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Bundesliga · Championship Group - 28 April 22, 2026 20:30 Merkur-Arena, Graz
Sturm Graz
#4 · 8 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Lask Linz
#1 · 15 pts
O. Kiteishvili 77' (pen.)
52' (ast. S. Horvath) M. Usor
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sturm Graz a 40% win probability (draw 23%, Lask Linz 35%). The final result was Sturm Graz 1–1 Lask Linz. In 4 previous meetings, Sturm Graz have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Lask Linz.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
1.89
Actual xG
0.82
4
Saves
2
72%
Possession
28%
7
Corners
5
15
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
2
Match Events
6'
Alemao
18'
Alemao
18'
Alemao
46'
X. Mbuyamba / S. Kalajdzic ↕
↕ A. Malic / J. Gazibegovic
46'
52'
ast. S. Horvath · M. Usor⚽
S. Jatta
56'
58'
S. Adeniran
↕ E. Aiwu / G. Mamageishvili
66'
67'
S. Adeniran
67'
S. Adeniran
A. Vallci
67'
69'
M. Cisse
72'
G. Bello / M. Usor ↕
J. Mitchell
77'
⚽O. Kiteishvili (pen.)
77'
↕ S. Jatta / R. Wilson
85'
88'
L. Kacavenda / I. Coulibaly ↕
90'+4
K. Cheikne / S. Horvath ↕
Pre-match prediction
40.8%
Sturm
23.5%
X ←
35.7%
Lask
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.5% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sturm
1.80
1.89
+0.09
Lask
1.72
0.82
-0.9
Sturm Graz dominated by xG (1.89 vs 0.82). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lask Linz Lask Linz 5 15
2 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 6 15
3 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 6 14
4 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 5 8
5 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 6 8
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 6 7
7 Grazer AK Grazer AK 6 7
8 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 6 6
9 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 6 5
10 Ried Ried 6 5
11 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 6 5
12 SCR Altach SCR Altach 6 3
Lineups
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3-4-2-1
53 D. Khudyakov D. Khudyakov G 7.20
30 P. Koller P. Koller D 7.20
47
Emanuel Aiwu 66' D 6.70
5 A. Vallci A. Vallci D 6.90
17 E. Karić E. Karić M 7.30
80 R. Fosso R. Fosso M 6.50
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič J. Gorenc Stankovič M 6.90
23 A. Malic A. Malic 45' M 6.60
77 M. Malone M. Malone F 7.20
10 O. Kiteishvili O. Kiteishvili 1 ⚽ F 7.90
20 S. Jatta S. Jatta 85' F 6.60
Bench
11 Axel Kayombo Axel Kayombo F
15 G. Mamageishvili G. Mamageishvili 24' M 7.30
2 J. Mitchell J. Mitchell D
22 Jusuf Gazibegović Jusuf Gazibegović 45' D 6.70
39 Luca Weinhandl Luca Weinhandl M
Lask Linz Lask Linz 3-4-1-2
1
G 7.00
16 A. Andrade A. Andrade D 6.50
43 Alemão Alemão 18' D 3.70
48 Modou Kéba Cissé Modou Kéba Cissé D 6.90
6 M. Bogarde M. Bogarde M 6.60
30 S. Horvath S. Horvath 1 👟 89' M 7.00
4 I. Coulibaly I. Coulibaly 88' M 6.20
20 K. Jørgensen K. Jørgensen M 6.30
10 S. Kalajdzic S. Kalajdzic 45' F 6.60
7 S. Adeniran S. Adeniran 67' F 5.70
8 M. Usor M. Usor 1 ⚽ 72' F 8.00
Bench
27 C. Lang C. Lang F
2 G. Bello G. Bello 18' D 6.30
11 M. Entrup M. Entrup F
3 X. Mbuyamba X. Mbuyamba 45' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
M. Usor
M. Usor
F · Lask
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 11 pass
O. Kiteishvili
O. Kiteishvili
F · Sturm
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots · 60 pass
G. Mamageishvili
G. Mamageishvili
M · Sturm
7.30
· 15 pass
E. Karić
E. Karić
M · Sturm
7.30
· 77 pass
D. Khudyakov
D. Khudyakov
G · Sturm
7.20
· 22 pass
P. Koller
P. Koller
D · Sturm
7.20
1 shots · 64 pass
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Khudyakov G 90 7.20 — — — 22 19% — — —
P. Koller D 90 7.20 — — 1 64 59% 1 — —
Emanuel Aiwu D 66 6.70 — — — 32 30% 2 — —
A. Vallci D 90 6.90 — — — 61 52% 3 1 —
E. Karić M 90 7.30 — — — 77 63% 2 — —
R. Fosso M 90 6.50 — — — 36 29% — — —
J. Gorenc Stankovič M 90 6.90 — — 2 45 39% — — —
A. Malic M 45 6.60 — — — 10 8% — — —
M. Malone F 90 7.20 — — 2 10 8% 2 — —
O. Kiteishvili F 90 7.90 1 — 5 60 51% — — —
S. Jatta F 85 6.60 — — 2 12 9% 1 1 —
G. Mamageishvili M 24 7.30 — — — 15 13% — — —
Jusuf Gazibegović D 45 6.70 — — 1 22 16% 4 — —
Lask Linz Lask Linz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 27 10% — — —
A. Andrade D 90 6.50 — — — 16 10% — — —
Alemão D 18 3.70 — — — 7 7% 1 2 1
Modou Kéba Cissé D 90 6.90 — — — 17 11% 2 1 —
M. Bogarde M 90 6.60 — — — 19 13% 3 — —
S. Horvath M 89 7.00 — 1 — 26 23% — — —
I. Coulibaly M 88 6.20 — — 1 10 10% 1 — —
K. Jørgensen M 90 6.30 — — 2 17 9% 1 — —
S. Kalajdzic F 45 6.60 — — — 11 5% 2 — —
S. Adeniran F 67 5.70 — — 2 12 5% 1 2 1
M. Usor F 72 8.00 1 — 2 11 8% 1 — —
G. Bello D 18 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
X. Mbuyamba D 45 6.90 — — 1 8 5% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz?
The final score was Sturm Graz 1–1 Lask Linz.
What did the model predict before Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Sturm Graz win, 23% to a draw, and 35% to an Lask Linz win.