← Bundesliga
#2 · 34 pts
0 – 0
Final score
#6 · 22 pts
Model wrong — prediction Sturm Graz, result Pareggio

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sturm Graz a 61% win probability (draw 23%, TSV Hartberg 15%). The final result was Sturm Graz 0–0 TSV Hartberg. In 3 previous meetings, Sturm Graz have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for TSV Hartberg.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
7
1
Shots on target
1
1.35
Actual xG
0.76
0
Saves
1
61%
Possession
39%
5
Corners
8
23
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Albert Vallci
22'
G. Mamageishvili / M. Malone
60'
L. Weinhandl / R. Fosso
60'
64'
M. Aziz / M. Hoffmann
67'
Tobias Kainz
77'
M. Hennig / J. Heil
Jon Gorenc Stanković
82'
82'
Habib Anas Coulibaly
S. Jatta / R. Wilson
86'
J. Gazibegovic / S. Hierlander
90'+2
90'
Y. Diarra / L. Fridrikas
90'
D. Kovacevic / E. Havel
90'
J. Halwachs / K. Schopp
Pre-match prediction
61.05%
Sturm
23.72%
X ←
15.23%
TSV
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.72% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sturm
1.65
1.35
-0.3
TSV
0.44
0.76
+0.32
Sturm Graz dominated by xG (1.35 vs 0.76). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lask Linz Lask Linz 31 36
1 Ried Ried 31 28
2 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 31 25
2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 31 34
3 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 31 29
3 SCR Altach SCR Altach 31 24
4 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 31 24
4 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 31 29
5 Grazer AK Grazer AK 31 24
5 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 31 27
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 31 22
6 FC BW Linz FC BW Linz 31 21
Lineups
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3-4-2-1
53 Daniil Khudyakov Daniil Khudyakov G 6.90
30 Paul Koller Paul Koller D 7.20
2 Jeyland Mitchell Jeyland Mitchell D 8.30
5 Albert Vallci Albert Vallci D 7.90
43 Jacob Hödl Jacob Hödl M 7.20
39 Luca Weinhandl Luca Weinhandl 60' M 6.90
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič J. Gorenc Stankovič M 7.70
22 Jusuf Gazibegović Jusuf Gazibegović M 7.00
10 O. Kiteishvili O. Kiteishvili F 7.20
15 Gizo Mamageishvili Gizo Mamageishvili 60' F 6.90
20 Seedy Jatta Seedy Jatta 86' F 6.90
Bench
23 A. Malic A. Malic D
11 Axel Kayombo Axel Kayombo F
47
E. Aiwu D
77 Maurice Malone Maurice Malone 30' F 6.50
80 Ryan Fosso Ryan Fosso 30' M 6.60
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 3-4-3
1
G 7.60
6 Habib Anas Coulibaly Habib Anas Coulibaly D 6.90
18
D 7.20
27 Konstantin Schopp Konstantin Schopp 89' D 7.90
2 Luca Pazourek Luca Pazourek M 7.30
4 Benjamin Markuš Benjamin Markuš M 6.60
23 T. Kainz T. Kainz M 7.60
28 Jurgen Heil Jurgen Heil 77' M 7.00
7 E. Havel E. Havel 89' F 6.30
30 Lukas Fridrikas Lukas Fridrikas 89' F 6.30
22
M. Hoffmann
Bench
95 Damjan Kovačević Damjan Kovačević 1' D
33 Maximilian Hennig Maximilian Hennig 13' D 6.60
61
M. Aziz 26' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Jeyland Mitchell
Jeyland Mitchell
D · Sturm
8.30
1 shots · 51 pass
Albert Vallci
Albert Vallci
D · Sturm
7.90
1 shots · 59 pass
Konstantin Schopp
Konstantin Schopp
D · TSV
7.90
1 shots · 26 pass
J. Gorenc Stankovič
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M · Sturm
7.70
1 shots · 52 pass
T. Kainz
T. Kainz
M · TSV
7.60
1 shots · 21 pass
G · TSV
7.60
· 35 pass
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniil Khudyakov G 90 6.90 24 20%
Paul Koller D 90 7.20 3 51 47%
Jeyland Mitchell D 90 8.30 1 51 47% 2
Albert Vallci D 90 7.90 1 59 50% 7 1
Jacob Hödl M 90 7.20 32 23% 3
Luca Weinhandl M 60 6.90 1 25 12% 4
J. Gorenc Stankovič M 90 7.70 1 52 46% 1 1
Jusuf Gazibegović M 92 7.00 1 31 22% 1
O. Kiteishvili F 90 7.20 56 48%
Gizo Mamageishvili F 60 6.90 1 21 16% 3
Seedy Jatta F 86 6.90 4 13 9% 1
Maurice Malone F 30 6.50 6 4% 1
Ryan Fosso M 30 6.60 20 16%
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.60 35 22%
Habib Anas Coulibaly D 90 6.90 1 26 20% 2 1
D 90 7.20 26 17%
Konstantin Schopp D 89 7.90 1 26 19% 4
Luca Pazourek M 90 7.30 22 13% 6
Benjamin Markuš M 90 6.60 3 36 24%
T. Kainz M 90 7.60 1 21 14% 3 1
Jurgen Heil M 77 7.00 24 18% 3
E. Havel F 89 6.30 16 10% 1
Lukas Fridrikas F 89 6.30 1 24 20%
M. Hoffmann
Damjan Kovačević D 1
Maximilian Hennig D 13 6.60 1 1%
M. Aziz F 26 6.30 8 4%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg?
The final score was Sturm Graz 0–0 TSV Hartberg.
What did the model predict before Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Sturm Graz win, 23% to a draw, and 15% to an TSV Hartberg win.