Sunderland - Levski Sofia
Europa League
January 28, 2027 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.81%
Win
Sunderland
30.75%
Draw
31.45%
Win
Levski Sofia
1.42
0.99
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(12.17%)
1X2 Result
✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1
38%
X
31%
2
31%
Double Chance
✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X
69%
X2
62%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
55%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sunderland a 37% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Levski Sofia. Expected goals are 1.4 for Sunderland and 1.0 for Levski Sofia (total 2.4), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.17% probability.
Season Stats
2W
1D
0L
1W
4D
2L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
0.4
0.7
Conceded
0.6
7.0
Shots OT
1.7
8.7
Corners
2.3
54%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
29%
33%
O 2.5
14%
67%
BTTS
29%
33%
Clean Sht
43%
ℹ
Based on the last 7 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
1W
0D
0L
· at home
1W
2D
1L
· away
1.0
gls/g
0.8
0.0
Conceded
0.8
100%
Win %
25%
100%
Win or Draw
75%
0%
O 1.5
50%
0%
O 2.5
25%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
50%
100%
Clean Sht
25%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Sunderland
Levski Sofia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.0% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Sunderland
Attack
40
Defence
56
Form
40
Levski Sofia
Attack
27
Defence
72
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benfica
|
3 | 9 |
| 2 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
3 | 9 |
| 3 |
Bournemouth
|
3 | 9 |
| 4 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
3 | 9 |
| 5 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
3 | 9 |
| 6 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
3 | 7 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
3 | 7 |
| 8 |
Beşiktaş
|
3 | 7 |
| 9 |
Sunderland
|
3 | 7 |
| 10 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
3 | 6 |
| 11 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
3 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lyon
|
3 | 6 |
| 13 |
Rennes
|
3 | 5 |
| 14 |
Real Sociedad
|
3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Sparta Praha
|
3 | 4 |
| 17 |
Levski Sofia
|
3 | 4 |
| 18 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
3 | 4 |
| 19 |
Sturm Graz
|
3 | 4 |
| 20 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
3 | 4 |
| 21 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
3 | 4 |
| 22 |
Anderlecht
|
3 | 3 |
| 23 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
3 | 3 |
| 24 |
AC Milan
|
3 | 3 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
3 | 3 |
| 26 |
OFI
|
3 | 3 |
| 27 |
Jagiellonia
|
3 | 3 |
| 28 |
Torreense
|
3 | 3 |
| 29 |
Celje
|
3 | 1 |
| 30 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
3 | 1 |
| 31 |
Lillestrom
|
3 | 1 |
| 32 |
Lech Poznan
|
3 | 1 |
| 33 |
Plzen
|
3 | 0 |
| 34 |
Marseille
|
3 | 0 |
| 35 |
Celtic
|
3 | 0 |
| 36 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
3 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sunderland vs Levski Sofia?
The model gives Sunderland a 37% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 31% for an Levski Sofia win.
How many goals are expected in Sunderland vs Levski Sofia?
Expected goals: Sunderland 1.4, Levski Sofia 1.0 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Sunderland vs Levski Sofia?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.17%.