✗Model wrong — prediction Sturm Graz, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sturm Graz a 61% win probability (draw 23%, TSV Hartberg 15%). The final result was Sturm Graz 0–0 TSV Hartberg. In 3 previous meetings, Sturm Graz have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for TSV Hartberg.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
7
1
Shots on target
1
1.35
Actual xG
0.76
0
Saves
1
61%
Possession
39%
5
Corners
8
23
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Albert Vallci
22'
G. Mamageishvili
/ M. Malone
60'
L. Weinhandl
/ R. Fosso
60'
64'
M. Aziz
/
M. Hoffmann
67'
Tobias Kainz
77'
M. Hennig
/
J. Heil
Jon Gorenc Stanković
82'
82'
Habib Anas Coulibaly
S. Jatta
/ R. Wilson
86'
J. Gazibegovic
/ S. Hierlander
90'+2
90'
Y. Diarra
/
L. Fridrikas
90'
D. Kovacevic
/
E. Havel
90'
J. Halwachs
/
K. Schopp
Pre-match prediction
61.05%
Sturm
23.72%
X ←
15.23%
TSV
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.65
1.35
-0.3
0.44
0.76
+0.32
Sturm Graz dominated by xG (1.35 vs 0.76).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
53
Daniil Khudyakov
G
Daniil Khudyakov
G
30
Paul Koller
D
Paul Koller
D
2
J. Mitchell
D
J. Mitchell
D
5
Albert Vallci
D
Albert Vallci
D
43
Jacob Hödl
M
Jacob Hödl
M
39
Luca Weinhandl
60'
M
Luca Weinhandl
60'
M
4
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M
22
Jusuf Gazibegović
M
Jusuf Gazibegović
M
10
O. Kiteishvili
F
O. Kiteishvili
F
15
Gizo Mamageishvili
60'
F
20
Seedy Jatta
86'
F
Seedy Jatta
86'
F
Bench
23
Arjan Malić
D
Arjan Malić
D
11
Axel Kayombo
F
Axel Kayombo
F
47
E. Aiwu
D
77
Maurice Malone
30'
F
Maurice Malone
30'
F
80
Ryan Fosso
30'
M
Ryan Fosso
30'
M
1
G
6
Habib Anas Coulibaly
D
Habib Anas Coulibaly
D
18
D
27
Konstantin Schopp
89'
D
Konstantin Schopp
89'
D
2
Luca Pazourek
M
Luca Pazourek
M
4
Benjamin Markuš
M
Benjamin Markuš
M
23
T. Kainz
M
T. Kainz
M
28
Jurgen Heil
77'
M
Jurgen Heil
77'
M
7
E. Havel
89'
F
E. Havel
89'
F
30
Lukas Fridrikas
89'
F
Lukas Fridrikas
89'
F
22
M. Hoffmann
Bench
95
Damjan Kovačević
1'
D
Damjan Kovačević
1'
D
33
Maximilian Hennig
13'
D
Maximilian Hennig
13'
D
61
M. Aziz
26'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Mitchell
D · Sturm
8.30
1 shots
· 51 pass
Albert Vallci
D · Sturm
7.90
1 shots
· 59 pass
Konstantin Schopp
D · TSV
7.90
1 shots
· 26 pass
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M · Sturm
7.70
1 shots
· 52 pass
T. Kainz
M · TSV
7.60
1 shots
· 21 pass
G · TSV
7.60
· 35 pass
Sturm Graz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Khudyakov | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Paul Koller | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 51 | 47% | — | — | — |
| J. Mitchell | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Albert Vallci | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 50% | 7 | 1 | — |
| Jacob Hödl | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Luca Weinhandl | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Gorenc Stankovič | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jusuf Gazibegović | M | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Kiteishvili | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Gizo Mamageishvili | F | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Seedy Jatta | F | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Maurice Malone | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan Fosso | M | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
TSV Hartberg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| Habib Anas Coulibaly | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Konstantin Schopp | D | 89 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Luca Pazourek | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | 6 | — | — |
| Benjamin Markuš | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 24% | — | — | — |
| T. Kainz | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jurgen Heil | M | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Havel | F | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Lukas Fridrikas | F | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. Hoffmann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Damjan Kovačević | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maximilian Hennig | D | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Aziz | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg?
The final score was Sturm Graz 0–0 TSV Hartberg.
What did the model predict before Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Sturm Graz win, 23% to a draw, and 15% to an TSV Hartberg win.