Salvatore Molina
90'+6
(pen.)
34'
(ast. Tjas Begic)
Yari Verschaeren
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sudtirol a 36% win probability (draw 30%, Sampdoria 33%). The final result was Sudtirol 1–1 Sampdoria. In 2 previous meetings, Sudtirol have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sampdoria.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
11
2
Shots on target
3
1.03
Actual xG
0.60
2
Saves
1
70%
Possession
30%
2
Corners
5
12
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
12'
Manuel Cicconi
/
Fabio Depaoli
18'
Manuel Cicconi
34'
ast. Tjas Begic ·
Yari Verschaeren⚽
Rares Burnete
/ Alvin Okoro
60'
Simone Davì
/ Elia Schrott
60'
Giacomo Stabile
61'
67'
Gennaro Tutino
/
Tobias Lauritsen
67'
Stefan Gartenmann
/
Alex Ferrari
Giacomo Stabile
/ Davide Veroli
67'
68'
Stefan Gartenmann
Aljosa Vasic
/ Dhirar Brik
76'
Simone Tronchin
/ Kevin Zeroli
76'
82'
Yann Karamoh
/
Tjas Begic
83'
Kevin Mbabu
/
Yari Verschaeren
⚽Salvatore Molina
(pen.)
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
36.16%
Sudtirol
30.36%
X ←
33.49%
Sampdoria
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.36%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
1.03
-0.27
1.19
0.60
-0.59
Sudtirol dominated by xG (1.03 vs 0.60).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
A. Plizzari
G
A. Plizzari
G
27
G. Stabile
67'
D
G. Stabile
67'
D
55
A. Giorgini
D
A. Giorgini
D
4
R. Stivanello
D
R. Stivanello
D
24
S. Davì
60'
M
S. Davì
60'
M
5
S. Tronchin
76'
M
S. Tronchin
76'
M
10
Fabio Rispoli
M
Fabio Rispoli
M
79
S. Molina
1 ⚽
M
S. Molina
1 ⚽
M
14
A. Vasic
76'
M
A. Vasic
76'
M
9
R. Burnete
60'
M
R. Burnete
60'
M
25
K. Mixtur
F
K. Mixtur
F
Bench
90
A. Okoro
30'
F
A. Okoro
30'
F
46
D. Brik
14'
M
D. Brik
14'
M
3
D. Veroli
23'
D
D. Veroli
23'
D
80
Elias Schroot
30'
M
Elias Schroot
30'
M
23
F. Davi
D
F. Davi
D
21
F. Tait
M
F. Tait
M
18
Kevin Zeroli
14'
M
Kevin Zeroli
14'
M
17
L. Anghelè
F
L. Anghelè
F
39
Marco Iuliano
D
Marco Iuliano
D
12
Rok Vadjunec
G
Rok Vadjunec
G
12
Andrey Krastev
G
Andrey Krastev
G
23
F. Depaoli
12'
D
F. Depaoli
12'
D
15
F. Delli Carri
D
F. Delli Carri
D
25
A. Ferrari
67'
D
A. Ferrari
67'
D
29
A. Di Pardo
D
A. Di Pardo
D
45
A. Makoumbou
M
A. Makoumbou
M
28
O. Abildgaard
M
O. Abildgaard
M
6
L. Henderson
M
L. Henderson
M
16
Y. Verschaeren
1 ⚽
83'
M
Y. Verschaeren
1 ⚽
83'
M
11
T. Begić
1 👟
82'
M
T. Begić
1 👟
82'
M
9
T. Lauritsen
67'
F
T. Lauritsen
67'
F
Bench
99
G. Tutino
23'
F
G. Tutino
23'
F
38
K. Diop
D
K. Diop
D
43
K. Mbabu
7'
D
K. Mbabu
7'
D
7
M. Cicconi
78'
M
M. Cicconi
78'
M
1
P. Vindahl
G
P. Vindahl
G
3
S. Gartenmann
23'
D
S. Gartenmann
23'
D
96
S. Massolo
G
S. Massolo
G
Best on the pitch
S. Molina
M · Sudtirol
7.80
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 56 pass
Y. Verschaeren
M · Sampdoria
7.74
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
T. Begić
M · Sampdoria
7.41
1 👟
3 shots
· 16 pass
A. Okoro
F · Sudtirol
7.02
1 shots
· 3 pass
A. Plizzari
G · Sudtirol
6.89
· 31 pass
Fabio Rispoli
M · Sudtirol
6.88
· 62 pass
Sudtirol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Plizzari | G | 90 | 6.89 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Stabile | D | 67 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 68% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Giorgini | D | 90 | 6.76 | — | — | 0 | 151 | 131% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Stivanello | D | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 121 | 111% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Davì | M | 60 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Tronchin | M | 76 | 6.24 | — | — | 2 | 60 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabio Rispoli | M | 90 | 6.88 | — | — | 0 | 62 | 59% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Molina | M | 90 | 7.80 | 1 | — | 1 | 56 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Vasic | M | 76 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Burnete | M | 60 | 6.48 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Mixtur | F | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Okoro | F | 30 | 7.02 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Brik | M | 14 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Veroli | D | 23 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| Elias Schroot | M | 30 | 6.43 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Zeroli | M | 14 | 6.38 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
Sampdoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrey Krastev | G | 90 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Depaoli | D | 12 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Delli Carri | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ferrari | D | 67 | 6.53 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Di Pardo | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Makoumbou | M | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Abildgaard | M | 90 | 5.83 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Henderson | M | 90 | 6.07 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Verschaeren | M | 83 | 7.74 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Begić | M | 82 | 7.41 | — | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Lauritsen | F | 67 | 6.55 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Tutino | F | 23 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Mbabu | D | 7 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Cicconi | M | 78 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Gartenmann | D | 23 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?
The final score was Sudtirol 1–1 Sampdoria.
What did the model predict before Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Sudtirol win, 30% to a draw, and 33% to an Sampdoria win.