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Sunderland - Levski Sofia

Europa League January 28, 2027 21:00
#9 · 7 pts
vs
#17 · 4 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.81%
Win
Sunderland
30.75%
Draw
31.45%
Win
Levski Sofia
1.42
Expected xG
0.99

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.17%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 38%
X 31%
2 31%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 69%
X2 62%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sunderland a 37% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Levski Sofia. Expected goals are 1.4 for Sunderland and 1.0 for Levski Sofia (total 2.4), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.17% probability.

Season Stats

Sunderland
2W 1D 0L
Levski Sofia
1W 4D 2L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
0.4
0.7
Conceded
0.6
7.0
Shots OT
1.7
8.7
Corners
2.3
54%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
29%
33%
O 2.5
14%
67%
BTTS
29%
33%
Clean Sht
43%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Sunderland
1W 0D 0L · at home
Levski Sofia
1W 2D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
0.8
0.0
Conceded
0.8
100%
Win %
25%
100%
Win or Draw
75%
0%
O 1.5
50%
0%
O 2.5
25%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
50%
100%
Clean Sht
25%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Sunderland Levski Sofia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0% 8.9% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.8% 12.6% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.0% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

D Lech Poznan 1–1
W Torreense 1–2
W AZ Alkmaar 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
W Plzen 1–2
D NEC Nijmegen 1–1
L Red Bull Salzburg 0–1
L SC Braga 1–0
D SC Braga 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Sunderland Sunderland
Attack
40
Defence
56
Form
40
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
Attack
27
Defence
72
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sunderland vs Levski Sofia?
The model gives Sunderland a 37% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 31% for an Levski Sofia win.
How many goals are expected in Sunderland vs Levski Sofia?
Expected goals: Sunderland 1.4, Levski Sofia 1.0 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Sunderland vs Levski Sofia?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.17%.