Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
· Group Stage - 1
September 25, 2026 15:00
Mohamed Eisa
86'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ethiopia a 42% win probability (draw 27%, Sudan 29%). The final result was Sudan 1–0 Ethiopia.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
5
5
Corners
5
Match Events
55'
mesfin taffese
61'
tilahuni fitsumi
/
mesfin taffese
Bakhit Khamis
/ Ahmed Yousif Tabanja
61'
Aamir Abdallah Yunis
/ Yasir Mozamil
69'
Ammar Kamaleldin Taifour
/ Salaheldin Adil Ahmed Alhassan
69'
76'
Carlose damtew
/
abed yalew
81'
samuel yohannes
83'
Gathuoch Panom
85'
samuel bereket
⚽Mohamed Eisa
86'
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
29.72%
Sudan ←
27.87%
X
42.41%
Ethiopia
we assigned to the actual result (Sudan)
29.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.00
—
—
2.18
—
—
Lineups
99
G
95
D
98
D
97
D
96
Sheddy Barglan
F
Sheddy Barglan
F
93
M
92
M
94
M
89
Aamir Yunis Abdallah
F
Aamir Yunis Abdallah
F
90
F
91
M. Eisa
1 ⚽
F
M. Eisa
1 ⚽
F
Sudan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sheddy Barglan | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Aamir Yunis Abdallah | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M. Eisa | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Ethiopia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| A. Yalew | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sudan vs Ethiopia?
The final score was Sudan 1–0 Ethiopia.
What did the model predict before Sudan vs Ethiopia?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Sudan win, 27% to a draw, and 42% to an Ethiopia win.