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Suduva Marijampole - FK Trakai

A Lyga August 02, 2026 18:30
Suduva Marijampole
#5 · 33 pts
vs
FK Trakai
#10 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
90.76%
Win
Suduva Marijampole
4.99%
Draw
4.25%
Win
FK Trakai
3.55
Expected xG
0.3
Most likely outcome
Suduva Marijampole
90.76%
Probability
62.5%
1X2 accuracy · 16 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–0 (16.34%)
1X2 Result ✓ 62.5% hit rate (16 picks)
1 91%
X 5%
2 4%
Double Chance ✓ 87.5% hit rate (16 picks)
1X 96%
X2 9%
12 95%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Suduva Marijampole a 90% win probability, against 4% for a draw and 4% for FK Trakai. Expected goals are 3.5 for Suduva Marijampole and 0.3 for FK Trakai (total 3.8), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–0 at 16.34% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Suduva Marijampole have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FK Trakai.

Season Stats

Suduva Marijampole
8W 5D 2L
FK Trakai
0W 3D 12L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
0.3
1.0
Conceded
2.7
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
80%
67%
O 2.5
60%
73%
BTTS
20%
27%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in A Lyga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
37%
O 3.5
36%
BTTS
Suduva Marijampole
6W 4D 0L · at home
FK Trakai
0W 1D 8L · away
1.9
gls/g
0.3
0.6
Conceded
2.8
60%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
11%
60%
O 1.5
78%
50%
O 2.5
67%
30%
O 3.5
44%
50%
BTTS
22%
50%
Clean Sht
11%
30%
Failed to Score
78%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Suduva Marijampole FK Trakai →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% — — —
1 7.6% 2.3% 0.3% — — —
2 13.4% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% — —
3 15.9% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% — —
4 14.1% 4.2% 0.6% 0.1% — —
5 10.0% 3.0% 0.4% — — —

Recent form

Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole
W Hegelmann Litauen 5–1
D TransINVEST Vilnius 0–0
W Panevėžys 1–2
W Džiugas Telšiai 1–2
W Šiauliai 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
FK Trakai FK Trakai
L FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3–2
L Suduva Marijampole 0–3
L Šiauliai 2–0
L Džiugas Telšiai 1–0
L Banga 0–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole
Attack
47
Defence
84
Form
68
FK Trakai FK Trakai
Attack
8
Defence
34
Form
18
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

2
Suduva Marijampole
0
Draw
0
FK Trakai
29 May 2026 A Lyga 3–0
3 Apr 2026 A Lyga 5–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 22 35
2 Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris 20 34
3 FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius 21 34
4 Džiugas Telšiai Džiugas Telšiai 22 34
5 Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole 20 33
6 Banga Banga 21 33
7 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 23 22
8 Panevėžys Panevėžys 21 20
9 Šiauliai Šiauliai 22 13
10 FK Trakai FK Trakai 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Suduva Marijampole vs FK Trakai?
The model gives Suduva Marijampole a 90% win probability, 4% for a draw, and 4% for an FK Trakai win.
How many goals are expected in Suduva Marijampole vs FK Trakai?
Expected goals: Suduva Marijampole 3.5, FK Trakai 0.3 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Suduva Marijampole vs FK Trakai?
3–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.34%.