Premier League
· Regular Season - 32
April 12, 2026 17:00
✓Model correct — prediction Sunderland
Nordi Mukiele
(ast. Habib Diarra)
61'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sunderland a 56% win probability (draw 25%, Tottenham 17%). The final result was Sunderland 1–0 Tottenham. In 1 previous meetings, Sunderland have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Tottenham.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
7
1.79
Actual xG
0.91
7
Saves
1
53%
Possession
47%
2
Corners
6
22
Tackles
9
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
22'
28'
Cristian Romero
Brian Brobbey
33'
37'
Pedro Porro
37'
Micky van de Ven
⚽Nordi Mukiele
· ast. Habib Diarra
61'
62'
João Palhinha
/
Archie Gray
62'
Pape Matar Sarr
/
Lucas Bergvall
62'
Mathys Tel
/
Richarlison
70'
Kevin Danso
/
Cristian Romero
Chris Rigg
75'
Nordi Mukiele
/ Trai Hume
82'
Chris Rigg
/ Chemsdine Talbi
82'
85'
Xavi Simons
/
Conor Gallagher
Trai Hume
90'+1
Brian Brobbey
/ Wilson Isidor
90'
Pre-match prediction
56.59%
Sunderland ←
25.83%
X
17.58%
Tottenham
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sunderland)
56.59%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.73
1.79
+0.06
0.80
0.91
+0.11
Sunderland dominated by xG (1.79 vs 0.91).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
R. Roefs
G
17
R. Mandava
D
15
O. Alderete
D
13
D
20
N. Mukiele
1 ⚽
82'
D
27
N. Sadiki
M
N. Sadiki
M
34
G. Xhaka
M
G. Xhaka
M
28
M
19
Habib Diarra
1 👟
M
11
Chris Rigg
82'
M
9
B. Brobbey
89'
F
Bench
7
C. Talbi
8'
F
3
D. Cirkin
D
32
T. Hume
8'
D
T. Hume
8'
D
18
W. Isidor
1'
F
31
G
13
Destiny Udogie
D
Destiny Udogie
D
37
Micky van de Ven
D
Micky van de Ven
D
17
C. Romero
70'
D
C. Romero
70'
D
23
Pedro Porro
D
Pedro Porro
D
22
Conor Gallagher
85'
M
Conor Gallagher
85'
M
14
Archie Gray
62'
M
Archie Gray
62'
M
9
Richarlison
62'
M
Richarlison
62'
M
15
Lucas Bergvall
62'
M
Lucas Bergvall
62'
M
39
Randal Kolo Muani
M
Randal Kolo Muani
M
19
D. Solanke
F
Bench
6
João Palhinha
28'
M
João Palhinha
28'
M
4
Kevin Danso
20'
D
Kevin Danso
20'
D
11
Mathys Tel
28'
F
Mathys Tel
28'
F
3
Radu Drăguşin
D
Radu Drăguşin
D
7
X. Simons
17'
M
X. Simons
17'
M
8
Yves Bissouma
M
Yves Bissouma
M
Best on the pitch
R. Roefs
G · Sunderland
8.70
· 26 pass
N. Mukiele
D · Sunderland
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
G. Xhaka
M · Sunderland
8.00
2 shots
· 63 pass
M · Sunderland
7.90
· 38 pass
R. Mandava
D · Sunderland
7.70
· 35 pass
T. Hume
D · Sunderland
7.20
· 2 pass
Sunderland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Roefs | G | 90 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 14% | — | — | — |
| R. Mandava | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Alderete | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — | |
| N. Mukiele | D | 82 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Sadiki | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Xhaka | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 63 | 53% | 5 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | 1 | — | — | |
| Habib Diarra | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Chris Rigg | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Brobbey | F | 89 | 5.30 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Talbi | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Hume | D | 8 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | 1 | — |
| W. Isidor | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Tottenham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Destiny Udogie | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Micky van de Ven | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 54 | 52% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Romero | D | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Porro | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Conor Gallagher | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Archie Gray | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Richarlison | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Bergvall | M | 62 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Randal Kolo Muani | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| D. Solanke | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| João Palhinha | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Danso | D | 20 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Mathys Tel | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| X. Simons | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Tottenham?
The final score was Sunderland 1–0 Tottenham.
What did the model predict before Sunderland vs Tottenham?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Sunderland win, 25% to a draw, and 17% to an Tottenham win.