The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ascoli a 36% win probability (draw 30%, Sudtirol 33%). The final result was Sudtirol 0–0 Ascoli.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
2
1.17
Actual xG
0.70
2
Saves
4
42%
Possession
58%
5
Corners
5
21
Tackles
15
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Salvatore Molina
37'
Alvin Okoro
/ Kenny Meddy Mixtur
45'
Giacomo Stabile
48'
Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes
60'
Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes
/ Rares Burnete
66'
Rares Burnete
67'
73'
Giacomo De Pieri
/
Andrea·Silipo
73'
amine chakir
/
Matteo Brunori
73'
Gennao Acampora
/
Tommaso Milanese
75'
Nicholas Rizzo
Aljosa Vasic
/ Lorenzo Anghele
75'
Giacomo Stabile
/ Davide Veroli
80'
Fabio Rispoli
/ Dhirar Brik
80'
87'
Don Bolsius
/
Simone D'Uffizi
Pre-match prediction
33.02%
Sudtirol
30.08%
X ←
36.91%
Ascoli
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.02
1.17
+0.15
1.58
0.70
-0.88
Sudtirol dominated by xG (1.17 vs 0.70).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
A. Plizzari
G
A. Plizzari
G
24
S. Davì
D
S. Davì
D
27
G. Stabile
80'
D
G. Stabile
80'
D
55
A. Giorgini
D
A. Giorgini
D
4
R. Stivanello
D
R. Stivanello
D
79
S. Molina
D
S. Molina
D
14
A. Vasic
75'
M
A. Vasic
75'
M
10
Fabio Rispoli
80'
M
Fabio Rispoli
80'
M
5
S. Tronchin
M
S. Tronchin
M
11
Vasco Lopes
66'
M
Vasco Lopes
66'
M
90
A. Okoro
45'
F
A. Okoro
45'
F
Bench
46
D. Brik
10'
M
D. Brik
10'
M
3
D. Veroli
10'
D
D. Veroli
10'
D
80
Elias Schroot
M
Elias Schroot
M
21
F. Tait
M
F. Tait
M
25
K. Mixtur
45'
F
K. Mixtur
45'
F
17
L. Anghelè
15'
F
L. Anghelè
15'
F
19
M. Pellini
D
M. Pellini
D
9
R. Burnete
24'
F
R. Burnete
24'
F
12
Rok Vadjunec
G
Rok Vadjunec
G
1
S. Vitale
G
S. Vitale
G
19
A. Guiébré
D
A. Guiébré
D
33
N. Rizzo
D
N. Rizzo
D
30
M. Curado
D
M. Curado
D
14
A. Oliveri
D
A. Oliveri
D
8
G. Corradini
M
G. Corradini
M
4
S. Damiani
M
S. Damiani
M
15
S. D'Uffizi
87'
M
S. D'Uffizi
87'
M
62
T. Milanese
73'
M
T. Milanese
73'
M
7
A. Silipo
73'
M
A. Silipo
73'
M
99
73'
F
Bench
9
A. Chakir
17'
F
A. Chakir
17'
F
77
D. Bolsius
3'
F
D. Bolsius
3'
F
32
F. Gattoni
D
F. Gattoni
D
13
G. Acampora
17'
M
G. Acampora
17'
M
45
G. Crespi
G
G. Crespi
G
21
G. De Pieri
17'
M
G. De Pieri
17'
M
35
G. Gori
F
G. Gori
F
18
L. Lo Scalzo
M
L. Lo Scalzo
M
5
L. Venuti
D
L. Venuti
D
3
M. Nicoletti
D
M. Nicoletti
D
27
M. Ricci
M
M. Ricci
M
11
S. Perciun
M
S. Perciun
M
Best on the pitch
S. Vitale
G · Ascoli
7.35
· 48 pass
S. Davì
D · Sudtirol
7.27
· 31 pass
A. Oliveri
D · Ascoli
7.22
2 shots
· 50 pass
K. Mixtur
F · Sudtirol
7.20
3 shots
· 12 pass
M. Curado
D · Ascoli
7.07
· 106 pass
A. Giorgini
D · Sudtirol
6.99
· 48 pass
Sudtirol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Plizzari | G | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Davì | D | 90 | 7.27 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Stabile | D | 80 | 6.69 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 34% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Giorgini | D | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Stivanello | D | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 3 | 33 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Molina | D | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 30% | 4 | 1 | — |
| A. Vasic | M | 75 | 6.36 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabio Rispoli | M | 80 | 6.84 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Tronchin | M | 90 | 6.13 | — | — | 4 | 48 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Vasco Lopes | M | 66 | 6.31 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Okoro | F | 45 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Brik | M | 10 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Veroli | D | 10 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Mixtur | F | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Anghelè | F | 15 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Burnete | F | 24 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 7% | 3 | 1 | — |
Ascoli — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Vitale | G | 90 | 7.35 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 41% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Guiébré | D | 90 | 6.79 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Rizzo | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 73 | 68% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Curado | D | 90 | 7.07 | — | — | 0 | 106 | 96% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Oliveri | D | 90 | 7.22 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Corradini | M | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Damiani | M | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| S. D'Uffizi | M | 87 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Milanese | M | 73 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Silipo | M | 73 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| F | 73 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | 0 | — | — | |
| A. Chakir | F | 17 | 6.44 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Bolsius | F | 3 | 6.86 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Acampora | M | 17 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| G. De Pieri | M | 17 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sudtirol vs Ascoli?
The final score was Sudtirol 0–0 Ascoli.
What did the model predict before Sudtirol vs Ascoli?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Sudtirol win, 30% to a draw, and 36% to an Ascoli win.