✗Model wrong — prediction Sunderland, result Dinamo Zagreb wins
22'
Luka Stojkovic
39'
(ast. Luka Stojkovic)
Dion Drena Beljo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sunderland a 60% win probability (draw 20%, Dinamo Zagreb 19%). The final result was Sunderland 0–2 Dinamo Zagreb.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
4
1.64
Actual xG
1.32
1
Saves
7
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
3
19
Tackles
22
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
22'
Luka Stojkovic⚽
25'
Niko Galešić
Granit Xhaka
28'
Kevin Danso
36'
39'
ast. Luka Stojkovic ·
Dion Drena Beljo⚽
Dayann Methalie
/ Reinildo Isnard Mandava
45'
Chris Rigg
/ Enzo Le Fée
45'
Jules Ahoka
/ Noah Sadiki
45'
Thomas Meunier
/ Trai Hume
45'
45'
Stjepan Radeljić
/
Sergi Dominguez
46'
Lukas Kacavenda
47'
Trai Hume
55'
Wilson Isidor
/ Brian Brobbey
64'
64'
Luka Ivanušec
/
Luka Stojkovic
70'
Smail Prevljak
/
Dion Drena Beljo
80'
Matteo Perez Vinlöf
/
Bruno Goda
80'
Arber Hoxha
/
Mislav Oršić
Pre-match prediction
60.73%
Sunderland
20.14%
X
19.13%
Dinamo ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Dinamo Zagreb)
19.13%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
1.64
+0.35
1.46
1.32
-0.14
Sunderland dominated by xG (1.64 vs 1.32).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
R. Roefs
G
R. Roefs
G
6
D. Methalie
45'
D
D. Methalie
45'
D
15
O. Alderete
D
O. Alderete
D
4
K. Danso
D
K. Danso
D
12
T. Meunier
45'
D
T. Meunier
45'
D
29
Jules Ahoka
45'
M
Jules Ahoka
45'
M
34
G. Xhaka
M
G. Xhaka
M
39
M. Fofana
M
M. Fofana
M
11
C. Rigg
45'
M
C. Rigg
45'
M
10
N. Angulo
M
N. Angulo
M
18
W. Isidor
64'
F
W. Isidor
64'
F
Bench
9
B. Brobbey
26'
F
B. Brobbey
26'
F
7
C. Talbi
F
C. Talbi
F
28
E. Le Fée
45'
M
E. Le Fée
45'
M
48
Jenson Jones
D
Jenson Jones
D
40
J. Whittaker
M
J. Whittaker
M
13
L. O'Nien
M
L. O'Nien
M
27
N. Sadiki
45'
M
N. Sadiki
45'
M
17
Reinildo
45'
D
Reinildo
45'
D
21
S. Moore
G
S. Moore
G
32
T. Hume
45'
D
T. Hume
45'
D
57
Timur Tuterov
F
Timur Tuterov
F
77
T. Proctor
M
T. Proctor
M
24
D. Kotarski
G
D. Kotarski
G
3
B. Goda
80'
D
B. Goda
80'
D
15
N. Galešić
D
N. Galešić
D
36
Sergi Domínguez
45'
D
Sergi Domínguez
45'
D
25
M. Valinčić
D
M. Valinčić
D
27
J. Mišić
M
J. Mišić
M
99
M. Oršić
80'
M
M. Oršić
80'
M
10
L. Stojković
1 ⚽
1 👟
64'
M
L. Stojković
1 ⚽
1 👟
64'
M
80
L. Kačavenda
M
L. Kačavenda
M
21
M. Lisica
M
M. Lisica
M
9
D. Beljo
1 ⚽
70'
F
D. Beljo
1 ⚽
70'
F
Bench
11
A. Hoxha
10'
F
A. Hoxha
10'
F
7
Dani Rodríguez
F
Dani Rodríguez
F
1
D. Zagorac
G
D. Zagorac
G
44
I. Filipović
G
I. Filipović
G
23
Iker Almena
F
Iker Almena
F
17
L. Ivanušec
26'
M
L. Ivanušec
26'
M
8
M. Zajc
M
M. Zajc
M
35
N. Mikic
D
N. Mikic
D
22
Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf
10'
D
Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf
10'
D
14
S. Prevljak
20'
F
S. Prevljak
20'
F
6
S. Radeljić
45'
D
S. Radeljić
45'
D
41
S. Sunta
M
S. Sunta
M
Best on the pitch
L. Stojković
M · Dinamo
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 21 pass
D. Kotarski
G · Dinamo
8.25
· 45 pass
D. Beljo
F · Dinamo
7.75
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
S. Radeljić
D · Dinamo
7.08
· 20 pass
G. Xhaka
M · Sunderland
6.98
1 shots
· 71 pass
T. Meunier
D · Sunderland
6.79
1 shots
· 25 pass
Sunderland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Roefs | G | 90 | 5.78 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Methalie | D | 45 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Alderete | D | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 57 | 52% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Danso | D | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 51% | 2 | 1 | — |
| T. Meunier | D | 45 | 6.79 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Jules Ahoka | M | 45 | 5.99 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Xhaka | M | 90 | 6.98 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 56% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Fofana | M | 90 | 6.54 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Rigg | M | 45 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Angulo | M | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 28% | 5 | — | — |
| W. Isidor | F | 64 | 6.41 | — | — | 4 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Brobbey | F | 26 | 6.31 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Le Fée | M | 45 | 6.16 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Sadiki | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Reinildo | D | 45 | 6.21 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Hume | D | 45 | 5.42 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
Dinamo Zagreb — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kotarski | G | 90 | 8.25 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Goda | D | 80 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Galešić | D | 90 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Sergi Domínguez | D | 45 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Valinčić | D | 90 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mišić | M | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Oršić | M | 80 | 6.41 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Stojković | M | 64 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Kačavenda | M | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 9% | 6 | 1 | — |
| M. Lisica | M | 90 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Beljo | F | 70 | 7.75 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Hoxha | F | 10 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Ivanušec | M | 26 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf | D | 10 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Prevljak | F | 20 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Radeljić | D | 45 | 7.08 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The final score was Sunderland 0–2 Dinamo Zagreb.
What did the model predict before Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Sunderland win, 20% to a draw, and 19% to an Dinamo Zagreb win.