Champions League
· 3rd Qualifying Round
August 11, 2026 20:30
(pen.)
66'
Talisca
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fenerbahçe a 39% win probability (draw 28%, Sturm Graz 32%). The final result was Sturm Graz 0–1 Fenerbahçe. In 1 previous meetings, Sturm Graz have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fenerbahçe.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
6
5
Saves
2
50%
Possession
50%
7
Corners
6
26
Tackles
28
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
40'
N. Semedo
45'
A. Brown
A. Kayombo
/ N. Weiper
61'
S. Jatta
/ B. Beganovic
61'
A. Malic
/ J. Heil
61'
62'
M. Muldur
/
N. Semedo
63'
O. Aydin
/
M. Greenwood
63'
Fred
/
M. Asensio
66'
(pen.)
Talisca⚽
J. Gorenc Stankovic
/ R. Fosso
70'
73'
I. Yuksek
/
N. Kante
77'
V. Muriqi
/
Talisca
P. Petrovic
/ P. Koller
79'
F. Ingolitsch
80'
J. Mitchell
84'
89'
K. Akturkoglu
Pre-match prediction
32.32%
Sturm
28.44%
X
39.24%
Fenerbahçe ←
we assigned to the actual result (Fenerbahçe)
39.24%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.23
—
—
1.44
—
—
Lineups
53
D. Khudyakov
G
D. Khudyakov
G
18
Emran Soglo
D
Emran Soglo
D
21
P. Petrović
79'
D
P. Petrović
79'
D
2
J. Mitchell
D
J. Mitchell
D
23
A. Malic
61'
D
A. Malic
61'
D
43
Jacob Peter Hödl
M
Jacob Peter Hödl
M
39
Luca Weinhandl
M
Luca Weinhandl
M
4
J. Gorenc Stankovič
70'
M
J. Gorenc Stankovič
70'
M
19
S. Seidl
M
S. Seidl
M
20
S. Jatta
61'
F
S. Jatta
61'
F
11
A. Kayombo
61'
F
A. Kayombo
61'
F
Bench
22
A. Helac
G
A. Helac
G
5
A. Vallci
D
A. Vallci
D
26
B. Beganović
32'
F
B. Beganović
32'
F
41
Elias Lorenz
G
Elias Lorenz
G
15
G. Mamageishvili
M
G. Mamageishvili
M
28
J. Heil
32'
M
J. Heil
32'
M
40
Julian Halwachs
M
Julian Halwachs
M
27
Luís Balbo
D
Luís Balbo
D
44
N. Weiper
32'
F
N. Weiper
32'
F
30
P. Koller
14'
D
P. Koller
14'
D
80
R. Fosso
23'
M
17
S. Włodarczyk
F
S. Włodarczyk
F
34
Mert Günok
G
Mert Günok
G
3
A. Brown
D
A. Brown
D
15
N. Aké
D
N. Aké
D
37
M. Škriniar
D
M. Škriniar
D
27
Nélson Semedo
62'
D
Nélson Semedo
62'
D
91
N'Golo Kanté
73'
M
N'Golo Kanté
73'
M
6
Mattéo Guendouzi
M
Mattéo Guendouzi
M
9
K. Aktürkoğlu
M
K. Aktürkoğlu
M
10
Marco Asensio
63'
M
Marco Asensio
63'
M
11
M. Greenwood
63'
M
M. Greenwood
63'
M
94
Talisca
1 ⚽
77'
F
Talisca
1 ⚽
77'
F
Bench
4
Çağlar Söyüncü
D
Çağlar Söyüncü
D
7
Fred
30'
M
Fred
30'
M
17
İ. Kahveci
M
İ. Kahveci
M
5
İ. Yüksek
20'
M
İ. Yüksek
20'
M
75
Kuzey Sapaz
G
Kuzey Sapaz
G
18
M. Müldür
31'
D
M. Müldür
31'
D
70
O. Aydın
30'
F
O. Aydın
30'
F
26
S. Cherif
F
S. Cherif
F
13
T. Çetin
G
T. Çetin
G
19
V. Muriqi
16'
F
V. Muriqi
16'
F
14
Yiğit Efe Demir
D
Yiğit Efe Demir
D
Best on the pitch
D. Khudyakov
G · Sturm
7.90
· 25 pass
Talisca
F · Fenerbahçe
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 8 pass
J. Mitchell
D · Sturm
7.90
· 26 pass
M. Škriniar
D · Fenerbahçe
7.70
· 42 pass
Mert Günok
G · Fenerbahçe
7.60
· 35 pass
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M · Sturm
7.50
1 shots
· 47 pass
Sturm Graz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Khudyakov | G | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Emran Soglo | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Petrović | D | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Mitchell | D | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Malic | D | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Jacob Peter Hödl | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Luca Weinhandl | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 29% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Gorenc Stankovič | M | 70 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 39% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Seidl | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Jatta | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Kayombo | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| B. Beganović | F | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Heil | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Weiper | F | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Koller | D | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| R. Fosso | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
Fenerbahçe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mert Günok | G | 93 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 18% | — | — | — |
| A. Brown | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 3 | 1 | — |
| N. Aké | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Škriniar | D | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 5 | — | — |
| Nélson Semedo | D | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N'Golo Kanté | M | 73 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 34% | 9 | — | — |
| Mattéo Guendouzi | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Aktürkoğlu | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Marco Asensio | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| M. Greenwood | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Talisca | F | 77 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Fred | M | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| İ. Yüksek | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Müldür | D | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Aydın | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| V. Muriqi | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe?
The final score was Sturm Graz 0–1 Fenerbahçe.
What did the model predict before Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Sturm Graz win, 28% to a draw, and 39% to an Fenerbahçe win.