Serie B
· Regular Season - 34
April 11, 2026 15:00
N. Pietrangeli
(ast. F. Veseli)
60'
21'
S. Santoro
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sudtirol a 33% win probability (draw 33%, Modena 32%). The final result was Sudtirol 1–1 Modena. In 2 previous meetings, Sudtirol have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Modena.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
3
2.52
Actual xG
1.19
2
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
7
Corners
9
7
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽D. Casiraghi
(missed pen.)
4'
10'
M. Pezzolato
/
L. Chichizola
21'
S. Santoro⚽
F. Tait
/ D. Crnigoj
46'
A. Masiello
/ F. Davi
46'
⚽N. Pietrangeli
· ast. F. Veseli
60'
63'
G. Beyuku
S. Tronchin
/ M. R. Frigerio
69'
69'
G. Ambrosino
/
P. Mendes
69'
N. Pyyhtia
/
Y. Massolin
76'
D. Casiraghi
/ J. Martini
77'
N. Pietrangeli
81'
83'
F. Zampano
/
L. Zanimacchia
83'
M. Cotali
/
G. Beyuku
E. Pecorino
/ R. Odogwu
84'
Pre-match prediction
33.93%
Sudtirol
33.76%
X ←
32.3%
Modena
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
33.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.98
2.52
+1.54
1.08
1.19
+0.11
Sudtirol dominated by xG (2.52 vs 1.19).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
G
34
Frédéric Veseli
1 👟
D
Frédéric Veseli
1 👟
D
19
N. Pietrangeli
1 ⚽
D
N. Pietrangeli
1 ⚽
D
5
A. Masiello
45'
D
7
K. Zedadka
M
K. Zedadka
M
17
D. Casiraghi
77'
M
D. Casiraghi
77'
M
18
S. Tronchin
69'
M
S. Tronchin
69'
M
21
F. Tait
45'
M
F. Tait
45'
M
79
S. Molina
M
S. Molina
M
33
S. Merkaj
F
S. Merkaj
F
9
E. Pecorino
84'
F
E. Pecorino
84'
F
Bench
89
D. Črnigoj
51'
M
23
F. Davi
51'
D
F. Davi
51'
D
6
J. Martini
19'
M
J. Martini
19'
M
26
Marco Romano Frigerio
27'
M
Marco Romano Frigerio
27'
M
90
Raphael Odogwu
12'
F
Raphael Odogwu
12'
F
11
Riccardo Tonin
F
Riccardo Tonin
F
24
S. Davì
D
S. Davì
D
1
L. Chichizola
10'
G
L. Chichizola
10'
G
20
D
19
D
77
D. Tonoli
D
D. Tonoli
D
98
Luca Zanimacchia
83'
M
Luca Zanimacchia
83'
M
8
S. Santoro
1 ⚽
M
S. Santoro
1 ⚽
M
16
F. Gerli
M
F. Gerli
M
2
Gady Beyuku
83'
M
Gady Beyuku
83'
M
11
Pedro Mendes
69'
M
Pedro Mendes
69'
M
17
Y. Massolin
69'
F
Y. Massolin
69'
F
99
M. De Luca
F
M. De Luca
F
Bench
28
D. Adorni
D
D. Adorni
D
24
E. Colpo
F
78
F. Bagheria
G
F. Bagheria
G
7
F. Zampano
13'
D
F. Zampano
13'
D
10
G. Ambrosino
27'
F
G. Ambrosino
27'
F
29
Matteo Cotali
13'
D
Matteo Cotali
13'
D
18
Niklas Pyyhtiä
27'
M
Niklas Pyyhtiä
27'
M
71
S. Wiafe
M
S. Wiafe
M
Best on the pitch
D · Modena
8.20
· 27 pass
K. Zedadka
M · Sudtirol
7.90
2 shots
· 32 pass
D. Tonoli
D · Modena
7.70
1 shots
· 38 pass
S. Santoro
M · Modena
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
L. Chichizola
G · Modena
7.30
· 1 pass
E. Pecorino
F · Sudtirol
7.30
2 shots
· 19 pass
Sudtirol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Frédéric Veseli | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Pietrangeli | D | 96 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Masiello | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| K. Zedadka | M | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| D. Casiraghi | M | 77 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Tronchin | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Tait | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Molina | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 19% | — | — | — |
| S. Merkaj | F | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| E. Pecorino | F | 84 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| D. Črnigoj | M | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| F. Davi | D | 51 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Martini | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Marco Romano Frigerio | M | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Raphael Odogwu | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Modena — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Chichizola | G | 10 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 4 | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 5 | — | — | |
| D. Tonoli | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Luca Zanimacchia | M | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| S. Santoro | M | 96 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Gerli | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Gady Beyuku | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Pedro Mendes | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Y. Massolin | F | 69 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| M. De Luca | F | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| F. Zampano | D | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| G. Ambrosino | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Matteo Cotali | D | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Niklas Pyyhtiä | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sudtirol vs Modena?
The final score was Sudtirol 1–1 Modena.
What did the model predict before Sudtirol vs Modena?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Sudtirol win, 33% to a draw, and 32% to an Modena win.