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Sunderland - AZ Alkmaar

Europa League September 16, 2026 21:00
Sunderland
#33 · 0 pts
vs
AZ Alkmaar
#3 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.21%
Win
Sunderland
26.12%
Draw
39.67%
Win
AZ Alkmaar
2.27
Expected xG
2.69

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (7.55%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 26%
2 40%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 60%
X2 66%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 68%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives AZ Alkmaar a 39% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Sunderland. Expected goals are 2.3 for Sunderland and 2.7 for AZ Alkmaar (total 5.0), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 7.55% probability.

Season Stats

Sunderland
7W 3D 5L
AZ Alkmaar
8W 6D 1L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
2.3
1.2
Conceded
1.2
4.1
Shots OT
6.3
4.5
Corners
7.1
50%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
53%
O 1.5
93%
40%
O 2.5
60%
47%
BTTS
60%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
30%
BTTS
Sunderland
5W 1D 4L · at home
AZ Alkmaar
4W 2D 4L · away
0.9
gls/g
1.5
1.1
Conceded
1.4
50%
Win %
40%
60%
Win or Draw
60%
40%
O 1.5
90%
40%
O 2.5
60%
20%
O 3.5
30%
20%
BTTS
40%
50%
Clean Sht
30%
40%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Score Matrix

↕ Sunderland AZ Alkmaar →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.7% 1.9% 2.5% 2.3% 1.5% 0.8%
1 1.6% 4.3% 5.8% 5.2% 3.5% 1.9%
2 1.8% 4.9% 6.5% 5.9% 3.9% 2.1%
3 1.4% 3.7% 5.0% 4.4% 3.0% 1.6%
4 0.8% 2.1% 2.8% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9%
5 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4%

Recent form

Sunderland Sunderland
No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Sunderland Sunderland
Attack
47
Defence
81
Form
54
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
Attack
74
Defence
72
Form
79
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar?
The model gives Sunderland a 34% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 39% for an AZ Alkmaar win.
How many goals are expected in Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar?
Expected goals: Sunderland 2.3, AZ Alkmaar 2.7 (total 5.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.55%.