Premier League · Regular Season - 33 May 22, 2026 17:30

Sumqayıt

#9 · 10 pts

3 – 4

Final score

Qarabag

#4 · 19 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Qarabag

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Qarabag a 63% win probability (draw 17%, Sumqayıt 18%). The final result was Sumqayıt 3–4 Qarabag. In 3 previous meetings, Sumqayıt have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Qarabag.

Match statistics

Pre-match prediction

18.28%

Sumqayıt

17.96%

X

63.75%

Qarabag ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Qarabag) 63.75% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Sumqayıt

1.19

—

—

Qarabag

2.50

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League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Neftchi Baku	11	24
2	Turan	11	21
3	Sabah FA	10	21
4	Qarabag	10	19
5	Zira	11	19
6	Kapaz	10	17
7	Şamaxı FK	11	14
8	Imisli FK	11	11
9	Sumqayıt	10	10
10	Qabala	11	8
11	Safa Baku	11	5
12	Araz	11	4