Sudan - Senegal
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
November 15, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
25.26%
Win
Sudan
33.33%
Draw
41.41%
Win
Senegal
0.59
0.99
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–1
(16.28%)
1X2 Result
1
25%
X
33%
2
41%
Double Chance
1X
59%
X2
75%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
79%
✓ 77.1% hit rate (48 picks)
Over 2.5
57%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Senegal a 41% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 25% for Sudan. Expected goals are 0.6 for Sudan and 1.0 for Senegal (total 1.6), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 16.28% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Sudan have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Senegal.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
1W
1D
0L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.0
2.0
Conceded
0.5
3.0
Shots OT
4.0
5.5
Corners
6.0
35%
Poss.
64%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
0%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
1W
0D
0L
· at home
1W
1D
0L
· away
1.0
gls/g
1.0
0.0
Conceded
0.5
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
0%
O 1.5
50%
0%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
50%
100%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Sudan
Senegal →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.6% | 20.4% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Sudan
Attack
24
Defence
50
Form
29
Senegal
Attack
38
Defence
77
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
3 Jan 2026
1–3
Group J
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Senegal
|
2 | 4 |
| 2 |
Mozambique
|
2 | 4 |
| 3 |
Sudan
|
2 | 3 |
| 4 |
Ethiopia
|
2 | 0 |
What's at stake · Group J
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #1 |
| → Sudan | #1 | #3 |
| → Draw | #3 | #1 |
| → Senegal | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sudan vs Senegal?
The model gives Sudan a 25% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 41% for an Senegal win.
How many goals are expected in Sudan vs Senegal?
Expected goals: Sudan 0.6, Senegal 1.0 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Sudan vs Senegal?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.28%.