Serie B
· Regular Season - 38
May 08, 2026 20:30
D. Crnigoj
(ast. K. Zedadka)
60'
36'
(ast. F. Maistro)
A. Gabrielloni
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Juve Stabia a 42% win probability (draw 25%, Sudtirol 31%). The final result was Sudtirol 1–1 Juve Stabia. In 2 previous meetings, Sudtirol have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Juve Stabia.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
1
1.93
Actual xG
0.51
0
Saves
5
42%
Possession
58%
8
Corners
2
17
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
36'
ast. F. Maistro ·
A. Gabrielloni⚽
46'
K. Zeroli
/
F. Maistro
46'
A. Giorgini
/
M. Bellich
46'
S. Kassama
/
S. Diakite
F. Veseli
/ K. Zedadka
56'
F. Tait
/ D. Crnigoj
56'
⚽D. Crnigoj
· ast. K. Zedadka
60'
62'
L. Candellone
/
A. Ciammaglichella
D. Casiraghi
/ S. Verdi
64'
S. Tronchin
/ M. R. Frigerio
64'
E. Pecorino
/ R. Odogwu
74'
82'
P. Matheu
/
M. Ricciardi
K. Zedadka
90'
Pre-match prediction
31.38%
Sudtirol
25.77%
X ←
42.85%
Juve
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.77%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.97
1.93
+0.96
1.38
0.51
-0.87
Sudtirol dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.51).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
G
34
Frédéric Veseli
56'
D
Frédéric Veseli
56'
D
19
N. Pietrangeli
D
N. Pietrangeli
D
94
Hamza El Kaouakibi
D
Hamza El Kaouakibi
D
24
S. Davì
M
S. Davì
M
17
D. Casiraghi
64'
M
D. Casiraghi
64'
M
18
S. Tronchin
64'
M
S. Tronchin
64'
M
21
F. Tait
56'
M
F. Tait
56'
M
79
S. Molina
M
S. Molina
M
9
E. Pecorino
74'
F
E. Pecorino
74'
F
33
S. Merkaj
F
S. Merkaj
F
Bench
5
A. Masiello
D
89
D. Črnigoj
1 ⚽
34'
M
23
F. Davi
D
F. Davi
D
6
J. Martini
M
J. Martini
M
7
K. Zedadka
1 👟
34'
M
K. Zedadka
1 👟
34'
M
26
Marco Romano Frigerio
26'
M
Marco Romano Frigerio
26'
M
90
Raphael Odogwu
16'
F
Raphael Odogwu
16'
F
11
Riccardo Tonin
F
Riccardo Tonin
F
23
G
6
M. Bellich
45'
D
M. Bellich
45'
D
14
D
46
Salim Diakité
45'
D
Salim Diakité
45'
D
76
Mattia Mannini
M
Mattia Mannini
M
17
Aaron Ciammaglichella
62'
M
Aaron Ciammaglichella
62'
M
28
M
10
C. Pierobon
M
C. Pierobon
M
2
M. Ricciardi
82'
M
M. Ricciardi
82'
M
37
F. Maistro
1 👟
45'
F
F. Maistro
1 👟
45'
F
9
A. Gabrielloni
1 ⚽
F
A. Gabrielloni
1 ⚽
F
Bench
77
A. Cacciamani
F
A. Cacciamani
F
33
A. Giorgini
45'
D
A. Giorgini
45'
D
90
A. Okoro
F
A. Okoro
F
24
L. Carissoni
D
L. Carissoni
D
98
N. Mosti
M
N. Mosti
M
70
P. Matheu
8'
F
Best on the pitch
D. Črnigoj
M · Sudtirol
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
D. Casiraghi
M · Sudtirol
7.90
1 shots
· 25 pass
K. Zedadka
M · Sudtirol
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 16 pass
A. Gabrielloni
F · Juve
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
M. Bellich
D · Juve
7.30
· 33 pass
D · Juve
7.30
· 72 pass
Sudtirol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 6% | — | — | — | |
| Frédéric Veseli | D | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Pietrangeli | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Hamza El Kaouakibi | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Davì | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| D. Casiraghi | M | 64 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| S. Tronchin | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Tait | M | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Molina | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Pecorino | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Merkaj | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Črnigoj | M | 34 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Zedadka | M | 34 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marco Romano Frigerio | M | 26 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Raphael Odogwu | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Juve Stabia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| M. Bellich | D | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 72 | 65% | 5 | — | — | |
| Salim Diakité | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Mattia Mannini | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Aaron Ciammaglichella | M | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 76 | 67% | — | — | — | |
| C. Pierobon | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ricciardi | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| F. Maistro | F | 45 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| A. Gabrielloni | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| A. Giorgini | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| P. Matheu | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sudtirol vs Juve Stabia?
The final score was Sudtirol 1–1 Juve Stabia.
What did the model predict before Sudtirol vs Juve Stabia?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Sudtirol win, 25% to a draw, and 42% to an Juve Stabia win.