The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leeds a 36% win probability (draw 30%, Sunderland 33%). The final result was Sunderland 0–0 Leeds. In 2 previous meetings, Sunderland have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Leeds.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
4
0.99
Actual xG
0.63
3
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
4
Corners
5
11
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
29'
Ethan Ampadu
Reinildo Isnard Mandava
39'
Nordi Mukiele
/ Omar Alderete
52'
Brian Brobbey
/ Timur Tutierov
65'
65'
Noah Okafor
/
Brenden Aaronson
66'
Anton Stach
/
Harry Wilson
67'
Jayden Bogle
Nilson Angulo
/ Chemsdine Talbi
79'
Enzo Le Fée
/ Habib Diarra
79'
85'
Lukas Nmecha
/
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
89'
Sean Longstaff
/
Ao Tanaka
Pre-match prediction
33.1%
Sunderland
30.47%
X ←
36.42%
Leeds
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.47%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
0.99
-0.07
1.21
0.63
-0.58
Sunderland dominated by xG (0.99 vs 0.63).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
R. Roefs
G
R. Roefs
G
17
Reinildo
D
Reinildo
D
13
L. O'Nien
D
L. O'Nien
D
20
N. Mukiele
52'
D
N. Mukiele
52'
D
32
T. Hume
D
T. Hume
D
27
N. Sadiki
M
N. Sadiki
M
34
G. Xhaka
M
G. Xhaka
M
10
N. Angulo
79'
M
N. Angulo
79'
M
28
E. Le Fée
79'
M
E. Le Fée
79'
M
11
C. Rigg
M
C. Rigg
M
9
B. Brobbey
65'
F
B. Brobbey
65'
F
Bench
7
C. Talbi
11'
F
C. Talbi
11'
F
6
D. Methalie
D
D. Methalie
D
19
H. Diarra
11'
M
H. Diarra
11'
M
50
J. Angulo
F
J. Angulo
F
29
Jules Ahoka
M
Jules Ahoka
M
31
M. Ellborg
G
M. Ellborg
G
39
M. Fofana
F
M. Fofana
F
15
O. Alderete
38'
D
O. Alderete
38'
D
57
Timur Tuterov
25'
F
Timur Tuterov
25'
F
1
J. Trafford
G
J. Trafford
G
5
T. Muharemović
D
T. Muharemović
D
15
J. Bijol
D
J. Bijol
D
24
J. Justin
D
J. Justin
D
3
G. Gudmundsson
M
G. Gudmundsson
M
22
A. Tanaka
89'
M
A. Tanaka
89'
M
4
E. Ampadu
M
E. Ampadu
M
2
J. Bogle
M
J. Bogle
M
11
B. Aaronson
65'
M
B. Aaronson
65'
M
10
H. Wilson
66'
M
H. Wilson
66'
M
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
85'
F
D. Calvert-Lewin
85'
F
Bench
50
Alfie Cresswell
M
Alfie Cresswell
M
18
A. Stach
24'
M
A. Stach
24'
M
44
I. Gruev
M
I. Gruev
M
23
J. Bahoya
F
J. Bahoya
F
14
L. Nmecha
5'
F
L. Nmecha
5'
F
26
M. Bard
D
M. Bard
D
16
M. Zetterer
G
M. Zetterer
G
19
N. Okafor
25'
F
N. Okafor
25'
F
8
S. Longstaff
1'
M
S. Longstaff
1'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Trafford
G · Leeds
7.56
· 34 pass
N. Mukiele
D · Sunderland
7.21
1 shots
· 22 pass
S. Longstaff
M · Leeds
6.99
2 shots
· 2 pass
N. Okafor
F · Leeds
6.89
2 shots
· 9 pass
L. O'Nien
D · Sunderland
6.88
3 shots
· 36 pass
J. Bijol
D · Leeds
6.84
1 shots
· 42 pass
Sunderland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Roefs | G | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Reinildo | D | 90 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 34% | 0 | 1 | — |
| L. O'Nien | D | 90 | 6.88 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Mukiele | D | 52 | 7.21 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Hume | D | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Sadiki | M | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Xhaka | M | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 61 | 51% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Angulo | M | 79 | 6.74 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Le Fée | M | 79 | 6.28 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Rigg | M | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Brobbey | F | 65 | 6.83 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Talbi | F | 11 | 6.14 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Diarra | M | 11 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Alderete | D | 38 | 6.83 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Timur Tuterov | F | 25 | 6.56 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Leeds — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Trafford | G | 90 | 7.56 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Muharemović | D | 90 | 6.82 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 46% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Bijol | D | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Justin | D | 90 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Gudmundsson | M | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Tanaka | M | 89 | 6.56 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Ampadu | M | 90 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 41% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Bogle | M | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Aaronson | M | 65 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Wilson | M | 66 | 6.72 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Calvert-Lewin | F | 85 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Stach | M | 24 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Nmecha | F | 5 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Okafor | F | 25 | 6.89 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Longstaff | M | 1 | 6.99 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Leeds?
The final score was Sunderland 0–0 Leeds.
What did the model predict before Sunderland vs Leeds?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Sunderland win, 30% to a draw, and 36% to an Leeds win.