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#14 · 4 pts
0 – 5
Final score
#11 · 5 pts
(og) 17' Trai Hume
31' (ast. Morgan Gibbs-White) Chris Wood
34' (ast. Igor Jesus) Morgan Gibbs-White
37' Igor Jesus
90'+5 (ast. Taiwo Awoniyi) Elliot Anderson
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sunderland a 36% win probability (draw 29%, Nottingham Forest 34%). The final result was Sunderland 0–5 Nottingham Forest. In 1 previous meetings, Sunderland have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nottingham Forest.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
6
0.67
Actual xG
1.30
2
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
6
11
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
17'
(og) Trai Hume
31'
ast. Morgan Gibbs-White · Chris Wood
34'
ast. Igor Jesus · Morgan Gibbs-White
37'
Igor Jesus
Chris Rigg / Reinildo Mandava
46'
46'
Nicolás Domínguez / Ibrahim Sangaré
50'
Morato / Jair
Habib Diarra
51'
51'
Nicolás Domínguez
58'
Elliot Anderson
60'
Igor Jesus
63'
Habib Diarra / Wilson Isidor
65'
67'
Luca Netz / Omari Hutchinson
67'
Ryan Yates / Igor Jesus
69'
Neco Williams
Granit Xhaka
75'
76'
Ryan Yates
88'
Taiwo Awoniyi / Chris Wood
90'+5
ast. Taiwo Awoniyi · Elliot Anderson
Pre-match prediction
36.18%
Sunderland
29.39%
X
34.43%
Nottingham ←
we assigned to the actual result (Nottingham Forest) 34.43% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sunderland
1.32
0.67
-0.65
Nottingham
1.30
1.30
+0.01
Nottingham Forest dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.67). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 3 9
2 Arsenal Arsenal 3 9
3 Hull City Hull City 4 8
4 Chelsea Chelsea 4 7
5 Brentford Brentford 4 6
6 Liverpool Liverpool 4 6
7 Ipswich Ipswich 4 6
8 Newcastle Newcastle 3 5
9 Everton Everton 3 5
10 Leeds Leeds 3 5
11 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 4 5
12 Brighton Brighton 3 4
13 Manchester United Manchester United 3 4
14 Sunderland Sunderland 3 4
15 Bournemouth Bournemouth 4 3
16 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 4 3
17 Fulham Fulham 4 1
18 Tottenham Tottenham 3 1
19 Aston Villa Aston Villa 4 1
20 Coventry Coventry 3 0
Lineups
Sunderland Sunderland 4-2-3-1
22 R. Roefs R. Roefs G 5.20
32 T. Hume T. Hume 1 ⚽ D 5.70
15 O. Alderete O. Alderete D 5.20
5 D. Ballard D. Ballard D 5.70
20 N. Mukiele N. Mukiele D 5.60
27 N. Sadiki N. Sadiki M 6.50
34 G. Xhaka G. Xhaka M 8.00
28
M 6.60
19 H. Diarra H. Diarra 65' M 6.30
11 C. Rigg C. Rigg 45' M 6.50
9 B. Brobbey B. Brobbey F 5.90
Bench
7 C. Talbi C. Talbi F
3 D. Cirkin D. Cirkin D
17 Reinildo Reinildo 53' D 6.70
18 W. Isidor W. Isidor 33' F 6.90
26
G 7.30
3 N. Williams N. Williams D 6.50
23 Jair Jair 50' D 6.90
31 N. Milenković N. Milenković D 8.20
34 O. Aina O. Aina D 7.50
10 M. Gibbs-White M. Gibbs-White 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.90
8 E. Anderson E. Anderson 1 ⚽ M 7.90
6 I. Sangaré I. Sangaré 45' M 6.90
21 Omari Hutchinson Omari Hutchinson 67' M 6.90
11 C. Wood C. Wood 1 ⚽ 88' F 7.90
19 Igor Jesus Igor Jesus 1 ⚽ 1 👟 67' F 7.20
Bench
29 D. Bakwa D. Bakwa F
14 D. Ndoye D. Ndoye F
24 J. McAtee J. McAtee M
4 Morato Morato 48' D 7.00
16 N. Domínguez N. Domínguez 53' M 6.60
22 R. Yates R. Yates 31' M 6.90
9 T. Awoniyi T. Awoniyi 1 👟 10' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
N. Milenković
N. Milenković
D · Nottingham
8.20
· 17 pass
G. Xhaka
G. Xhaka
M · Sunderland
8.00
1 shots · 73 pass
M. Gibbs-White
M. Gibbs-White
M · Nottingham
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 28 pass
E. Anderson
E. Anderson
M · Nottingham
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 37 pass
C. Wood
C. Wood
F · Nottingham
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 13 pass
O. Aina
O. Aina
D · Nottingham
7.50
1 shots · 34 pass
Sunderland Sunderland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Roefs G 98 5.20 35 26%
T. Hume D 98 5.70 1 44 37% 1
O. Alderete D 98 5.20 3 35 25%
D. Ballard D 98 5.70 49 38% 1
N. Mukiele D 98 5.60 28 22% 2
N. Sadiki M 98 6.50 42 36%
G. Xhaka M 98 8.00 1 73 66% 2 1
M 98 6.60 1 34 26% 2
H. Diarra M 65 6.30 20 18% 1 1
C. Rigg M 45 6.50 1 13 12%
B. Brobbey F 98 5.90 18 15% 1
Reinildo D 53 6.70 32 24% 1
W. Isidor F 33 6.90 1 12 9%
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 98 7.30 21 9%
N. Williams D 98 6.50 1 22 15% 1
Jair D 50 6.90 13 10%
N. Milenković D 98 8.20 17 12% 3
O. Aina D 98 7.50 1 34 24% 4
M. Gibbs-White M 98 7.90 1 1 1 28 20% 1
E. Anderson M 98 7.90 1 1 37 30% 1 1
I. Sangaré M 45 6.90 17 13% 1
Omari Hutchinson M 67 6.90 1 10 9%
C. Wood F 88 7.90 1 2 13 10%
Igor Jesus F 67 7.20 1 1 1 11 8% 1
Morato D 48 7.00 13 7% 1
N. Domínguez M 53 6.60 17 15% 2 1
R. Yates M 31 6.90 11 8% 1 1
T. Awoniyi F 10 6.60 1 3 2%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest?
The final score was Sunderland 0–5 Nottingham Forest.
What did the model predict before Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Sunderland win, 29% to a draw, and 34% to an Nottingham Forest win.