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Sturm Graz - Celje

Europa League November 05, 2026 21:00
Sturm Graz
#17 · 1 pts
vs
Celje
#31 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.78%
Win
Sturm Graz
24.89%
Draw
40.33%
Win
Celje
1.23
Expected xG
1.4

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.81%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 25%
2 40%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 60%
X2 65%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 65%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Celje a 40% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Sturm Graz. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sturm Graz and 1.4 for Celje (total 2.6), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.81% probability.

Season Stats

Sturm Graz
2W 2D 5L
Celje
1W 2D 2L
Averages per game
0.6
Goals
1.6
1.2
Conceded
2.0
3.2
Shots OT
3.0
3.0
Corners
2.0
44%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
56%
O 1.5
100%
44%
O 2.5
60%
33%
BTTS
80%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 9 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
44%
BTTS
Sturm Graz
2W 2D 1L · at home
Celje
1W 0D 2L · away
0.6
gls/g
1.3
0.4
Conceded
2.0
40%
Win %
33%
80%
Win or Draw
33%
20%
O 1.5
100%
20%
O 2.5
67%
0%
O 3.5
33%
20%
BTTS
67%
60%
Clean Sht
0%
60%
Failed to Score
33%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Sturm Graz Celje →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2% 10.1% 7.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3%
1 8.9% 12.4% 8.7% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.4% 7.6% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
D Rennes 0–0
W Brann 1–0
L Feyenoord 3–0
L FK Crvena Zvezda 0–1
L Panathinaikos 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
Celje Celje
L Bayer Leverkusen 2–0
L AEK Larnaca 2–1
D AEK Larnaca 1–1
D Sabah FA 3–3
W Sabah FA 2–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Attack
39
Defence
57
Form
39
Celje Celje
Attack
25
Defence
60
Form
9
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Celje?
The model gives Sturm Graz a 34% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 40% for an Celje win.
How many goals are expected in Sturm Graz vs Celje?
Expected goals: Sturm Graz 1.2, Celje 1.4 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Sturm Graz vs Celje?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.81%.