Serie B
· Relegation Play-offs - Final
May 22, 2026 20:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sudtirol a 51% win probability (draw 27%, Bari 21%). The final result was Sudtirol 0–0 Bari. In 3 previous meetings, Sudtirol have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Bari.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
2
0.90
Actual xG
0.85
2
Saves
2
45%
Possession
55%
6
Corners
4
19
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
H. El Kaouakibi
19'
39'
G. Maggiore
46'
M. Verreth
/
G. Maggiore
57'
L. Dickmann
/
V. Mantovani
63'
68'
C. Gytkjaer
/
R. Pagano
81'
C. Odenthal
M. R. Frigerio
/ F. Tait
83'
84'
M. Cuni
/
E. Rao
84'
F. Artioli
/
M. Braunoder
85'
F. Artioli
E. Pecorino
/ R. Odogwu
86'
D. Casiraghi
/ D. Crnigoj
86'
Pre-match prediction
51.17%
Sudtirol
27.4%
X ←
21.43%
Bari
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.4%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.34
0.90
-0.44
0.72
0.85
+0.13
xG dominance was balanced (0.90 – 0.85).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
31
Marius Adamonis
G
Marius Adamonis
G
34
Frédéric Veseli
D
Frédéric Veseli
D
19
N. Pietrangeli
D
N. Pietrangeli
D
94
Hamza El Kaouakibi
D
Hamza El Kaouakibi
D
24
S. Davì
M
S. Davì
M
17
D. Casiraghi
86'
M
D. Casiraghi
86'
M
18
S. Tronchin
M
S. Tronchin
M
26
Marco Romano Frigerio
83'
M
Marco Romano Frigerio
83'
M
79
S. Molina
M
S. Molina
M
9
E. Pecorino
86'
F
E. Pecorino
86'
F
33
S. Merkaj
F
S. Merkaj
F
Bench
13
Carlo Sabatini
D
Carlo Sabatini
D
1
Daniele Borra
G
Daniele Borra
G
62
Daniel Theiner
G
Daniel Theiner
G
4
Davide Mancini
D
Davide Mancini
D
89
D. Črnigoj
9'
M
23
F. Davi
D
F. Davi
D
21
F. Tait
12'
M
F. Tait
12'
M
6
J. Martini
M
J. Martini
M
7
K. Zedadka
M
K. Zedadka
M
90
Raphael Odogwu
9'
F
Raphael Odogwu
9'
F
11
Riccardo Tonin
F
Riccardo Tonin
F
99
S. Verdi
M
S. Verdi
M
31
Michele Cerofolini
G
Michele Cerofolini
G
93
M. Dorval
D
M. Dorval
D
43
D. Nikolaou
D
D. Nikolaou
D
26
C. Odenthal
D
C. Odenthal
D
13
Valerio Mantovani
57'
D
Valerio Mantovani
57'
D
28
K. Piscopo
M
K. Piscopo
M
18
Giulio Maggiore
45'
M
Giulio Maggiore
45'
M
27
M. Braunöder
84'
M
M. Braunöder
84'
M
8
R. Pagano
68'
M
R. Pagano
68'
M
17
E. Rao
84'
F
E. Rao
84'
F
11
G. Moncini
F
G. Moncini
F
Bench
9
Christian Gytkjær
27'
F
Christian Gytkjær
27'
F
80
F. Artioli
11'
M
F. Artioli
11'
M
49
G. De Pieri
M
G. De Pieri
M
37
G. Stabile
D
G. Stabile
D
24
L. Dickmann
38'
D
L. Dickmann
38'
D
1
Marco Pissardo
G
Marco Pissardo
G
90
Marvin Çuni
11'
F
Marvin Çuni
11'
F
30
Moussa Mane
D
Moussa Mane
D
29
M. Verreth
50'
M
M. Verreth
50'
M
10
Nicola Bellomo
M
Nicola Bellomo
M
25
Raffaele Pucino
D
Raffaele Pucino
D
19
Tomás Esteves
D
Tomás Esteves
D
Best on the pitch
S. Molina
M · Sudtirol
7.50
1 shots
· 32 pass
M. Verreth
M · Bari
7.30
· 24 pass
S. Tronchin
M · Sudtirol
7.30
· 27 pass
D. Casiraghi
M · Sudtirol
7.30
1 shots
· 30 pass
Marius Adamonis
G · Sudtirol
7.20
· 18 pass
N. Pietrangeli
D · Sudtirol
7.20
· 15 pass
Sudtirol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marius Adamonis | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Frédéric Veseli | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| N. Pietrangeli | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Hamza El Kaouakibi | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Davì | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D. Casiraghi | M | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Tronchin | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Marco Romano Frigerio | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 6% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Molina | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 16% | 5 | — | — |
| E. Pecorino | F | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Merkaj | F | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Črnigoj | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| F. Tait | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Raphael Odogwu | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Bari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michele Cerofolini | G | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 22% | — | — | — |
| M. Dorval | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Nikolaou | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Odenthal | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Valerio Mantovani | D | 57 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| K. Piscopo | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Giulio Maggiore | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Braunöder | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | — | — | — |
| R. Pagano | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| E. Rao | F | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Moncini | F | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Christian Gytkjær | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| F. Artioli | M | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Dickmann | D | 38 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Marvin Çuni | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — |
| M. Verreth | M | 50 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sudtirol vs Bari?
The final score was Sudtirol 0–0 Bari.
What did the model predict before Sudtirol vs Bari?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Sudtirol win, 27% to a draw, and 21% to an Bari win.