✓Model correct — prediction Sturm Graz
G. Mamageishvili
(ast. J. Gazibegovic)
88'
S. Hierlander
90'+1
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sturm Graz a 63% win probability (draw 18%, Rapid Vienna 18%). The final result was Sturm Graz 2–0 Rapid Vienna. In 3 previous meetings, Sturm Graz have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Rapid Vienna.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
3
8
Shots on target
1
2.17
Actual xG
0.19
1
Saves
6
67%
Possession
33%
9
Corners
3
10
Tackles
15
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
22'
Y. Demir
60'
L. Grgic
/
P. Dahl
60'
A. Ahoussou
/
N. Wurmbrand
M. Malone
/ A. Kayombo
62'
L. Weinhandl
/ G. Mamageishvili
62'
J. Hodl
/ J. Gazibegovic
72'
S. Jatta
/ B. Beganovic
72'
E. Karic
/ S. Hierlander
84'
86'
T. Gulliksen
/
A. Weimann
⚽G. Mamageishvili
· ast. J. Gazibegovic
88'
⚽S. Hierlander
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
63.43%
Sturm ←
18.32%
X
18.25%
Rapid
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sturm Graz)
63.43%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.46
2.17
-0.29
1.19
0.19
-1.0
Sturm Graz dominated by xG (2.17 vs 0.19).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
53
Daniil Khudyakov
G
Daniil Khudyakov
G
30
Paul Koller
D
Paul Koller
D
2
J. Mitchell
D
J. Mitchell
D
5
Albert Vallci
D
Albert Vallci
D
17
Emir Karić
84'
M
Emir Karić
84'
M
4
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M
39
Luca Weinhandl
62'
M
Luca Weinhandl
62'
M
43
Jacob Hödl
72'
M
Jacob Hödl
72'
M
10
O. Kiteishvili
F
O. Kiteishvili
F
20
Seedy Jatta
72'
F
Seedy Jatta
72'
F
77
Maurice Malone
62'
F
Maurice Malone
62'
F
Bench
23
Arjan Malić
D
Arjan Malić
D
11
Axel Kayombo
28'
F
Axel Kayombo
28'
F
26
Belmin Beganović
18'
F
Belmin Beganović
18'
F
8
Filip Rózga
M
15
Gizo Mamageishvili
1 ⚽
28'
M
22
Jusuf Gazibegović
1 👟
18'
D
Jusuf Gazibegović
1 👟
18'
D
40
Matteo Bignetti
G
Matteo Bignetti
G
80
Ryan Fosso
M
Ryan Fosso
M
25
Stefan Hierländer
1 ⚽
12'
M
Stefan Hierländer
1 ⚽
12'
M
1
Niklas Hedl
G
Niklas Hedl
G
6
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao
D
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao
D
55
Nenad Cvetković
D
Nenad Cvetković
D
4
Jakob Schöller
D
Jakob Schöller
D
77
B. Bolla
M
B. Bolla
M
26
Andreas Weimann
86'
M
Andreas Weimann
86'
M
29
R. Amané
M
R. Amané
M
15
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
60'
M
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
60'
M
10
P. Dahl
60'
F
P. Dahl
60'
F
22
Yusuf Demir
22'
F
Yusuf Demir
22'
F
9
E. Kara
F
E. Kara
F
Bench
61
Furkan Demir
D
Furkan Demir
D
90
Janis Antiste
F
Janis Antiste
F
20
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou
30'
D
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou
30'
D
21
Louis Schaub
M
Louis Schaub
M
8
Lukas Grgić
30'
M
Lukas Grgić
30'
M
7
Marco Tilio
F
Marco Tilio
F
25
Paul Gartler
G
Paul Gartler
G
17
T. Gulliksen
10'
M
T. Gulliksen
10'
M
16
Tobias Borkeeiet
M
Tobias Borkeeiet
M
Best on the pitch
Niklas Hedl
G · Rapid
7.90
· 45 pass
O. Kiteishvili
F · Sturm
7.70
5 shots
· 42 pass
Gizo Mamageishvili
M · Sturm
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
Stefan Hierländer
M · Sturm
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 5 pass
Emir Karić
M · Sturm
7.30
2 shots
· 49 pass
Daniil Khudyakov
G · Sturm
7.20
· 24 pass
Sturm Graz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Khudyakov | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Paul Koller | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 55% | — | — | — |
| J. Mitchell | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Albert Vallci | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Emir Karić | M | 84 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Gorenc Stankovič | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Luca Weinhandl | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Hödl | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| O. Kiteishvili | F | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 5 | 42 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Seedy Jatta | F | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Maurice Malone | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Axel Kayombo | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Belmin Beganović | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Gizo Mamageishvili | M | 28 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Jusuf Gazibegović | D | 18 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Stefan Hierländer | M | 12 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Rapid Vienna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niklas Hedl | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Nenad Cvetković | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Jakob Schöller | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| B. Bolla | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Andreas Weimann | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| R. Amané | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| Nikolaus Wurmbrand | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| P. Dahl | F | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Yusuf Demir | F | 22 | 3.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | 1 |
| E. Kara | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Kouadio Ange Ahoussou | D | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Lukas Grgić | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Gulliksen | M | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna?
The final score was Sturm Graz 2–0 Rapid Vienna.
What did the model predict before Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Sturm Graz win, 18% to a draw, and 18% to an Rapid Vienna win.