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Europa League · League Stage - 1 September 16, 2026 21:00
Sunderland
#9 · 7 pts
1 – 0
Final score
AZ Alkmaar
#10 · 6 pts
E. Le Fee 66' (pen.)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AZ Alkmaar a 40% win probability (draw 23%, Sunderland 35%). The final result was Sunderland 1–0 AZ Alkmaar.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
2.90
Actual xG
1.49
2
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
11
Corners
5
16
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
T. Hume
22'
O. Alderete
30'
39'
A. Oufkir
46'
Weslley Patati / A. Oufkir ↕
↕ O. Alderete / D. Ballard
52'
59'
V. Byskov / K. Smit ↕
64'
Weslley Patati
⚽E. Le Fee (pen.)
66'
↕ T. Hume / T. Meunier
67'
↕ M. Fofana / B. Brobbey
67'
↕ W. Isidor / N. Angulo
67'
N. Mukiele
72'
76'
D. Kwakman / J. Clasie ↕
83'
J. Hornkamp / M. Meerdink ↕
83'
C. Stengs / L. Schouten ↕
↕ K. Danso / C. Rigg
84'
Pre-match prediction
35.81%
Sunderland ←
23.46%
X
40.73%
AZ
we assigned to the actual result (Sunderland) 35.81% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sunderland
2.20
2.90
+0.7
AZ
3.29
1.49
-1.8
Sunderland dominated by xG (2.90 vs 1.49). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Lineups
Sunderland Sunderland 4-2-3-1
22 R. Roefs R. Roefs G 7.60
17 Reinildo Reinildo D 7.00
15 O. Alderete O. Alderete 52' D 6.70
4 K. Danso K. Danso 84' D 6.30
20 N. Mukiele N. Mukiele D 6.60
27 N. Sadiki N. Sadiki M 7.00
34 G. Xhaka G. Xhaka M 7.50
39 M. Fofana M. Fofana 67' M 6.30
28 E. Le Fée E. Le Fée 1 ⚽ M 8.70
32 T. Hume T. Hume 67' M 6.20
18 W. Isidor W. Isidor 67' F 7.00
Bench
9 B. Brobbey B. Brobbey 26' F 6.90
11 C. Rigg C. Rigg 9' M 6.30
5 D. Ballard D. Ballard 41' D 7.30
6 D. Methalie D. Methalie D
48 Jenson Jones Jenson Jones D
29 Jules Ahoka Jules Ahoka M
13 L. O'Nien L. O'Nien M
10 N. Angulo N. Angulo 26' F 6.30
21 S. Moore S. Moore G
57 Timur Tuterov Timur Tuterov F
12 T. Meunier T. Meunier 26' D 6.70
77 T. Proctor T. Proctor M
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1
28 J. De Busser J. De Busser G 6.20
5 M. Chávez M. Chávez D 6.30
4 L. Schouten L. Schouten 83' D 7.20
3 W. Goes W. Goes D 6.90
22 E. Dijkstra E. Dijkstra D 7.30
6 P. Koopmeiners P. Koopmeiners M 6.70
8 J. Clasie J. Clasie 76' M 6.50
11 R. Daal R. Daal M 7.20
10 K. Smit K. Smit 59' M 6.50
24 A. Oufkir A. Oufkir 45' M 5.90
9 M. Meerdink M. Meerdink 83' F 6.90
Bench
18 B. Kovacs B. Kovacs F
14 C. Stengs C. Stengs 10' M 6.30
21 D. Kwakman D. Kwakman 17' M 6.90
19 J. Hornkamp J. Hornkamp 10' F 6.30
34 M. de Wit M. de Wit D
31 R. Ichihara R. Ichihara D
1 R. Owusu-Oduro R. Owusu-Oduro G
2 S. Maikuma S. Maikuma D
17 V. Byskov V. Byskov 34' M 6.70
7 Weslley Patati Weslley Patati 48' F 5.30
29 W. Hoedt W. Hoedt D
Best on the pitch
E. Le Fée
E. Le Fée
M · Sunderland
8.70
1 ⚽
4 shots · 27 pass
R. Roefs
R. Roefs
G · Sunderland
7.60
· 37 pass
G. Xhaka
G. Xhaka
M · Sunderland
7.50
2 shots · 50 pass
D. Ballard
D. Ballard
D · Sunderland
7.30
· 16 pass
E. Dijkstra
E. Dijkstra
D · AZ
7.30
· 33 pass
R. Daal
R. Daal
M · AZ
7.20
1 shots · 41 pass
Sunderland Sunderland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Roefs G 93 7.60 — — — 37 27% — — —
Reinildo D 93 7.00 — — — 36 29% 1 — —
O. Alderete D 52 6.70 — — — 28 24% 1 1 —
K. Danso D 84 6.30 — — 2 43 34% 1 — —
N. Mukiele D 93 6.60 — — 2 28 20% 1 1 —
N. Sadiki M 93 7.00 — — — 47 40% 3 — —
G. Xhaka M 93 7.50 — — 2 50 43% 3 — —
M. Fofana M 67 6.30 — — — 24 17% — — —
E. Le Fée M 93 8.70 1 — 4 27 21% 2 — —
T. Hume M 67 6.20 — — 4 17 13% 1 1 —
W. Isidor F 67 7.00 — — 1 6 2% 1 — —
B. Brobbey F 26 6.90 — — — 6 3% — — —
C. Rigg M 9 6.30 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
D. Ballard D 41 7.30 — — — 16 13% — — —
N. Angulo F 26 6.30 — — 1 3 2% 1 — —
T. Meunier D 26 6.70 — — — 9 7% — — —
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. De Busser G 93 6.20 — — — 37 27% — — —
M. Chávez D 93 6.30 — — — 41 33% 3 — —
L. Schouten D 83 7.20 — — — 64 55% 1 — —
W. Goes D 93 6.90 — — — 61 54% — — —
E. Dijkstra D 93 7.30 — — — 33 27% 2 — —
P. Koopmeiners M 93 6.70 — — — 63 55% — — —
J. Clasie M 76 6.50 — — — 51 44% — — —
R. Daal M 93 7.20 — — 1 41 33% 1 — —
K. Smit M 59 6.50 — — 1 14 8% — — —
A. Oufkir M 45 5.90 — — — 11 8% — 1 —
M. Meerdink F 83 6.90 — — 2 23 15% 1 — —
C. Stengs M 10 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
D. Kwakman M 17 6.90 — — — 16 15% 2 — —
J. Hornkamp F 10 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
V. Byskov M 34 6.70 — — — 10 9% — — —
Weslley Patati F 48 5.30 — — 1 19 17% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar?
The final score was Sunderland 1–0 AZ Alkmaar.
What did the model predict before Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Sunderland win, 23% to a draw, and 40% to an AZ Alkmaar win.