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Bundesliga · Championship Group - 26 April 12, 2026 14:30 Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz
Sturm Graz
#4 · 18 pts
0 – 0
Final score
TSV Hartberg
#6 · 14 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Sturm Graz, result Draw
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sturm Graz a 61% win probability (draw 23%, TSV Hartberg 15%). The final result was Sturm Graz 0–0 TSV Hartberg. In 4 previous meetings, Sturm Graz have won 4 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for TSV Hartberg.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
7
1
Shots on target
1
1.35
Actual xG
0.76
0
Saves
1
61%
Possession
39%
5
Corners
8
23
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Albert Vallci
22'
↕ G. Mamageishvili / M. Malone
60'
↕ L. Weinhandl / R. Fosso
60'
64'
M. Aziz / M. Hoffmann ↕
67'
Tobias Kainz
77'
M. Hennig / J. Heil ↕
Jon Gorenc Stanković
82'
82'
Habib Anas Coulibaly
↕ S. Jatta / R. Wilson
86'
↕ J. Gazibegovic / S. Hierlander
90'+2
90'
Y. Diarra / L. Fridrikas ↕
90'
D. Kovacevic / E. Havel ↕
90'
J. Halwachs / K. Schopp ↕
Pre-match prediction
61.05%
Sturm
23.72%
X ←
15.23%
TSV
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.72% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sturm
1.65
1.35
-0.3
TSV
0.44
0.76
+0.32
Sturm Graz dominated by xG (1.35 vs 0.76). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 10 27
2 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 10 24
3 Lask Linz Lask Linz 10 19
4 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 10 18
5 Ried Ried 10 15
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 10 14
7 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 10 12
8 Grazer AK Grazer AK 10 10
9 SCR Altach SCR Altach 10 9
10 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 10 8
11 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 10 7
12 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 10 5
Lineups
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3-4-2-1
53 D. Khudyakov D. Khudyakov G 6.90
30 P. Koller P. Koller D 7.20
2 J. Mitchell J. Mitchell D 8.30
5 A. Vallci A. Vallci D 7.90
43 Jacob Peter Hödl Jacob Peter Hödl M 7.20
39 Luca Weinhandl Luca Weinhandl 60' M 6.90
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič J. Gorenc Stankovič M 7.70
22 J. Gazibegović J. Gazibegović M 7.00
10 O. Kiteishvili O. Kiteishvili F 7.20
15 G. Mamageishvili G. Mamageishvili 60' F 6.90
20 S. Jatta S. Jatta 86' F 6.90
Bench
11 A. Kayombo A. Kayombo F
23 A. Malic A. Malic D
47
E. Aiwu D
77 M. Malone M. Malone 30' F 6.50
80 Ryan Fosso Ryan Fosso 30' M 6.60
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 3-4-3
1
G 7.60
6 Habib Coulibaly Habib Coulibaly D 6.90
18
D 7.20
27 K. Schopp K. Schopp 89' D 7.90
2 L. Pazourek L. Pazourek M 7.30
4 B. Markuš B. Markuš M 6.60
23 T. Kainz T. Kainz M 7.60
28 J. Heil J. Heil 77' M 7.00
7 E. Havel E. Havel 89' F 6.30
30 Lukas Fridrikas Lukas Fridrikas 89' F 6.30
22 M. Hoffman M. Hoffman
Bench
95 D. Kovacevic D. Kovacevic 1' D
33 Maximilian Hennig Maximilian Hennig 13' D 6.60
61
M. Aziz 26' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
J. Mitchell
J. Mitchell
D · Sturm
8.30
1 shots · 51 pass
A. Vallci
A. Vallci
D · Sturm
7.90
1 shots · 59 pass
K. Schopp
K. Schopp
D · TSV
7.90
1 shots · 26 pass
J. Gorenc Stankovič
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M · Sturm
7.70
1 shots · 52 pass
T. Kainz
T. Kainz
M · TSV
7.60
1 shots · 21 pass
G · TSV
7.60
· 35 pass
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Khudyakov G 90 6.90 — — — 24 20% — — —
P. Koller D 90 7.20 — — 3 51 47% — — —
J. Mitchell D 90 8.30 — — 1 51 47% 2 — —
A. Vallci D 90 7.90 — — 1 59 50% 7 1 —
Jacob Peter Hödl M 90 7.20 — — — 32 23% 3 — —
Luca Weinhandl M 60 6.90 — — 1 25 12% 4 — —
J. Gorenc Stankovič M 90 7.70 — — 1 52 46% 1 1 —
J. Gazibegović M 92 7.00 — — 1 31 22% 1 — —
O. Kiteishvili F 90 7.20 — — — 56 48% — — —
G. Mamageishvili F 60 6.90 — — 1 21 16% 3 — —
S. Jatta F 86 6.90 — — 4 13 9% 1 — —
M. Malone F 30 6.50 — — — 6 4% 1 — —
Ryan Fosso M 30 6.60 — — — 20 16% — — —
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.60 — — — 35 22% — — —
Habib Coulibaly D 90 6.90 — — 1 26 20% 2 1 —
D 90 7.20 — — — 26 17% — — —
K. Schopp D 89 7.90 — — 1 26 19% 4 — —
L. Pazourek M 90 7.30 — — — 22 13% 6 — —
B. Markuš M 90 6.60 — — 3 36 24% — — —
T. Kainz M 90 7.60 — — 1 21 14% 3 1 —
J. Heil M 77 7.00 — — — 24 18% 3 — —
E. Havel F 89 6.30 — — — 16 10% 1 — —
Lukas Fridrikas F 89 6.30 — — 1 24 20% — — —
M. Hoffman — — — — — — — — — —
D. Kovacevic D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Maximilian Hennig D 13 6.60 — — — 1 1% — — —
M. Aziz F 26 6.30 — — — 8 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg?
The final score was Sturm Graz 0–0 TSV Hartberg.
What did the model predict before Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Sturm Graz win, 23% to a draw, and 15% to an TSV Hartberg win.