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Premier League · Regular Season - 38 May 24, 2026 17:00 Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Sunderland
#14 · 4 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Chelsea
#4 · 7 pts
T. Hume (ast. L. O'Nien) 25'
M. Gusto 50' (og)
56' (ast. P. Neto) C. Palmer
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sunderland a 52% win probability (draw 22%, Chelsea 24%). The final result was Sunderland 2–1 Chelsea. In 1 previous meetings, Sunderland have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Chelsea.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
3
1.94
Actual xG
0.90
2
Saves
5
45%
Possession
55%
6
Corners
2
18
Tackles
7
5
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽T. Hume · ast. L. O'Nien
25'
N. Angulo
42'
⚽M. Gusto (og)
50'
L. Geertruida
52'
53'
R. James / J. Hato ↕
54'
W. Fofana
56'
ast. P. Neto · C. Palmer⚽
↕ B. Brobbey / W. Isidor
61'
↕ N. Angulo / H. Diarra
61'
62'
W. Fofana
62'
W. Fofana
65'
T. Chalobah / P. Neto ↕
69'
E. Fernandez
G. Xhaka
73'
H. Diarra
81'
85'
L. Delap / M. Caicedo ↕
85'
J. Acheampong / M. Gusto ↕
N. Sadiki
89'
90'+7
Joao Pedro
↕ E. Le Fee / C. Rigg
90'+8
90'+11
C. Palmer
Pre-match prediction
52.73%
Sunderland ←
22.74%
X
24.53%
Chelsea
we assigned to the actual result (Sunderland) 52.73% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sunderland
1.74
1.94
+0.2
Chelsea
0.86
0.90
+0.04
Sunderland dominated by xG (1.94 vs 0.90). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 4 12
2 Manchester City Manchester City 3 9
3 Hull City Hull City 4 8
4 Chelsea Chelsea 4 7
5 Brentford Brentford 4 6
6 Liverpool Liverpool 4 6
7 Everton Everton 4 6
8 Ipswich Ipswich 4 6
9 Newcastle Newcastle 3 5
10 Leeds Leeds 3 5
11 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 4 5
12 Brighton Brighton 3 4
13 Manchester United Manchester United 3 4
14 Sunderland Sunderland 4 4
15 Bournemouth Bournemouth 4 3
16 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 4 3
17 Tottenham Tottenham 4 2
18 Fulham Fulham 4 1
19 Aston Villa Aston Villa 4 1
20 Coventry Coventry 3 0
Lineups
Sunderland Sunderland 4-2-3-1
22 R. Roefs R. Roefs G 6.50
17 Reinildo Reinildo D 6.30
13 L. O'Nien L. O'Nien 1 👟 D 6.70
20 N. Mukiele N. Mukiele D 6.90
6 L. Geertruida L. Geertruida D 6.30
27 N. Sadiki N. Sadiki M 6.90
34 G. Xhaka G. Xhaka M 7.60
10 N. Angulo N. Angulo 61' M 6.50
28 E. Le Fée E. Le Fée M 7.30
32 T. Hume T. Hume 1 ⚽ M 8.20
9 B. Brobbey B. Brobbey 61' F 6.90
Bench
25 Bertrand Traoré Bertrand Traoré F
11 C. Rigg C. Rigg 5' M
3 D. Cirkin D. Cirkin D
12 Eliezer Mayenda Eliezer Mayenda F
19 H. Diarra H. Diarra 42' M 6.70
37 J. T. Bi J. T. Bi F
31 M. Ellborg M. Ellborg G
15 O. Alderete O. Alderete D
18 W. Isidor W. Isidor 42' F 6.70
Chelsea Chelsea 3-4-1-2
1 Robert Sánchez Robert Sánchez G 6.60
21 J. Hato J. Hato 53' D 6.00
6 L. Colwill L. Colwill D 7.20
29 W. Fofana W. Fofana 62' D 5.20
3 Marc Cucurella Marc Cucurella M 6.50
8 E. Fernández E. Fernández M 6.70
25 M. Caicedo M. Caicedo 85' M 6.90
27 M. Gusto M. Gusto 1 ⚽ 85' M 7.20
10 C. Palmer C. Palmer 1 ⚽ F 7.60
20 João Pedro João Pedro F 7.00
7 Pedro Neto Pedro Neto 1 👟 65' F 7.20
Bench
49 A. Garnacho A. Garnacho F
17 Andrey Santos Andrey Santos M
14 Dário Essugo Dário Essugo M
12 F. Jörgensen F. Jörgensen G
55 J. Derry J. Derry F
34 Joshua Kofi Acheampong Joshua Kofi Acheampong 18' D 6.70
9 L. Delap L. Delap 18' F 6.20
24 R. James R. James 50' D 6.90
23 T. Chalobah T. Chalobah 38' D 7.20
Best on the pitch
T. Hume
T. Hume
M · Sunderland
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
C. Palmer
C. Palmer
F · Chelsea
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 32 pass
G. Xhaka
G. Xhaka
M · Sunderland
7.60
· 51 pass
E. Le Fée
E. Le Fée
M · Sunderland
7.30
2 shots · 39 pass
M. Gusto
M. Gusto
M · Chelsea
7.20
1 ⚽
· 36 pass
Pedro Neto
Pedro Neto
F · Chelsea
7.20
1 👟
· 21 pass
Sunderland Sunderland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Roefs G 103 6.50 — — — 27 17% — — —
Reinildo D 103 6.30 — — — 31 26% 4 — —
L. O'Nien D 103 6.70 — 1 1 33 30% 1 — —
N. Mukiele D 103 6.90 — — 1 38 29% 2 — —
L. Geertruida D 103 6.30 — — — 29 28% 1 1 —
N. Sadiki M 103 6.90 — — — 36 30% — 1 —
G. Xhaka M 103 7.60 — — — 51 44% — 1 —
N. Angulo M 61 6.50 — — 3 13 11% 2 1 —
E. Le Fée M 98 7.30 — — 2 39 31% 4 — —
T. Hume M 103 8.20 1 — 2 22 18% 3 — —
B. Brobbey F 61 6.90 — — 3 9 8% — — —
C. Rigg M 5 — — — — 1 1% — — —
H. Diarra M 42 6.70 — — 1 7 5% — 1 —
W. Isidor F 42 6.70 — — 1 5 4% 1 — —
Chelsea Chelsea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Robert Sánchez G 103 6.60 — — — 37 24% — — —
J. Hato D 53 6.00 — — — 26 22% — — —
L. Colwill D 103 7.20 — — — 63 57% 1 — —
W. Fofana D 62 5.20 — — — 23 21% — 2 1
Marc Cucurella M 103 6.50 — — — 23 18% 2 — —
E. Fernández M 103 6.70 — — — 52 38% 1 1 —
M. Caicedo M 85 6.90 — — — 53 46% — — —
M. Gusto M 85 7.20 1 — — 36 30% 2 — —
C. Palmer F 103 7.60 1 — 3 32 29% — 1 —
João Pedro F 103 7.00 — — 2 17 9% 1 1 —
Pedro Neto F 65 7.20 — 1 — 21 19% — — —
Joshua Kofi Acheampong D 18 6.70 — — — 6 5% — — —
L. Delap F 18 6.20 — — — 2 1% — — —
R. James D 50 6.90 — — 1 22 20% — — —
T. Chalobah D 38 7.20 — — — 13 13% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Chelsea?
The final score was Sunderland 2–1 Chelsea.
What did the model predict before Sunderland vs Chelsea?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Sunderland win, 22% to a draw, and 24% to an Chelsea win.