Premier League
· Regular Season - 34
April 24, 2026 23:00
(og)
17'
Trai Hume
31'
(ast. Morgan Gibbs-White)
Chris Wood
34'
(ast. Igor Jesus)
Morgan Gibbs-White
37'
Igor Jesus
90'+5
(ast. Taiwo Awoniyi)
Elliot Anderson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sunderland a 36% win probability (draw 29%, Nottingham Forest 34%). The final result was Sunderland 0–5 Nottingham Forest. In 1 previous meetings, Sunderland have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nottingham Forest.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
6
0.67
Actual xG
1.30
2
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
6
11
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
17'
(og)
Trai Hume⚽
31'
ast. Morgan Gibbs-White ·
Chris Wood⚽
34'
ast. Igor Jesus ·
Morgan Gibbs-White⚽
37'
Igor Jesus⚽
Chris Rigg
/ Reinildo Mandava
46'
46'
Nicolás Domínguez
/
Ibrahim Sangaré
50'
Morato
/
Jair
Habib Diarra
51'
51'
Nicolás Domínguez
58'
Elliot Anderson
60'
Igor Jesus
63'
Habib Diarra
/ Wilson Isidor
65'
67'
Luca Netz
/
Omari Hutchinson
67'
Ryan Yates
/
Igor Jesus
69'
Neco Williams
Granit Xhaka
75'
76'
Ryan Yates
88'
Taiwo Awoniyi
/
Chris Wood
90'+5
ast. Taiwo Awoniyi ·
Elliot Anderson⚽
Pre-match prediction
36.18%
Sunderland
29.39%
X
34.43%
Nottingham ←
we assigned to the actual result (Nottingham Forest)
34.43%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
0.67
-0.65
1.30
1.30
+0.01
Nottingham Forest dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.67).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
R. Roefs
G
32
T. Hume
1 ⚽
D
T. Hume
1 ⚽
D
15
O. Alderete
D
5
Daniel Ballard
D
20
N. Mukiele
D
27
N. Sadiki
M
N. Sadiki
M
34
G. Xhaka
M
G. Xhaka
M
28
M
19
Habib Diarra
65'
M
11
Chris Rigg
45'
M
9
B. Brobbey
F
Bench
7
C. Talbi
F
3
D. Cirkin
D
17
R. Mandava
53'
D
18
W. Isidor
33'
F
26
G
3
Neco Williams
D
Neco Williams
D
23
Jair
50'
D
Jair
50'
D
31
Nikola Milenković
D
Nikola Milenković
D
34
O. Aina
D
10
M. Gibbs-White
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
M. Gibbs-White
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
8
Elliot Anderson
1 ⚽
M
Elliot Anderson
1 ⚽
M
6
Ibrahim Sangaré
45'
M
21
Omari Hutchinson
67'
M
Omari Hutchinson
67'
M
11
Chris Wood
1 ⚽
88'
F
Chris Wood
1 ⚽
88'
F
19
Igor Jesus
1 ⚽
1 👟
67'
F
Igor Jesus
1 ⚽
1 👟
67'
F
Bench
29
Dilane Bakwa
F
Dilane Bakwa
F
14
D. Ndoye
F
24
James McAtee
M
James McAtee
M
4
Morato
48'
D
Morato
48'
D
16
Nicolás Domínguez
53'
M
Nicolás Domínguez
53'
M
22
Ryan Yates
31'
M
Ryan Yates
31'
M
9
Taiwo Awoniyi
1 👟
10'
F
Taiwo Awoniyi
1 👟
10'
F
Best on the pitch
Nikola Milenković
D · Nottingham
8.20
· 17 pass
G. Xhaka
M · Sunderland
8.00
1 shots
· 73 pass
M. Gibbs-White
M · Nottingham
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 28 pass
Elliot Anderson
M · Nottingham
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 37 pass
Chris Wood
F · Nottingham
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
O. Aina
D · Nottingham
7.50
1 shots
· 34 pass
Sunderland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Roefs | G | 98 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | — | — | — |
| T. Hume | D | 98 | 5.70 | 1 | — | — | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Alderete | D | 98 | 5.20 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Ballard | D | 98 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Mukiele | D | 98 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Sadiki | M | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | — | — | — |
| G. Xhaka | M | 98 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 66% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | 2 | — | — | |
| Habib Diarra | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Chris Rigg | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| B. Brobbey | F | 98 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Mandava | D | 53 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Isidor | F | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
Nottingham Forest — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| Neco Williams | D | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Jair | D | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Nikola Milenković | D | 98 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Aina | D | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Gibbs-White | M | 98 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Elliot Anderson | M | 98 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ibrahim Sangaré | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Omari Hutchinson | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Chris Wood | F | 88 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Igor Jesus | F | 67 | 7.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Morato | D | 48 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolás Domínguez | M | 53 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ryan Yates | M | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Taiwo Awoniyi | F | 10 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest?
The final score was Sunderland 0–5 Nottingham Forest.
What did the model predict before Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Sunderland win, 29% to a draw, and 34% to an Nottingham Forest win.