Serie B
· Regular Season - 38
May 08, 2026 20:30
D. Crnigoj
(ast. K. Zedadka)
60'
36'
(ast. F. Maistro)
A. Gabrielloni
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Juve Stabia a 42% win probability (draw 25%, Sudtirol 31%). The final result was Sudtirol 1–1 Juve Stabia. In 1 previous meetings, Sudtirol have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Juve Stabia.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
1
1.93
Actual xG
0.51
0
Saves
5
42%
Possession
58%
8
Corners
2
17
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
36'
ast. F. Maistro ·
A. Gabrielloni⚽
46'
K. Zeroli
/
F. Maistro
46'
A. Giorgini
/
M. Bellich
46'
S. Kassama
/
S. Diakite
F. Veseli
/ K. Zedadka
56'
F. Tait
/ D. Crnigoj
56'
⚽D. Crnigoj
· ast. K. Zedadka
60'
62'
L. Candellone
/
A. Ciammaglichella
D. Casiraghi
/ S. Verdi
64'
S. Tronchin
/ M. R. Frigerio
64'
E. Pecorino
/ R. Odogwu
74'
82'
P. Matheu
/
M. Ricciardi
K. Zedadka
90'
Pre-match prediction
31.38%
Sudtirol
25.77%
X ←
42.85%
Juve
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.77%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.97
1.93
+0.96
1.38
0.51
-0.87
Sudtirol dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.51).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
G
34
F. Veseli
56'
D
19
N. Pietrangeli
D
94
H. El Kaouakibi
D
24
S. Davi
M
17
D. Casiraghi
64'
M
D. Casiraghi
64'
M
18
S. Tronchin
64'
M
21
F. Tait
56'
M
79
S. Molina
M
9
E. Pecorino
74'
F
E. Pecorino
74'
F
33
S. Merkaj
F
S. Merkaj
F
Bench
5
A. Masiello
D
89
D. Crnigoj
1 ⚽
34'
M
23
F. Davi
D
6
J. Martini
M
7
K. Zedadka
1 👟
34'
M
26
M. R. Frigerio
26'
M
90
R. Odogwu
16'
F
11
R. Tonin
F
23
G
6
Marco Bellich
45'
D
Marco Bellich
45'
D
14
D
46
Salim Diakité
45'
D
Salim Diakité
45'
D
76
Mattia Mannini
M
Mattia Mannini
M
17
Aaron Ciammaglichella
62'
M
Aaron Ciammaglichella
62'
M
28
M
10
Christian Pierobon
M
Christian Pierobon
M
2
Manuel Ricciardi
82'
M
Manuel Ricciardi
82'
M
37
Fabio Maistro
1 👟
45'
F
Fabio Maistro
1 👟
45'
F
9
Alessandro Gabrielloni
1 ⚽
F
Alessandro Gabrielloni
1 ⚽
F
Bench
77
Alessio Cacciamani
F
Alessio Cacciamani
F
90
Alvin Obinna Okoro
F
Alvin Obinna Okoro
F
33
Andrea Giorgini
45'
D
Andrea Giorgini
45'
D
24
Lorenzo Carissoni
D
Lorenzo Carissoni
D
98
Nicola Mosti
M
Nicola Mosti
M
70
P. Matheu
8'
F
Best on the pitch
D. Crnigoj
M · Sudtirol
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
D. Casiraghi
M · Sudtirol
7.90
1 shots
· 25 pass
K. Zedadka
M · Sudtirol
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 16 pass
Alessandro Gabrielloni
F · Juve
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
Marco Bellich
D · Juve
7.30
· 33 pass
D · Juve
7.30
· 72 pass
Sudtirol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 6% | — | — | — | |
| F. Veseli | D | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Pietrangeli | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| H. El Kaouakibi | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Davi | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| D. Casiraghi | M | 64 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| S. Tronchin | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Tait | M | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Molina | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Pecorino | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Merkaj | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Crnigoj | M | 34 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Zedadka | M | 34 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. R. Frigerio | M | 26 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Odogwu | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Juve Stabia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| Marco Bellich | D | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 72 | 65% | 5 | — | — | |
| Salim Diakité | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Mattia Mannini | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Aaron Ciammaglichella | M | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 76 | 67% | — | — | — | |
| Christian Pierobon | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Manuel Ricciardi | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Fabio Maistro | F | 45 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Gabrielloni | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Andrea Giorgini | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| P. Matheu | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sudtirol vs Juve Stabia?
The final score was Sudtirol 1–1 Juve Stabia.
What did the model predict before Sudtirol vs Juve Stabia?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Sudtirol win, 25% to a draw, and 42% to an Juve Stabia win.