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Sturm Graz - OFI

Europa League January 21, 2027 18:45
Sturm Graz
#19 · 4 pts
vs
OFI
#26 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.48%
Win
Sturm Graz
30.47%
Draw
29.04%
Win
OFI
1.25
Expected xG
0.84

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.51%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 40%
X 30%
2 29%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 71%
X2 60%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 55%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sturm Graz a 40% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 29% for OFI. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sturm Graz and 0.8 for OFI (total 2.1), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.51% probability.

Season Stats

Sturm Graz
3W 2D 6L
OFI
3W 0D 2L
Averages per game
0.6
Goals
1.6
1.3
Conceded
0.8
3.2
Shots OT
2.8
2.9
Corners
3.4
42%
Poss.
29%
Percentages
55%
O 1.5
100%
45%
O 2.5
40%
27%
BTTS
20%
36%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ Based on the last 11 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
34%
BTTS
Sturm Graz
3W 2D 1L · at home
OFI
1W 0D 1L · away
0.7
gls/g
1.5
0.3
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
50%
83%
Win or Draw
50%
17%
O 1.5
100%
17%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
0%
17%
BTTS
50%
67%
Clean Sht
50%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Sturm Graz OFI →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5% 10.4% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3% —
1 15.5% 13.0% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.7% 8.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% —
3 4.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
W Marseille 1–0
L Bournemouth 3–0
D Rennes 0–0
W Brann 1–0
L Feyenoord 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
OFI OFI
L Bayer Leverkusen 0–2
L Rennes 2–1
W 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0
W CSKA Sofia 0–2
W CSKA Sofia 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Attack
48
Defence
61
Form
40
OFI OFI
Attack
29
Defence
44
Form
30
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sturm Graz vs OFI?
The model gives Sturm Graz a 40% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 29% for an OFI win.
How many goals are expected in Sturm Graz vs OFI?
Expected goals: Sturm Graz 1.2, OFI 0.8 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Sturm Graz vs OFI?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.51%.