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Sturm Graz - Rennes

Europa League September 16, 2026 21:00
Sturm Graz
#32 · 0 pts
vs
Rennes
#29 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.82%
Win
Sturm Graz
22.24%
Draw
28.94%
Win
Rennes
2.54
Expected xG
1.78

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.49%)
1X2 Result
1 49%
X 22%
2 29%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 71%
X2 51%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 74%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sturm Graz a 48% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Rennes. Expected goals are 2.5 for Sturm Graz and 1.8 for Rennes (total 4.3), with a 86% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.49% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Sturm Graz Rennes →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.3% 2.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.4% 6.0% 5.3% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
2 4.3% 7.6% 6.8% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.5% 5.8% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
4 2.3% 4.1% 3.7% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3%
5 1.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Recent form

Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
W Brann 1–0
L Feyenoord 3–0
L FK Crvena Zvezda 0–1
L Panathinaikos 2–1
D Nottingham Forest 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 35%
Rennes Rennes
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Attack
41
Defence
62
Form
27
Rennes Rennes
Attack
48
Defence
47
Form
38
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Rennes?
The model gives Sturm Graz a 48% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 28% for an Rennes win.
How many goals are expected in Sturm Graz vs Rennes?
Expected goals: Sturm Graz 2.5, Rennes 1.8 (total 4.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 86%.
What is the most likely score in Sturm Graz vs Rennes?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.49%.