✓Model correct — prediction Sunderland
Nordi Mukiele
(ast. Habib Diarra)
61'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sunderland a 56% win probability (draw 25%, Tottenham 17%). The final result was Sunderland 1–0 Tottenham. In 1 previous meetings, Sunderland have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Tottenham.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
7
1.79
Actual xG
0.91
7
Saves
1
53%
Possession
47%
2
Corners
6
22
Tackles
9
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
22'
28'
Cristian Romero
Brian Brobbey
33'
37'
Pedro Porro
37'
Micky van de Ven
⚽Nordi Mukiele
· ast. Habib Diarra
61'
62'
João Palhinha
/
Archie Gray
62'
Pape Matar Sarr
/
Lucas Bergvall
62'
Mathys Tel
/
Richarlison
70'
Kevin Danso
/
Cristian Romero
Chris Rigg
75'
Nordi Mukiele
/ Trai Hume
82'
Chris Rigg
/ Chemsdine Talbi
82'
85'
Xavi Simons
/
Conor Gallagher
Trai Hume
90'+1
Brian Brobbey
/ Wilson Isidor
90'
Pre-match prediction
56.59%
Sunderland ←
25.83%
X
17.58%
Tottenham
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sunderland)
56.59%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.73
1.79
+0.06
0.80
0.91
+0.11
Sunderland dominated by xG (1.79 vs 0.91).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
R. Roefs
G
R. Roefs
G
17
Reinildo
D
Reinildo
D
15
Omar Alderete
D
13
D
20
N. Mukiele
1 ⚽
82'
D
N. Mukiele
1 ⚽
82'
D
27
N. Sadiki
M
N. Sadiki
M
34
G. Xhaka
M
G. Xhaka
M
28
M
19
H. Diarra
1 👟
M
H. Diarra
1 👟
M
11
C. Rigg
82'
M
C. Rigg
82'
M
9
B. Brobbey
89'
F
B. Brobbey
89'
F
Bench
7
C. Talbi
8'
F
C. Talbi
8'
F
3
D. Cirkin
D
D. Cirkin
D
32
T. Hume
8'
D
T. Hume
8'
D
18
W. Isidor
1'
F
W. Isidor
1'
F
31
G
13
D. Udogie
D
D. Udogie
D
37
M. van de Ven
D
M. van de Ven
D
17
C. Romero
70'
D
C. Romero
70'
D
23
Pedro Porro
D
Pedro Porro
D
22
C. Gallagher
85'
M
C. Gallagher
85'
M
14
A. Gray
62'
M
A. Gray
62'
M
9
Richarlison
62'
M
Richarlison
62'
M
15
L. Bergvall
62'
M
L. Bergvall
62'
M
39
R. Kolo Muani
M
R. Kolo Muani
M
19
D. Solanke
F
D. Solanke
F
Bench
6
João Palhinha
28'
M
João Palhinha
28'
M
4
K. Danso
20'
D
K. Danso
20'
D
11
M. Tel
28'
F
M. Tel
28'
F
3
R. Drăgușin
D
R. Drăgușin
D
7
X. Simons
17'
M
X. Simons
17'
M
8
Y. Bissouma
M
Y. Bissouma
M
Best on the pitch
R. Roefs
G · Sunderland
8.70
· 26 pass
N. Mukiele
D · Sunderland
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
G. Xhaka
M · Sunderland
8.00
2 shots
· 63 pass
M · Sunderland
7.90
· 38 pass
Reinildo
D · Sunderland
7.70
· 35 pass
T. Hume
D · Sunderland
7.20
· 2 pass
Sunderland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Roefs | G | 90 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Reinildo | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Omar Alderete | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — | |
| N. Mukiele | D | 82 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Sadiki | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Xhaka | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 63 | 53% | 5 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | 1 | — | — | |
| H. Diarra | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| C. Rigg | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Brobbey | F | 89 | 5.30 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Talbi | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Hume | D | 8 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | 1 | — |
| W. Isidor | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Tottenham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| D. Udogie | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| M. van de Ven | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 54 | 52% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Romero | D | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Porro | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Gallagher | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | — | — | — |
| A. Gray | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Richarlison | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Bergvall | M | 62 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| R. Kolo Muani | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| D. Solanke | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| João Palhinha | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Danso | D | 20 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Tel | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| X. Simons | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Tottenham?
The final score was Sunderland 1–0 Tottenham.
What did the model predict before Sunderland vs Tottenham?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Sunderland win, 25% to a draw, and 17% to an Tottenham win.