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#20 · 5 pts
0 – 5
Final score
#18 · 6 pts
(og) 17' Trai Hume
31' (ast. Morgan Gibbs-White) Chris Wood
34' (ast. Igor Jesus) Morgan Gibbs-White
37' Igor Jesus
90'+5 (ast. Taiwo Awoniyi) Elliot Anderson
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sunderland a 36% win probability (draw 29%, Nottingham Forest 34%). The final result was Sunderland 0–5 Nottingham Forest. In 1 previous meetings, Sunderland have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nottingham Forest.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
6
0.67
Actual xG
1.30
2
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
6
11
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
17'
(og) Trai Hume⚽
31'
ast. Morgan Gibbs-White · Chris Wood⚽
34'
ast. Igor Jesus · Morgan Gibbs-White⚽
37'
Igor Jesus⚽
↕ Chris Rigg / Reinildo Mandava
46'
46'
Nicolás Domínguez / Ibrahim Sangaré ↕
50'
Morato / Jair ↕
Habib Diarra
51'
51'
Nicolás Domínguez
58'
Elliot Anderson
60'
Igor Jesus
63'
↕ Habib Diarra / Wilson Isidor
65'
67'
Luca Netz / Omari Hutchinson ↕
67'
Ryan Yates / Igor Jesus ↕
69'
Neco Williams
Granit Xhaka
75'
76'
Ryan Yates
88'
Taiwo Awoniyi / Chris Wood ↕
90'+5
ast. Taiwo Awoniyi · Elliot Anderson⚽
Pre-match prediction
36.18%
Sunderland
29.39%
X
34.43%
Nottingham ←
we assigned to the actual result (Nottingham Forest) 34.43% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sunderland
1.32
0.67
-0.65
Nottingham
1.30
1.30
+0.01
Nottingham Forest dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.67). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Sunderland Sunderland 4-2-3-1
22 R. Roefs R. Roefs G 5.20
32 T. Hume T. Hume 1 ⚽ D 5.70
15 O. Alderete O. Alderete D 5.20
5 D. Ballard D. Ballard D 5.70
20 N. Mukiele N. Mukiele D 5.60
27 N. Sadiki N. Sadiki M 6.50
34 G. Xhaka G. Xhaka M 8.00
28
M 6.60
19 H. Diarra H. Diarra 65' M 6.30
11 C. Rigg C. Rigg 45' M 6.50
9 B. Brobbey B. Brobbey F 5.90
Bench
7 C. Talbi C. Talbi F
3 D. Cirkin D. Cirkin D
17 Reinildo Reinildo 53' D 6.70
18 W. Isidor W. Isidor 33' F 6.90
26
G 7.30
3 N. Williams N. Williams D 6.50
23 Jair Jair 50' D 6.90
31 N. Milenković N. Milenković D 8.20
34 O. Aina O. Aina D 7.50
10 M. Gibbs-White M. Gibbs-White 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.90
8 E. Anderson E. Anderson 1 ⚽ M 7.90
6 I. Sangaré I. Sangaré 45' M 6.90
21 O. Hutchinson O. Hutchinson 67' M 6.90
11 C. Wood C. Wood 1 ⚽ 88' F 7.90
19 Igor Jesus Igor Jesus 1 ⚽ 1 👟 67' F 7.20
Bench
29 D. Bakwa D. Bakwa F
14 D. Ndoye D. Ndoye F
24 J. McAtee J. McAtee M
4 Morato Morato 48' D 7.00
16 N. Domínguez N. Domínguez 53' M 6.60
22 R. Yates R. Yates 31' M 6.90
9 T. Awoniyi T. Awoniyi 1 👟 10' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
N. Milenković
N. Milenković
D · Nottingham
8.20
· 17 pass
G. Xhaka
G. Xhaka
M · Sunderland
8.00
1 shots · 73 pass
M. Gibbs-White
M. Gibbs-White
M · Nottingham
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 28 pass
E. Anderson
E. Anderson
M · Nottingham
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 37 pass
C. Wood
C. Wood
F · Nottingham
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 13 pass
O. Aina
O. Aina
D · Nottingham
7.50
1 shots · 34 pass
Sunderland Sunderland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Roefs G 98 5.20 — — — 35 26% — — —
T. Hume D 98 5.70 1 — — 44 37% 1 — —
O. Alderete D 98 5.20 — — 3 35 25% — — —
D. Ballard D 98 5.70 — — — 49 38% 1 — —
N. Mukiele D 98 5.60 — — — 28 22% 2 — —
N. Sadiki M 98 6.50 — — — 42 36% — — —
G. Xhaka M 98 8.00 — — 1 73 66% 2 1 —
M 98 6.60 — — 1 34 26% 2 — —
H. Diarra M 65 6.30 — — — 20 18% 1 1 —
C. Rigg M 45 6.50 — — 1 13 12% — — —
B. Brobbey F 98 5.90 — — — 18 15% 1 — —
Reinildo D 53 6.70 — — — 32 24% 1 — —
W. Isidor F 33 6.90 — — 1 12 9% — — —
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 98 7.30 — — — 21 9% — — —
N. Williams D 98 6.50 — — 1 22 15% — 1 —
Jair D 50 6.90 — — — 13 10% — — —
N. Milenković D 98 8.20 — — — 17 12% 3 — —
O. Aina D 98 7.50 — — 1 34 24% 4 — —
M. Gibbs-White M 98 7.90 1 1 1 28 20% 1 — —
E. Anderson M 98 7.90 1 — 1 37 30% 1 1 —
I. Sangaré M 45 6.90 — — — 17 13% 1 — —
O. Hutchinson M 67 6.90 — — 1 10 9% — — —
C. Wood F 88 7.90 1 — 2 13 10% — — —
Igor Jesus F 67 7.20 1 1 1 11 8% — 1 —
Morato D 48 7.00 — — — 13 7% 1 — —
N. Domínguez M 53 6.60 — — — 17 15% 2 1 —
R. Yates M 31 6.90 — — — 11 8% 1 1 —
T. Awoniyi F 10 6.60 — 1 — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest?
The final score was Sunderland 0–5 Nottingham Forest.
What did the model predict before Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Sunderland win, 29% to a draw, and 34% to an Nottingham Forest win.