Skip to main content
← Bundesliga
Bundesliga · Championship Group - 26 April 12, 2026 14:30 Merkur-Arena, Graz
Sturm Graz
#4 · 8 pts
0 – 0
Final score
TSV Hartberg
#6 · 7 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Sturm Graz, result Draw
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sturm Graz a 61% win probability (draw 23%, TSV Hartberg 15%). The final result was Sturm Graz 0–0 TSV Hartberg. In 4 previous meetings, Sturm Graz have won 4 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for TSV Hartberg.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
7
1
Shots on target
1
1.35
Actual xG
0.76
0
Saves
1
61%
Possession
39%
5
Corners
8
23
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Albert Vallci
22'
↕ G. Mamageishvili / M. Malone
60'
↕ L. Weinhandl / R. Fosso
60'
64'
M. Aziz / M. Hoffmann ↕
67'
Tobias Kainz
77'
M. Hennig / J. Heil ↕
Jon Gorenc Stanković
82'
82'
Habib Anas Coulibaly
↕ S. Jatta / R. Wilson
86'
↕ J. Gazibegovic / S. Hierlander
90'+2
90'
Y. Diarra / L. Fridrikas ↕
90'
D. Kovacevic / E. Havel ↕
90'
J. Halwachs / K. Schopp ↕
Pre-match prediction
61.05%
Sturm
23.72%
X ←
15.23%
TSV
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.72% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sturm
1.65
1.35
-0.3
TSV
0.44
0.76
+0.32
Sturm Graz dominated by xG (1.35 vs 0.76). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lask Linz Lask Linz 5 15
2 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 6 15
3 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 6 14
4 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 5 8
5 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 6 8
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 6 7
7 Grazer AK Grazer AK 6 7
8 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 6 6
9 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 6 5
10 Ried Ried 6 5
11 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 6 5
12 SCR Altach SCR Altach 6 3
Lineups
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3-4-2-1
53 D. Khudyakov D. Khudyakov G 6.90
30 P. Koller P. Koller D 7.20
2 J. Mitchell J. Mitchell D 8.30
5 A. Vallci A. Vallci D 7.90
43 Jacob Peter Hödl Jacob Peter Hödl M 7.20
39 Luca Weinhandl Luca Weinhandl 60' M 6.90
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič J. Gorenc Stankovič M 7.70
22 Jusuf Gazibegović Jusuf Gazibegović M 7.00
10 O. Kiteishvili O. Kiteishvili F 7.20
15 G. Mamageishvili G. Mamageishvili 60' F 6.90
20 S. Jatta S. Jatta 86' F 6.90
Bench
23 A. Malic A. Malic D
11 Axel Kayombo Axel Kayombo F
47
Emanuel Aiwu D
77 M. Malone M. Malone 30' F 6.50
80 R. Fosso R. Fosso 30' M 6.60
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 3-4-3
1
G 7.60
6 Habib Coulibaly Habib Coulibaly D 6.90
18
D 7.20
27 K. Schopp K. Schopp 89' D 7.90
2 Luca Pazourek Luca Pazourek M 7.30
4 B. Markuš B. Markuš M 6.60
23 T. Kainz T. Kainz M 7.60
28 J. Heil J. Heil 77' M 7.00
7 E. Havel E. Havel 89' F 6.30
30 Lukas Fridrikas Lukas Fridrikas 89' F 6.30
22 M. Hoffman M. Hoffman
Bench
95 D. Kovacevic D. Kovacevic 1' D
33 Maximilian Hennig Maximilian Hennig 13' D 6.60
61
M. Aziz 26' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
J. Mitchell
J. Mitchell
D · Sturm
8.30
1 shots · 51 pass
A. Vallci
A. Vallci
D · Sturm
7.90
1 shots · 59 pass
K. Schopp
K. Schopp
D · TSV
7.90
1 shots · 26 pass
J. Gorenc Stankovič
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M · Sturm
7.70
1 shots · 52 pass
T. Kainz
T. Kainz
M · TSV
7.60
1 shots · 21 pass
G · TSV
7.60
· 35 pass
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Khudyakov G 90 6.90 — — — 24 20% — — —
P. Koller D 90 7.20 — — 3 51 47% — — —
J. Mitchell D 90 8.30 — — 1 51 47% 2 — —
A. Vallci D 90 7.90 — — 1 59 50% 7 1 —
Jacob Peter Hödl M 90 7.20 — — — 32 23% 3 — —
Luca Weinhandl M 60 6.90 — — 1 25 12% 4 — —
J. Gorenc Stankovič M 90 7.70 — — 1 52 46% 1 1 —
Jusuf Gazibegović M 92 7.00 — — 1 31 22% 1 — —
O. Kiteishvili F 90 7.20 — — — 56 48% — — —
G. Mamageishvili F 60 6.90 — — 1 21 16% 3 — —
S. Jatta F 86 6.90 — — 4 13 9% 1 — —
M. Malone F 30 6.50 — — — 6 4% 1 — —
R. Fosso M 30 6.60 — — — 20 16% — — —
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.60 — — — 35 22% — — —
Habib Coulibaly D 90 6.90 — — 1 26 20% 2 1 —
D 90 7.20 — — — 26 17% — — —
K. Schopp D 89 7.90 — — 1 26 19% 4 — —
Luca Pazourek M 90 7.30 — — — 22 13% 6 — —
B. Markuš M 90 6.60 — — 3 36 24% — — —
T. Kainz M 90 7.60 — — 1 21 14% 3 1 —
J. Heil M 77 7.00 — — — 24 18% 3 — —
E. Havel F 89 6.30 — — — 16 10% 1 — —
Lukas Fridrikas F 89 6.30 — — 1 24 20% — — —
M. Hoffman — — — — — — — — — —
D. Kovacevic D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Maximilian Hennig D 13 6.60 — — — 1 1% — — —
M. Aziz F 26 6.30 — — — 8 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg?
The final score was Sturm Graz 0–0 TSV Hartberg.
What did the model predict before Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Sturm Graz win, 23% to a draw, and 15% to an TSV Hartberg win.