Chemsdine Talbi
26'
Timur Tutierov
(ast. Djiamgone Jocelin Ta Bi)
29'
Malick Fofana
(ast. Djiamgone Jocelin Ta Bi)
39'
42'
(ast. Vitaly Janelt)
Callum Wilson
90'+4
(ast. Mathias Jensen)
Igor Thiago
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sunderland a 41% win probability (draw 21%, Brentford 37%). The final result was Sunderland 3–2 Brentford. In 3 previous meetings, Sunderland have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Brentford.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
16
4
Shots on target
7
2.41
Actual xG
2.77
4
Saves
0
33%
Possession
67%
0
Corners
5
16
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Chemsdine Talbi
26'
⚽Timur Tutierov
· ast. Djiamgone Jocelin Ta Bi
29'
⚽Malick Fofana
· ast. Djiamgone Jocelin Ta Bi
39'
42'
ast. Vitaly Janelt ·
Callum Wilson⚽
Habib Diarra
/ Chris Rigg
45'
59'
Dango Ouattara
/
Callum Wilson
59'
Aaron Hickey
/
Michael Kayode
59'
Mathias Jensen
/
Mamadou Sangare
Timur Tutierov
/ Thomas Meunier
60'
Omar Alderete
/ Luke O'Nien
60'
71'
Kevin Schade
/
Jaidon Anthony
71'
Kristoffer Ajer
/
Nathan Collins
74'
Kevin Schade
Chemsdine Talbi
/ Tom Proctor
80'
83'
Vitaly Janelt
85'
Jannik Schuster
Chris Rigg
89'
90'+4
ast. Mathias Jensen ·
Igor Thiago⚽
Djiamgone Jocelin Ta Bi
/ F. Scott
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
41.64%
Sunderland ←
21.22%
X
37.14%
Brentford
we assigned to the actual result (Sunderland)
41.64%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.74
2.41
-0.33
2.47
2.77
+0.3
Brentford dominated by xG (2.77 vs 2.41).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
31
M. Ellborg
G
M. Ellborg
G
6
D. Methalie
D
D. Methalie
D
15
O. Alderete
60'
D
O. Alderete
60'
D
4
K. Danso
D
K. Danso
D
8
A. Browne
D
A. Browne
D
29
Jules Ahoka
M
Jules Ahoka
M
7
C. Talbi
1 ⚽
80'
M
C. Talbi
1 ⚽
80'
M
39
M. Fofana
1 ⚽
M
M. Fofana
1 ⚽
M
19
H. Diarra
45'
M
H. Diarra
45'
M
37
J. Bi
2 👟
89'
M
J. Bi
2 👟
89'
M
57
Timur Tuterov
1 ⚽
60'
F
Timur Tuterov
1 ⚽
60'
F
Bench
11
C. Rigg
45'
M
C. Rigg
45'
M
49
F. Scott
1'
F
F. Scott
1'
F
48
Jenson Jones
D
Jenson Jones
D
40
J. Whittaker
M
J. Whittaker
M
13
L. O'Nien
30'
M
L. O'Nien
30'
M
21
S. Moore
G
S. Moore
G
12
T. Meunier
30'
D
T. Meunier
30'
D
47
T. Ogunsuyi
F
T. Ogunsuyi
F
77
T. Proctor
10'
M
T. Proctor
10'
M
12
H. Valdimarsson
G
H. Valdimarsson
G
25
E. Diouf
D
E. Diouf
D
22
N. Collins
71'
D
N. Collins
71'
D
44
Jannik Schuster
D
Jannik Schuster
D
33
M. Kayode
59'
D
M. Kayode
59'
D
27
V. Janelt
1 👟
M
V. Janelt
1 👟
M
18
M. Sangaré
59'
M
M. Sangaré
59'
M
13
C. Wilson
1 ⚽
59'
M
C. Wilson
1 ⚽
59'
M
24
M. Damsgaard
M
M. Damsgaard
M
19
J. Anthony
71'
M
J. Anthony
71'
M
9
Thiago
1 ⚽
F
Thiago
1 ⚽
F
Bench
2
A. Hickey
31'
D
A. Hickey
31'
D
1
C. Kelleher
G
C. Kelleher
G
11
D. Ouattara
31'
F
D. Ouattara
31'
F
39
Gustavo Gomes
F
Gustavo Gomes
F
20
K. Ajer
19'
D
K. Ajer
19'
D
23
K. Lewis-Potter
F
K. Lewis-Potter
F
7
K. Schade
19'
M
K. Schade
19'
M
8
M. Jensen
1 👟
31'
M
M. Jensen
1 👟
31'
M
4
S. van den Berg
D
S. van den Berg
D
Best on the pitch
J. Bi
M · Sunderland
8.29
2 👟
1 shots
· 10 pass
V. Janelt
M · Brentford
7.70
1 👟
3 shots
· 85 pass
Timur Tuterov
F · Sunderland
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
M. Fofana
M · Sunderland
7.59
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
C. Talbi
M · Sunderland
7.55
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
C. Wilson
M · Brentford
7.45
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 7 pass
Sunderland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ellborg | G | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Methalie | D | 90 | 5.88 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Alderete | D | 60 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Danso | D | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Browne | D | 90 | 5.76 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Jules Ahoka | M | 90 | 6.07 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Talbi | M | 80 | 7.55 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Fofana | M | 90 | 7.59 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Diarra | M | 45 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Bi | M | 89 | 8.29 | — | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Timur Tuterov | F | 60 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Rigg | M | 45 | 6.03 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 3% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Scott | F | 1 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
| L. O'Nien | M | 30 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Meunier | D | 30 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Proctor | M | 10 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Brentford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Valdimarsson | G | 90 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Diouf | D | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Collins | D | 71 | 6.36 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 46% | 0 | — | — |
| Jannik Schuster | D | 90 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 85 | 75% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Kayode | D | 59 | 5.46 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Janelt | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 85 | 77% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Sangaré | M | 59 | 6.72 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Wilson | M | 59 | 7.45 | 1 | — | 3 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Damsgaard | M | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 2 | 72 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Anthony | M | 71 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| Thiago | F | 90 | 7.36 | 1 | — | 3 | 24 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Hickey | D | 31 | 5.77 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Ouattara | F | 31 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Ajer | D | 19 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Schade | M | 19 | 5.75 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 9% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Jensen | M | 31 | 6.27 | — | 1 | 1 | 37 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Brentford?
The final score was Sunderland 3–2 Brentford.
What did the model predict before Sunderland vs Brentford?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Sunderland win, 21% to a draw, and 37% to an Brentford win.