Bundesliga
· Championship Group - 29
April 26, 2026 19:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Sturm Graz, result Pareggio
P. Koller
(ast. G. Mamageishvili)
85'
54'
(ast. Lee Tae-Seok)
T. Plavotic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sturm Graz a 61% win probability (draw 20%, Austria Vienna 17%). The final result was Sturm Graz 1–1 Austria Vienna. In 3 previous meetings, Sturm Graz have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Austria Vienna.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
3
1.08
Actual xG
1.13
2
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
4
Corners
3
15
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
54'
ast. Lee Tae-Seok ·
T. Plavotic⚽
64'
F. Wustinger
/
P. Maybach
S. Jatta
/ A. Kayombo
67'
M. Malone
/ R. Fosso
67'
A. Kayombo
70'
77'
V. Markovic
/
S. Saljic
78'
J. Eggestein
/
M. Fischer
80'
K. Boateng
E. Karic
/ R. Wilson
81'
E. Aiwu
/ J. Gazibegovic
81'
⚽P. Koller
· ast. G. Mamageishvili
85'
90'+1
M. Schablas
/
Lee Tae-Seok
90'+1
J. Handl
/
Lee Kang-Hee
90'+3
J. Eggestein
J. Gazibegovic
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
61.9%
Sturm
20.31%
X ←
17.79%
Austria
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.31%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.29
1.08
-1.21
1.04
1.13
+0.09
xG dominance was balanced (1.08 – 1.13).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
53
Daniil Khudyakov
G
Daniil Khudyakov
G
30
Paul Koller
1 ⚽
D
Paul Koller
1 ⚽
D
47
E. Aiwu
80'
D
5
Albert Vallci
D
Albert Vallci
D
4
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M
17
Emir Karić
81'
M
Emir Karić
81'
M
15
Gizo Mamageishvili
1 👟
M
Gizo Mamageishvili
1 👟
M
10
O. Kiteishvili
M
O. Kiteishvili
M
43
Jacob Hödl
M
Jacob Hödl
M
20
Seedy Jatta
67'
F
Seedy Jatta
67'
F
77
Maurice Malone
68'
F
Maurice Malone
68'
F
Bench
11
Axel Kayombo
31'
F
Axel Kayombo
31'
F
22
Jusuf Gazibegović
18'
D
Jusuf Gazibegović
18'
D
39
Luca Weinhandl
M
Luca Weinhandl
M
80
Ryan Fosso
30'
M
Ryan Fosso
30'
M
1
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger
G
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger
G
24
Tin Plavotić
1 ⚽
D
Tin Plavotić
1 ⚽
D
15
Aleksandar Dragović
D
Aleksandar Dragović
D
28
P. Wiesinger
D
P. Wiesinger
D
17
Lee Tae-Seok
1 👟
M
Lee Tae-Seok
1 👟
M
6
Philipp Maybach
64'
M
Philipp Maybach
64'
M
16
Lee Kang-Hee
M
Lee Kang-Hee
M
26
Reinhold Ranftl
M
Reinhold Ranftl
M
20
Sanel Saljic
77'
F
Sanel Saljic
77'
F
30
Manfred Fischer
77'
F
Manfred Fischer
77'
F
14
Kelvin Boateng
F
Kelvin Boateng
F
Bench
19
J. Eggestein
21'
F
J. Eggestein
21'
F
46
Johannes Handl
7'
D
Johannes Handl
7'
D
36
Vasilije Markovic
21'
M
Vasilije Markovic
21'
M
Best on the pitch
Paul Koller
D · Sturm
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 56 pass
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger
G · Austria
7.90
· 31 pass
Tin Plavotić
D · Austria
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
O. Kiteishvili
M · Sturm
7.60
3 shots
· 54 pass
Lee Tae-Seok
M · Austria
7.60
1 👟
1 shots
· 20 pass
Albert Vallci
D · Sturm
7.30
· 41 pass
Sturm Graz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Khudyakov | G | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Paul Koller | D | 98 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 56 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Aiwu | D | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Albert Vallci | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Gorenc Stankovič | M | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 48 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Emir Karić | M | 81 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Gizo Mamageishvili | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Kiteishvili | M | 98 | 7.60 | — | — | 3 | 54 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacob Hödl | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Seedy Jatta | F | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Maurice Malone | F | 68 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Axel Kayombo | F | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Jusuf Gazibegović | D | 18 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Ryan Fosso | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Austria Vienna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Sahin-Radlinger | G | 98 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Tin Plavotić | D | 98 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Aleksandar Dragović | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Wiesinger | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Lee Tae-Seok | M | 91 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| Philipp Maybach | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Lee Kang-Hee | M | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Reinhold Ranftl | M | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Sanel Saljic | F | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Manfred Fischer | F | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Kelvin Boateng | F | 98 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Eggestein | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Johannes Handl | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vasilije Markovic | M | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna?
The final score was Sturm Graz 1–1 Austria Vienna.
What did the model predict before Sturm Graz vs Austria Vienna?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Sturm Graz win, 20% to a draw, and 17% to an Austria Vienna win.