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#7 · 54 pts
0 – 5
Final score
#16 · 44 pts
(og) 17' Trai Hume
31' (ast. Morgan Gibbs-White) Chris Wood
34' (ast. Igor Jesus) Morgan Gibbs-White
37' Igor Jesus
90'+5 (ast. Taiwo Awoniyi) Elliot Anderson
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sunderland a 36% win probability (draw 29%, Nottingham Forest 34%). The final result was Sunderland 0–5 Nottingham Forest. In 1 previous meetings, Sunderland have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nottingham Forest.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
6
0.67
Actual xG
1.30
2
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
6
11
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
17'
(og) Trai Hume
31'
ast. Morgan Gibbs-White · Chris Wood
34'
ast. Igor Jesus · Morgan Gibbs-White
37'
Igor Jesus
Chris Rigg / Reinildo Mandava
46'
46'
Nicolás Domínguez / Ibrahim Sangaré
50'
Morato / Jair
Habib Diarra
51'
51'
Nicolás Domínguez
58'
Elliot Anderson
60'
Igor Jesus
63'
Habib Diarra / Wilson Isidor
65'
67'
Luca Netz / Omari Hutchinson
67'
Ryan Yates / Igor Jesus
69'
Neco Williams
Granit Xhaka
75'
76'
Ryan Yates
88'
Taiwo Awoniyi / Chris Wood
90'+5
ast. Taiwo Awoniyi · Elliot Anderson
Pre-match prediction
36.18%
Sunderland
29.39%
X
34.43%
Nottingham ←
we assigned to the actual result (Nottingham Forest) 34.43% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sunderland
1.32
0.67
-0.65
Nottingham
1.30
1.30
+0.01
Nottingham Forest dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.67). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 38 85
2 Manchester City Manchester City 38 78
3 Manchester United Manchester United 38 71
4 Aston Villa Aston Villa 38 65
5 Liverpool Liverpool 38 60
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 38 57
7 Sunderland Sunderland 38 54
8 Brighton Brighton 38 53
9 Brentford Brentford 38 53
10 Chelsea Chelsea 38 52
11 Fulham Fulham 38 52
12 Newcastle Newcastle 38 49
13 Everton Everton 38 49
14 Leeds Leeds 38 47
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 38 45
16 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 38 44
17 Tottenham Tottenham 38 41
18 West Ham West Ham 38 39
19 Burnley Burnley 38 22
20 Wolves Wolves 38 20
Lineups
Sunderland Sunderland 4-2-3-1
22 R. Roefs R. Roefs G 5.20
32 T. Hume T. Hume 1 ⚽ D 5.70
15 O. Alderete O. Alderete D 5.20
5 D. Ballard D. Ballard D 5.70
20 Nordi Mukiele Nordi Mukiele D 5.60
27 Noah Sadiki Noah Sadiki M 6.50
34 Granit Xhaka Granit Xhaka M 8.00
28
M 6.60
19 Habib Diarra Habib Diarra 65' M 6.30
11 Chris Rigg Chris Rigg 45' M 6.50
9 B. Brobbey B. Brobbey F 5.90
Bench
7 Chemsdine Talbi Chemsdine Talbi F
3 Dennis Cirkin Dennis Cirkin D
17 Reinildo Reinildo 53' D 6.70
18 Wilson Isidor Wilson Isidor 33' F 6.90
26
G 7.30
3 N. Williams N. Williams D 6.50
23 Jair Jair 50' D 6.90
31 N. Milenković N. Milenković D 8.20
34
O. Aina D 7.50
10 M. Gibbs-White M. Gibbs-White 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.90
8 Elliot Anderson Elliot Anderson 1 ⚽ M 7.90
6 I. Sangaré I. Sangaré 45' M 6.90
21 Omari Hutchinson Omari Hutchinson 67' M 6.90
11 C. Wood C. Wood 1 ⚽ 88' F 7.90
19 Igor Jesus Igor Jesus 1 ⚽ 1 👟 67' F 7.20
Bench
14 Dan Ndoye Dan Ndoye F
29 Dilane Bakwa Dilane Bakwa F
24 James McAtee James McAtee M
4 Morato Morato 48' D 7.00
16 Nicolás Domínguez Nicolás Domínguez 53' M 6.60
22 Ryan Yates Ryan Yates 31' M 6.90
9 Taiwo Awoniyi Taiwo Awoniyi 1 👟 10' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
N. Milenković
N. Milenković
D · Nottingham
8.20
· 17 pass
Granit Xhaka
Granit Xhaka
M · Sunderland
8.00
1 shots · 73 pass
M. Gibbs-White
M. Gibbs-White
M · Nottingham
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 28 pass
Elliot Anderson
Elliot Anderson
M · Nottingham
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 37 pass
C. Wood
C. Wood
F · Nottingham
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 13 pass
O. Aina
D · Nottingham
7.50
1 shots · 34 pass
Sunderland Sunderland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Roefs G 98 5.20 35 26%
T. Hume D 98 5.70 1 44 37% 1
O. Alderete D 98 5.20 3 35 25%
D. Ballard D 98 5.70 49 38% 1
Nordi Mukiele D 98 5.60 28 22% 2
Noah Sadiki M 98 6.50 42 36%
Granit Xhaka M 98 8.00 1 73 66% 2 1
M 98 6.60 1 34 26% 2
Habib Diarra M 65 6.30 20 18% 1 1
Chris Rigg M 45 6.50 1 13 12%
B. Brobbey F 98 5.90 18 15% 1
Reinildo D 53 6.70 32 24% 1
Wilson Isidor F 33 6.90 1 12 9%
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 98 7.30 21 9%
N. Williams D 98 6.50 1 22 15% 1
Jair D 50 6.90 13 10%
N. Milenković D 98 8.20 17 12% 3
O. Aina D 98 7.50 1 34 24% 4
M. Gibbs-White M 98 7.90 1 1 1 28 20% 1
Elliot Anderson M 98 7.90 1 1 37 30% 1 1
I. Sangaré M 45 6.90 17 13% 1
Omari Hutchinson M 67 6.90 1 10 9%
C. Wood F 88 7.90 1 2 13 10%
Igor Jesus F 67 7.20 1 1 1 11 8% 1
Morato D 48 7.00 13 7% 1
Nicolás Domínguez M 53 6.60 17 15% 2 1
Ryan Yates M 31 6.90 11 8% 1 1
Taiwo Awoniyi F 10 6.60 1 3 2%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest?
The final score was Sunderland 0–5 Nottingham Forest.
What did the model predict before Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Sunderland win, 29% to a draw, and 34% to an Nottingham Forest win.