% to a draw, and 30% to an Austria Lustenau win.