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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3 August 15, 2026 19:30 Merkur-Arena, Graz
Sturm Graz
#4 · 18 pts
1 – 0
Final score
SCR Altach
#9 · 9 pts
S. Jatta (ast. S. Seidl) 78'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sturm Graz a 39% win probability (draw 30%, SCR Altach 29%). The final result was Sturm Graz 1–0 SCR Altach. In 3 previous meetings, Sturm Graz have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for SCR Altach.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
4
1.52
Actual xG
1.21
4
Saves
1
53%
Possession
47%
12
Corners
7
17
Tackles
26
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
36'
L. Jager
40'
P. Greil
57'
M. Raguz / S. Hrstic ↕
↕ A. Kayombo / S. Jatta
57'
↕ N. Weiper / S. Wlodarczyk
57'
69'
72'
E. Yalcin / P. Greil ↕
⚽S. Jatta · ast. S. Seidl
78'
82'
D. Cosgun / N. Niehoff ↕
82'
Y. Eisschill / V. Demaku ↕
82'
J. Brandtner / B. Bockle ↕
↕ S. Seidl / A. Malic
88'
↕ J. Hodl / G. Mamageishvili
90'+2
↕ E. Soglo / L. Balbo
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
39.66%
Sturm ←
30.72%
X
29.62%
SCR
we assigned to the actual result (Sturm Graz) 39.66% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sturm
2.26
1.52
-0.74
SCR
0.76
1.21
+0.45
Sturm Graz dominated by xG (1.52 vs 1.21). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 10 27
2 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 10 24
3 Lask Linz Lask Linz 10 19
4 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 10 18
5 Ried Ried 10 15
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 10 14
7 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 10 12
8 Grazer AK Grazer AK 10 10
9 SCR Altach SCR Altach 10 9
10 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 10 8
11 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 10 7
12 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 10 5
Lineups
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4-4-2
53 D. Khudyakov D. Khudyakov G 8.90
18 Emran Soglo Emran Soglo 89' D 7.60
5 A. Vallci A. Vallci D 6.90
21 P. Petrović P. Petrović D 7.50
28 J. Heil J. Heil D 7.90
19 S. Seidl S. Seidl 1 👟 88' M 7.60
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič J. Gorenc Stankovič M 6.90
39 Luca Weinhandl Luca Weinhandl M 7.00
43 Jacob Peter Hödl Jacob Peter Hödl 89' M 6.60
44 N. Weiper N. Weiper 57' F 5.90
11 A. Kayombo A. Kayombo 57' F 6.30
Bench
22 A. Helac A. Helac G
23 A. Malic A. Malic 2' D
26 B. Beganović B. Beganović F
15 G. Mamageishvili G. Mamageishvili 1' M
40 J. Halwachs J. Halwachs M
27 Luís Balbo Luís Balbo 1' D
30 P. Koller P. Koller D
20 S. Jatta S. Jatta 1 ⚽ 33' F 7.70
17 S. Włodarczyk S. Włodarczyk 33' F 6.50
SCR Altach SCR Altach 3-4-3
1 D. Stojanovic D. Stojanovic G 7.20
17 L. Jäger L. Jäger D 7.30
23 B. Zech B. Zech D 6.90
27 Filip Milojevic Filip Milojevic D 6.90
37 B. Böckle B. Böckle 82' M 7.70
8 M. Bähre M. Bähre M 6.60
6 V. Demaku V. Demaku 82' M 6.90
29 N. Niehoff N. Niehoff 82' M 7.20
18 P. Greil P. Greil 72' F 6.90
10 O. Diawara O. Diawara F 6.60
19 S. Hrstić S. Hrstić 57' F 6.60
Bench
31 D. Antosch D. Antosch G
7 D. Cosgun D. Cosgun 8' M 6.50
20 Erkin Yalcin Erkin Yalcin 18' F 6.20
4 Henrique Bell Henrique Bell D
21 Jakob Brandtner Jakob Brandtner 8' D 6.90
9 M. Raguž M. Raguž 33' F 6.50
16 R. Rahmani R. Rahmani D
24 Salif Tietietta Salif Tietietta M
22 Y. Eisschill Y. Eisschill 8' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
D. Khudyakov
D. Khudyakov
G · Sturm
8.90
· 20 pass
J. Heil
J. Heil
D · Sturm
7.90
· 35 pass
S. Jatta
S. Jatta
F · Sturm
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 5 pass
B. Böckle
B. Böckle
M · SCR
7.70
· 14 pass
Emran Soglo
Emran Soglo
D · Sturm
7.60
· 47 pass
S. Seidl
S. Seidl
M · Sturm
7.60
1 👟
· 32 pass
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Khudyakov G 90 8.90 — — — 20 11% — — —
Emran Soglo D 89 7.60 — — — 47 39% 2 — —
A. Vallci D 90 6.90 — — 2 43 32% — — —
P. Petrović D 90 7.50 — — 1 29 23% 3 — —
J. Heil D 90 7.90 — — — 35 26% 5 — —
S. Seidl M 88 7.60 — 1 — 32 29% — — —
J. Gorenc Stankovič M 90 6.90 — — 1 38 28% 2 — —
Luca Weinhandl M 90 7.00 — — — 39 33% 2 — —
Jacob Peter Hödl M 89 6.60 — — 1 31 24% 1 — —
N. Weiper F 57 5.90 — — 1 11 9% — — —
A. Kayombo F 57 6.30 — — — 6 2% 1 — —
A. Malic D 2 — — — — 3 3% — — —
G. Mamageishvili M 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Luís Balbo D 1 — — — — 1 — — — —
S. Jatta F 33 7.70 1 — 2 5 4% — — —
S. Włodarczyk F 33 6.50 — — 1 5 1% 1 — —
SCR Altach SCR Altach — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Stojanovic G 90 7.20 — — — 40 24% — — —
L. Jäger D 90 7.30 — — 1 29 25% 3 1 —
B. Zech D 90 6.90 — — — 32 25% 2 — —
Filip Milojevic D 90 6.90 — — — 26 23% 4 — —
B. Böckle M 82 7.70 — — — 14 9% 6 — —
M. Bähre M 90 6.60 — — 1 45 36% 3 — —
V. Demaku M 82 6.90 — — 1 26 21% 4 — —
N. Niehoff M 82 7.20 — — — 18 13% 1 — —
P. Greil F 72 6.90 — — 2 20 16% 1 1 —
O. Diawara F 90 6.60 — — — 15 8% — — —
S. Hrstić F 57 6.60 — — 1 21 9% — — —
D. Cosgun M 8 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
Erkin Yalcin F 18 6.20 — — — 5 2% — — —
Jakob Brandtner D 8 6.90 — — — 3 1% 2 — —
M. Raguž F 33 6.50 — — 1 15 11% — — —
Y. Eisschill M 8 6.30 — — — 4 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach?
The final score was Sturm Graz 1–0 SCR Altach.
What did the model predict before Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Sturm Graz win, 30% to a draw, and 29% to an SCR Altach win.