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Bundesliga · Championship Group - 28 April 22, 2026 22:30
Sturm Graz
#2 · 34 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Lask Linz
#1 · 36 pts
O. Kiteishvili 77' (pen.)
52' (ast. S. Horvath) M. Usor

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sturm Graz a 40% win probability (draw 23%, Lask Linz 35%). The final result was Sturm Graz 1–1 Lask Linz. In 3 previous meetings, Sturm Graz have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Lask Linz.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
1.89
Actual xG
0.82
4
Saves
2
72%
Possession
28%
7
Corners
5
15
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
2
Match Events
6'
Alemao
18'
Alemao
18'
Alemao
46'
X. Mbuyamba / S. Kalajdzic ↕
↕ A. Malic / J. Gazibegovic
46'
52'
ast. S. Horvath · M. Usor⚽
S. Jatta
56'
58'
S. Adeniran
↕ E. Aiwu / G. Mamageishvili
66'
67'
S. Adeniran
67'
S. Adeniran
A. Vallci
67'
69'
M. Cisse
72'
G. Bello / M. Usor ↕
J. Mitchell
77'
⚽O. Kiteishvili (pen.)
77'
↕ S. Jatta / R. Wilson
85'
88'
L. Kacavenda / I. Coulibaly ↕
90'+4
K. Cheikne / S. Horvath ↕
Pre-match prediction
40.8%
Sturm
23.5%
X ←
35.7%
Lask
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.5% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sturm
1.80
1.89
+0.09
Lask
1.72
0.82
-0.9
Sturm Graz dominated by xG (1.89 vs 0.82). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lask Linz Lask Linz 31 36
1 Ried Ried 31 28
2 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 31 25
2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 31 34
3 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 31 29
3 SCR Altach SCR Altach 31 24
4 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 31 24
4 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 31 29
5 Grazer AK Grazer AK 31 24
5 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 31 27
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 31 22
6 FC BW Linz FC BW Linz 31 21
Lineups
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3-4-2-1
53 Daniil Khudyakov Daniil Khudyakov G 7.20
30 Paul Koller Paul Koller D 7.20
47
E. Aiwu 66' D 6.70
5 Albert Vallci Albert Vallci D 6.90
17 Emir Karić Emir Karić M 7.30
80 Ryan Fosso Ryan Fosso M 6.50
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič J. Gorenc Stankovič M 6.90
23 A. Malic A. Malic 45' M 6.60
77 Maurice Malone Maurice Malone F 7.20
10 O. Kiteishvili O. Kiteishvili 1 ⚽ F 7.90
20 Seedy Jatta Seedy Jatta 85' F 6.60
Bench
11 Axel Kayombo Axel Kayombo F
15 Gizo Mamageishvili Gizo Mamageishvili 24' M 7.30
2 Jeyland Mitchell Jeyland Mitchell D
22 Jusuf Gazibegović Jusuf Gazibegović 45' D 6.70
39 Luca Weinhandl Luca Weinhandl M
Lask Linz Lask Linz 3-4-1-2
1
G 7.00
16 A. Andrade A. Andrade D 6.50
43 Alemão Alemão 18' D 3.70
48 Modou Kéba Cissé Modou Kéba Cissé D 6.90
6 Melayro Bogarde Melayro Bogarde M 6.60
30 Sascha Horvath Sascha Horvath 1 👟 89' M 7.00
4 I. Coulibaly I. Coulibaly 88' M 6.20
20 K. Jørgensen K. Jørgensen M 6.30
10 Saša Kalajdžić Saša Kalajdžić 45' F 6.60
7 S. Adeniran S. Adeniran 67' F 5.70
8 M. Usor M. Usor 1 ⚽ 72' F 8.00
Bench
27 Christoph Lang Christoph Lang F
2 George Bello George Bello 18' D 6.30
11 Maximilian Entrup Maximilian Entrup F
3 Xavier Mbuyamba Xavier Mbuyamba 45' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
M. Usor
M. Usor
F · Lask
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 11 pass
O. Kiteishvili
O. Kiteishvili
F · Sturm
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots · 60 pass
Gizo Mamageishvili
Gizo Mamageishvili
M · Sturm
7.30
· 15 pass
Emir Karić
Emir Karić
M · Sturm
7.30
· 77 pass
Daniil Khudyakov
Daniil Khudyakov
G · Sturm
7.20
· 22 pass
Paul Koller
Paul Koller
D · Sturm
7.20
1 shots · 64 pass
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniil Khudyakov G 90 7.20 — — — 22 19% — — —
Paul Koller D 90 7.20 — — 1 64 59% 1 — —
E. Aiwu D 66 6.70 — — — 32 30% 2 — —
Albert Vallci D 90 6.90 — — — 61 52% 3 1 —
Emir Karić M 90 7.30 — — — 77 63% 2 — —
Ryan Fosso M 90 6.50 — — — 36 29% — — —
J. Gorenc Stankovič M 90 6.90 — — 2 45 39% — — —
A. Malic M 45 6.60 — — — 10 8% — — —
Maurice Malone F 90 7.20 — — 2 10 8% 2 — —
O. Kiteishvili F 90 7.90 1 — 5 60 51% — — —
Seedy Jatta F 85 6.60 — — 2 12 9% 1 1 —
Gizo Mamageishvili M 24 7.30 — — — 15 13% — — —
Jusuf Gazibegović D 45 6.70 — — 1 22 16% 4 — —
Lask Linz Lask Linz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 27 10% — — —
A. Andrade D 90 6.50 — — — 16 10% — — —
Alemão D 18 3.70 — — — 7 7% 1 2 1
Modou Kéba Cissé D 90 6.90 — — — 17 11% 2 1 —
Melayro Bogarde M 90 6.60 — — — 19 13% 3 — —
Sascha Horvath M 89 7.00 — 1 — 26 23% — — —
I. Coulibaly M 88 6.20 — — 1 10 10% 1 — —
K. Jørgensen M 90 6.30 — — 2 17 9% 1 — —
Saša Kalajdžić F 45 6.60 — — — 11 5% 2 — —
S. Adeniran F 67 5.70 — — 2 12 5% 1 2 1
M. Usor F 72 8.00 1 — 2 11 8% 1 — —
George Bello D 18 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Xavier Mbuyamba D 45 6.90 — — 1 8 5% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz?
The final score was Sturm Graz 1–1 Lask Linz.
What did the model predict before Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Sturm Graz win, 23% to a draw, and 35% to an Lask Linz win.