S. Jatta
65'
(pen.)
10'
(ast. Danilo Soares)
D. Weixelbraun
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sturm Graz a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Austria Lustenau 30%). The final result was Sturm Graz 1–1 Austria Lustenau.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
6
1.67
Actual xG
0.73
5
Saves
2
64%
Possession
36%
10
Corners
8
16
Tackles
27
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
10'
ast. Danilo Soares ·
D. Weixelbraun⚽
S. Wlodarczyk
/ N. Weiper
46'
53'
L. Afrifa
⚽S. Jatta
(pen.)
65'
N. Weiper
66'
E. Soglo
/ L. Balbo
67'
67'
L. Jastremski
/
A. Gashi
S. Seidl
/ G. Mamageishvili
67'
73'
F. Gmeiner
77'
H. Ismailcebioglu
/
D. Weixelbraun
77'
S. Delaye
/
L. Afrifa
P. Petrovic
/ P. Koller
79'
S. Jatta
/ B. Beganovic
79'
88'
P. Grabher
/
D. Kacuri
89'
P. Benjamin
/
A. Verinac
G. Mamageishvili
90'+2
J. Gorenc Stankovic
90'+2
90'+5
H. Ismailcebioglu
90'+8
D. Schierl
Pre-match prediction
39.14%
Sturm
30.11%
X ←
30.75%
Austria
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.11%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.77
1.67
-0.1
1.32
0.73
-0.59
Sturm Graz dominated by xG (1.67 vs 0.73).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Ammar Helac
G
Ammar Helac
G
18
Emran Soglo
67'
D
Emran Soglo
67'
D
5
A. Vallci
D
A. Vallci
D
21
Petar Petrović
79'
D
Petar Petrović
79'
D
28
Jurgen Heil
D
Jurgen Heil
D
19
S. Seidl
67'
M
S. Seidl
67'
M
39
Luca Weinhandl
M
Luca Weinhandl
M
4
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M
43
Jacob Hödl
M
Jacob Hödl
M
20
S. Jatta
1 ⚽
79'
F
S. Jatta
1 ⚽
79'
F
17
S. Włodarczyk
45'
F
S. Włodarczyk
45'
F
Bench
23
Arjan Malić
D
Arjan Malić
D
11
Axel Kayombo
F
Axel Kayombo
F
26
Belmin Beganović
11'
F
Belmin Beganović
11'
F
32
Christoph Wiener-Pucher
G
Christoph Wiener-Pucher
G
15
Gizo Mamageishvili
23'
M
Gizo Mamageishvili
23'
M
40
Julian Halwachs
M
Julian Halwachs
M
27
Luís Balbo
23'
D
Luís Balbo
23'
D
44
N. Weiper
45'
F
N. Weiper
45'
F
30
Paul Koller
11'
D
Paul Koller
11'
D
27
D. Schierl
G
D. Schierl
G
3
Danilo Soares
1 👟
D
Danilo Soares
1 👟
D
29
Niklas Pertlwieser
D
Niklas Pertlwieser
D
15
Chukwu Emmanuel
D
Chukwu Emmanuel
D
7
F. Gmeiner
D
F. Gmeiner
D
8
Dion Kacuri
88'
M
Dion Kacuri
88'
M
17
Albin Gashi
67'
M
Albin Gashi
67'
M
24
Seydou Diarra
M
Seydou Diarra
M
20
Lord Afrifa
77'
M
Lord Afrifa
77'
M
11
D. Weixelbraun
1 ⚽
77'
M
D. Weixelbraun
1 ⚽
77'
M
39
A. Verinac
89'
F
A. Verinac
89'
F
Bench
61
Haris Ismailcebioglu
13'
M
Haris Ismailcebioglu
13'
M
9
Lenn Jastremski
23'
F
Lenn Jastremski
23'
F
26
Lukas Ibertsberger
D
Lukas Ibertsberger
D
31
Matthias Maak
D
Matthias Maak
D
30
Phillip Bohm
G
Phillip Bohm
G
23
Pius Grabher
12'
M
Pius Grabher
12'
M
14
Precious Benjamin
11'
F
Precious Benjamin
11'
F
18
Robin Voisine
D
Robin Voisine
D
19
Sacha Delaye
13'
M
Sacha Delaye
13'
M
Best on the pitch
Danilo Soares
D · Austria
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 27 pass
Luca Weinhandl
M · Sturm
7.70
1 shots
· 50 pass
A. Vallci
D · Sturm
7.60
· 76 pass
Niklas Pertlwieser
D · Austria
7.50
· 13 pass
Gizo Mamageishvili
M · Sturm
7.20
· 13 pass
D. Weixelbraun
M · Austria
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 8 pass
Sturm Graz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ammar Helac | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Emran Soglo | D | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Vallci | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 76 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| Petar Petrović | D | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Jurgen Heil | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Seidl | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Luca Weinhandl | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 41% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Gorenc Stankovič | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 56% | — | 1 | — |
| Jacob Hödl | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Jatta | F | 79 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| S. Włodarczyk | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Belmin Beganović | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Gizo Mamageishvili | M | 23 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luís Balbo | D | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| N. Weiper | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Paul Koller | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
Austria Lustenau — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Schierl | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 13% | — | — | 1 |
| Danilo Soares | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 24% | 8 | — | — |
| Niklas Pertlwieser | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Chukwu Emmanuel | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Gmeiner | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dion Kacuri | M | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Albin Gashi | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Seydou Diarra | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Lord Afrifa | M | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Weixelbraun | M | 77 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 8 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Verinac | F | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Haris Ismailcebioglu | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Lenn Jastremski | F | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Pius Grabher | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Precious Benjamin | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sacha Delaye | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau?
The final score was Sturm Graz 1–1 Austria Lustenau.
What did the model predict before Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Sturm Graz win, 30% to a draw, and 30% to an Austria Lustenau win.