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Premier League · Regular Season - 38 May 24, 2026 17:00 Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Sunderland
#19 · 0 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Chelsea
#6 · 0 pts
T. Hume (ast. L. O'Nien) 25'
M. Gusto 50' (og)
56' (ast. P. Neto) C. Palmer
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sunderland a 52% win probability (draw 22%, Chelsea 24%). The final result was Sunderland 2–1 Chelsea. In 1 previous meetings, Sunderland have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Chelsea.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
3
1.94
Actual xG
0.90
2
Saves
5
45%
Possession
55%
6
Corners
2
18
Tackles
7
5
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽T. Hume · ast. L. O'Nien
25'
N. Angulo
42'
⚽M. Gusto (og)
50'
L. Geertruida
52'
53'
R. James / J. Hato ↕
54'
W. Fofana
56'
ast. P. Neto · C. Palmer⚽
↕ B. Brobbey / W. Isidor
61'
↕ N. Angulo / H. Diarra
61'
62'
W. Fofana
62'
W. Fofana
65'
T. Chalobah / P. Neto ↕
69'
E. Fernandez
G. Xhaka
73'
H. Diarra
81'
85'
L. Delap / M. Caicedo ↕
85'
J. Acheampong / M. Gusto ↕
N. Sadiki
89'
90'+7
Joao Pedro
↕ E. Le Fee / C. Rigg
90'+8
90'+11
C. Palmer
Pre-match prediction
52.73%
Sunderland ←
22.74%
X
24.53%
Chelsea
we assigned to the actual result (Sunderland) 52.73% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sunderland
1.74
1.94
+0.2
Chelsea
0.86
0.90
+0.04
Sunderland dominated by xG (1.94 vs 0.90). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 0 0
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 0 0
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
4 Brentford Brentford 0 0
5 Brighton Brighton 0 0
6 Chelsea Chelsea 0 0
7 Coventry Coventry 0 0
8 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
9 Everton Everton 0 0
10 Fulham Fulham 0 0
11 Hull City Hull City 0 0
12 Ipswich Ipswich 0 0
13 Leeds Leeds 0 0
14 Liverpool Liverpool 0 0
15 Manchester City Manchester City 0 0
16 Manchester United Manchester United 0 0
17 Newcastle Newcastle 0 0
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0 0
19 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
20 Tottenham Tottenham 0 0
Lineups
Sunderland Sunderland 4-2-3-1
22 Robin Roefs Robin Roefs G 6.50
17 Reinildo Reinildo D 6.30
13 Luke O'Nien Luke O'Nien 1 👟 D 6.70
20 Nordi Mukiele Nordi Mukiele D 6.90
6 Lutsharel Geertruida Lutsharel Geertruida D 6.30
27 N. Sadiki N. Sadiki M 6.90
34 G. Xhaka G. Xhaka M 7.60
10 Nilson Angulo Nilson Angulo 61' M 6.50
28 E. Le Fée E. Le Fée M 7.30
32 T. Hume T. Hume 1 ⚽ M 8.20
9 B. Brobbey B. Brobbey 61' F 6.90
Bench
25 Bertrand Traoré Bertrand Traoré F
11 Chris Rigg Chris Rigg 5' M
3 Dennis Cirkin Dennis Cirkin D
12 Eliezer Mayenda Eliezer Mayenda F
19 H. Diarra H. Diarra 42' M 6.70
37 Jocelin Ta Bi Jocelin Ta Bi F
31 Melker Ellborg Melker Ellborg G
15 Omar Alderete Omar Alderete D
18 Wilson Isidor Wilson Isidor 42' F 6.70
Chelsea Chelsea 3-4-1-2
1 Robert Sánchez Robert Sánchez G 6.60
21 Jorrel Hato Jorrel Hato 53' D 6.00
6 Levi Colwill Levi Colwill D 7.20
29 Wesley Fofana Wesley Fofana 62' D 5.20
3 Marc Cucurella Marc Cucurella M 6.50
8 E. Fernández E. Fernández M 6.70
25 M. Caicedo M. Caicedo 85' M 6.90
27 Malo Gusto Malo Gusto 1 ⚽ 85' M 7.20
10 C. Palmer C. Palmer 1 ⚽ F 7.60
20 João Pedro João Pedro F 7.00
7 Pedro Neto Pedro Neto 1 👟 65' F 7.20
Bench
49 A. Garnacho A. Garnacho F
17 Andrey Santos Andrey Santos M
14 Dário Essugo Dário Essugo M
12 Filip Jørgensen Filip Jørgensen G
55 Jesse Derry Jesse Derry F
34 Josh Acheampong Josh Acheampong 18' D 6.70
9 L. Delap L. Delap 18' F 6.20
24 Reece James Reece James 50' D 6.90
23 Trevoh Chalobah Trevoh Chalobah 38' D 7.20
Best on the pitch
T. Hume
T. Hume
M · Sunderland
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
C. Palmer
C. Palmer
F · Chelsea
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 32 pass
G. Xhaka
G. Xhaka
M · Sunderland
7.60
· 51 pass
E. Le Fée
E. Le Fée
M · Sunderland
7.30
2 shots · 39 pass
Malo Gusto
Malo Gusto
M · Chelsea
7.20
1 ⚽
· 36 pass
Pedro Neto
Pedro Neto
F · Chelsea
7.20
1 👟
· 21 pass
Sunderland Sunderland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Robin Roefs G 103 6.50 — — — 27 17% — — —
Reinildo D 103 6.30 — — — 31 26% 4 — —
Luke O'Nien D 103 6.70 — 1 1 33 30% 1 — —
Nordi Mukiele D 103 6.90 — — 1 38 29% 2 — —
Lutsharel Geertruida D 103 6.30 — — — 29 28% 1 1 —
N. Sadiki M 103 6.90 — — — 36 30% — 1 —
G. Xhaka M 103 7.60 — — — 51 44% — 1 —
Nilson Angulo M 61 6.50 — — 3 13 11% 2 1 —
E. Le Fée M 98 7.30 — — 2 39 31% 4 — —
T. Hume M 103 8.20 1 — 2 22 18% 3 — —
B. Brobbey F 61 6.90 — — 3 9 8% — — —
Chris Rigg M 5 — — — — 1 1% — — —
H. Diarra M 42 6.70 — — 1 7 5% — 1 —
Wilson Isidor F 42 6.70 — — 1 5 4% 1 — —
Chelsea Chelsea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Robert Sánchez G 103 6.60 — — — 37 24% — — —
Jorrel Hato D 53 6.00 — — — 26 22% — — —
Levi Colwill D 103 7.20 — — — 63 57% 1 — —
Wesley Fofana D 62 5.20 — — — 23 21% — 2 1
Marc Cucurella M 103 6.50 — — — 23 18% 2 — —
E. Fernández M 103 6.70 — — — 52 38% 1 1 —
M. Caicedo M 85 6.90 — — — 53 46% — — —
Malo Gusto M 85 7.20 1 — — 36 30% 2 — —
C. Palmer F 103 7.60 1 — 3 32 29% — 1 —
João Pedro F 103 7.00 — — 2 17 9% 1 1 —
Pedro Neto F 65 7.20 — 1 — 21 19% — — —
Josh Acheampong D 18 6.70 — — — 6 5% — — —
L. Delap F 18 6.20 — — — 2 1% — — —
Reece James D 50 6.90 — — 1 22 20% — — —
Trevoh Chalobah D 38 7.20 — — — 13 13% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Chelsea?
The final score was Sunderland 2–1 Chelsea.
What did the model predict before Sunderland vs Chelsea?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Sunderland win, 22% to a draw, and 24% to an Chelsea win.