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Sturm Graz - Fenerbahçe

Champions League August 11, 2026 20:30
Sturm Graz
vs
Fenerbahçe
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.75%
Win
Sturm Graz
28.09%
Draw
35.16%
Win
Fenerbahçe
1.66
Expected xG
1.63

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.78%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 28%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 63%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 59%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sturm Graz a 36% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Fenerbahçe. Expected goals are 1.7 for Sturm Graz and 1.6 for Fenerbahçe (total 3.3), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.78% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Sturm Graz have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fenerbahçe.

Season Stats

Sturm Graz
3W 0D 2L
Fenerbahçe
3W 2D 2L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.4
1.6
Conceded
0.9
5.0
Shots OT
4.9
2.4
Corners
5.0
38%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
57%
60%
O 2.5
29%
20%
BTTS
43%
40%
Clean Sht
43%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
Sturm Graz
2W 0D 0L · at home
Fenerbahçe
0W 1D 2L · away
3.0
gls/g
0.7
0.5
Conceded
1.3
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
33%
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
33%
50%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Sturm Graz Fenerbahçe →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8% 6.1% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
1 6.2% 10.1% 8.2% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.2% 8.4% 6.8% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.8% 4.6% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.2% 1.9% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
L Fenerbahçe 2–0
W Heart Of Midlothian 0–2
W Heart Of Midlothian 4–0
W Bodo/Glimt 2–1
L Bodo/Glimt 5–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 35%
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
W Sturm Graz 2–0
D Gornik Zabrze 1–1
W Gornik Zabrze 1–0
L Benfica 1–0
D Benfica 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Attack
62
Defence
75
Form
78
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
Attack
66
Defence
84
Form
79
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Sturm Graz
0
Draw
1
Fenerbahçe
5 Aug 2026 Champions League 0–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe?
The model gives Sturm Graz a 36% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 35% for an Fenerbahçe win.
How many goals are expected in Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe?
Expected goals: Sturm Graz 1.7, Fenerbahçe 1.6 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.78%.