Simon Seidl
31'
Belmin Beganovic
(ast. Jacob Peter Hödl)
90'+2
(pen.)
45'+5
Philipp Pomer
55'
(ast. Fabian Hubert Rossdorfer)
Isaac Thelin
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sturm Graz a 52% win probability (draw 22%, Ried 24%). The final result was Sturm Graz 2–2 Ried. In 2 previous meetings, Sturm Graz have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Ried.
Match statistics
27
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
4
1.98
Actual xG
1.39
2
Saves
4
44%
Possession
56%
8
Corners
2
10
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
25'
Luka Capan
⚽Simon Seidl
31'
Arjan Malić
45'+2
Jon Gorenc Stanković
45'+4
45'+5
(pen.)
Philipp Pomer⚽
45'
47'
Fabian Hubert Rossdorfer
55'
ast. Fabian Hubert Rossdorfer ·
Isaac Thelin⚽
63'
Martin Rasner
/
Lukas Malicsek
64'
Stefan Schwab
/
Jussef Nasrawe
Luis Balbo
/ Petar Petrović
67'
Simon Seidl
/ Belmin Beganovic
67'
Oumar Diakité
/ Szymon Wlodarczyk
78'
Jon Gorenc Stanković
/ Julian Halwachs
78'
80'
Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
/
Isaac Thelin
80'
Joris Boguo
/
J. Rhodes
87'
Oliver Steurer
/
Luka Capan
Valmir Matoshi
/ Niklas Geyrhofer
89'
⚽Belmin Beganovic
· ast. Jacob Peter Hödl
90'+2
Szymon Wlodarczyk
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
52.42%
Sturm
22.98%
X ←
24.6%
Ried
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.02
1.98
-1.04
1.72
1.39
-0.33
Sturm Graz dominated by xG (1.98 vs 1.39).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
A. Helac
G
A. Helac
G
30
P. Koller
D
P. Koller
D
2
J. Quarshie
D
J. Quarshie
D
23
A. Malic
45'
D
A. Malic
45'
D
27
L. Balbo
67'
M
L. Balbo
67'
M
39
Luca Weinhandl
M
Luca Weinhandl
M
4
J. Gorenc Stankovič
78'
M
J. Gorenc Stankovič
78'
M
43
Jacob Peter Hödl
1 👟
M
Jacob Peter Hödl
1 👟
M
78
V. Matoshi
89'
M
V. Matoshi
89'
M
19
S. Seidl
1 ⚽
67'
M
S. Seidl
1 ⚽
67'
M
14
O. Diakité
78'
F
O. Diakité
78'
F
Bench
11
A. Kayombo
F
A. Kayombo
F
5
A. Vallci
D
A. Vallci
D
26
B. Beganović
1 ⚽
23'
F
B. Beganović
1 ⚽
23'
F
41
E. Lorenz
G
E. Lorenz
G
40
J. Halwachs
12'
M
J. Halwachs
12'
M
99
Kelechi Nnamdi
D
Kelechi Nnamdi
D
35
N. Geyrhofer
1'
D
N. Geyrhofer
1'
D
21
P. Petrović
23'
D
P. Petrović
23'
D
17
S. Włodarczyk
12'
F
S. Włodarczyk
12'
F
1
A. Leitner
G
A. Leitner
G
29
L. Capan
87'
D
L. Capan
87'
D
28
S. Chukwudi
D
S. Chukwudi
D
5
D. Radonjic
D
D. Radonjic
D
17
P. Pomer
1 ⚽
M
P. Pomer
1 ⚽
M
4
L. Malicsek
63'
M
L. Malicsek
63'
M
6
Y. Maart
M
Y. Maart
M
18
F. Rossdorfer
1 👟
M
F. Rossdorfer
1 👟
M
10
J. Nasrawe
64'
M
J. Nasrawe
64'
M
11
J. Rhodes
80'
F
J. Rhodes
80'
F
92
I. Kiese Thelin
1 ⚽
80'
F
I. Kiese Thelin
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
47
Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
10'
M
Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
10'
M
13
H. Hankič
G
H. Hankič
G
15
J. Boguo
10'
F
J. Boguo
10'
F
8
M. Rasner
27'
M
M. Rasner
27'
M
9
N. Sissoko
F
N. Sissoko
F
30
O. Steurer
3'
D
O. Steurer
3'
D
22
S. Schwab
26'
M
S. Schwab
26'
M
21
T. Kusanovic
F
T. Kusanovic
F
19
T. Lund Jensen
M
T. Lund Jensen
M
Best on the pitch
S. Seidl
M · Sturm
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
I. Kiese Thelin
F · Ried
8.10
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
B. Beganović
F · Sturm
8.09
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 5 pass
F. Rossdorfer
M · Ried
7.25
1 👟
· 23 pass
Jacob Peter Hödl
M · Sturm
7.14
1 👟
4 shots
· 25 pass
J. Boguo
F · Ried
6.87
· 1 pass
Sturm Graz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Helac | G | 90 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Koller | D | 90 | 6.43 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Quarshie | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Malic | D | 45 | 5.14 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 34% | 0 | — | 1 |
| L. Balbo | M | 67 | 6.48 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Luca Weinhandl | M | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Gorenc Stankovič | M | 78 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 20% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Jacob Peter Hödl | M | 90 | 7.14 | — | 1 | 4 | 25 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Matoshi | M | 89 | 5.71 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Seidl | M | 67 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Diakité | F | 78 | 6.49 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Beganović | F | 23 | 8.09 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Halwachs | M | 12 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Geyrhofer | D | 1 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Petrović | D | 23 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Włodarczyk | F | 12 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
Ried — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Leitner | G | 90 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Capan | D | 87 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Chukwudi | D | 90 | 6.79 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Radonjic | D | 90 | 5.75 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Pomer | M | 90 | 6.61 | 1 | — | 2 | 56 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Malicsek | M | 63 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Maart | M | 90 | 6.10 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Rossdorfer | M | 90 | 7.25 | — | 1 | 0 | 23 | 21% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Nasrawe | M | 64 | 6.34 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Rhodes | F | 80 | 6.46 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Kiese Thelin | F | 80 | 8.10 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Evan Eghosa Aisowieren | M | 10 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Boguo | F | 10 | 6.87 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Rasner | M | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Steurer | D | 3 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Schwab | M | 26 | 6.15 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Ried?
The final score was Sturm Graz 2–2 Ried.
What did the model predict before Sturm Graz vs Ried?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Sturm Graz win, 22% to a draw, and 24% to an Ried win.