The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester United a 50% win probability (draw 21%, Sunderland 28%). The final result was Sunderland 0–0 Manchester United. In 1 previous meetings, Sunderland have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Manchester United.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
1
1.16
Actual xG
0.57
1
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
6
Corners
7
10
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
54'
M. Mount
58'
J. Zirkzee
65'
P. Dorgu
/
J. Zirkzee
75'
B. Mbeumo
/
A. Diallo
C. Talbi
/ N. Angulo
79'
90'+3
M. Cunha
T. Hume
/ E. Mayenda
90'
Pre-match prediction
28.4%
Sunderland
21.47%
X ←
50.13%
Manchester
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.47%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
1.16
-0.32
2.05
0.57
-1.48
Sunderland dominated by xG (1.16 vs 0.57).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
R. Roefs
G
R. Roefs
G
17
Reinildo
D
Reinildo
D
15
O. Alderete
D
O. Alderete
D
20
Nordi Mukiele
D
Nordi Mukiele
D
6
D
27
Noah Sadiki
M
Noah Sadiki
M
34
Granit Xhaka
M
Granit Xhaka
M
7
Chemsdine Talbi
79'
M
Chemsdine Talbi
79'
M
28
M
32
T. Hume
M
T. Hume
M
9
B. Brobbey
F
B. Brobbey
F
Bench
11
Chris Rigg
M
Chris Rigg
M
3
Dennis Cirkin
D
Dennis Cirkin
D
19
Habib Diarra
M
Habib Diarra
M
18
Wilson Isidor
F
Wilson Isidor
F
31
G
23
L. Shaw
D
L. Shaw
D
6
Lisandro Martínez
D
Lisandro Martínez
D
5
D
3
Noussair Mazraoui
D
Noussair Mazraoui
D
37
Kobbie Mainoo
M
Kobbie Mainoo
M
7
Mason Mount
M
Mason Mount
M
10
Matheus Cunha
M
Matheus Cunha
M
8
Bruno Fernandes
M
Bruno Fernandes
M
16
A. Diallo
75'
M
A. Diallo
75'
M
11
Joshua Zirkzee
65'
F
Joshua Zirkzee
65'
F
Bench
19
B. Mbeumo
20'
F
B. Mbeumo
20'
F
2
Diogo Dalot
D
Diogo Dalot
D
Best on the pitch
G · Manchester
9.20
· 32 pass
Granit Xhaka
M · Sunderland
8.90
1 shots
· 80 pass
M · Sunderland
7.60
1 shots
· 51 pass
Nordi Mukiele
D · Sunderland
7.50
· 66 pass
B. Brobbey
F · Sunderland
7.50
3 shots
· 19 pass
Noussair Mazraoui
D · Manchester
7.30
· 38 pass
Sunderland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Roefs | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Reinildo | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Alderete | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Nordi Mukiele | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 66 | 55% | — | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 45% | — | — | — | |
| Noah Sadiki | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Granit Xhaka | M | 95 | 8.90 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 67% | 3 | — | — |
| Chemsdine Talbi | M | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 44% | 2 | — | — | |
| T. Hume | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | — | — | — |
| B. Brobbey | F | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
Manchester United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 9.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| L. Shaw | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Lisandro Martínez | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 79 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 2 | — | — | |
| Noussair Mazraoui | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| Kobbie Mainoo | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Mason Mount | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Matheus Cunha | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 42% | — | — | — |
| A. Diallo | M | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Joshua Zirkzee | F | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Mbeumo | F | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Manchester United?
The final score was Sunderland 0–0 Manchester United.
What did the model predict before Sunderland vs Manchester United?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Sunderland win, 21% to a draw, and 50% to an Manchester United win.