Sunderland - Jagiellonia
Europa League
November 26, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.26%
Win
Sunderland
29.23%
Draw
30.51%
Win
Jagiellonia
1.94
1.2
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.71%)
1X2 Result
1
40%
X
29%
2
31%
Double Chance
✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X
70%
X2
60%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
59%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sunderland a 40% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Jagiellonia. Expected goals are 1.9 for Sunderland and 1.2 for Jagiellonia (total 3.1), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.71% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
3W
1D
1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.0
0.0
Conceded
1.0
5.0
Shots OT
5.0
11.0
Corners
1.5
45%
Poss.
46%
Percentages
0%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
80%
0%
BTTS
80%
100%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 5 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
1W
0D
0L
· at home
1W
1D
1L
· away
1.0
gls/g
1.3
0.0
Conceded
1.3
100%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
0%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
67%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
100%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Sunderland
Jagiellonia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Sunderland
Attack
44
Defence
68
Form
44
Jagiellonia
Attack
41
Defence
54
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sunderland vs Jagiellonia?
The model gives Sunderland a 40% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 30% for an Jagiellonia win.
How many goals are expected in Sunderland vs Jagiellonia?
Expected goals: Sunderland 1.9, Jagiellonia 1.2 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Sunderland vs Jagiellonia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.71%.