✓Model correct — prediction Sunderland
Nordi Mukiele
(ast. Habib Diarra)
61'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sunderland a 56% win probability (draw 25%, Tottenham 17%). The final result was Sunderland 1–0 Tottenham. In 1 previous meetings, Sunderland have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Tottenham.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
7
1.79
Actual xG
0.91
7
Saves
1
53%
Possession
47%
2
Corners
6
22
Tackles
9
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
22'
28'
Cristian Romero
Brian Brobbey
33'
37'
Pedro Porro
37'
Micky van de Ven
⚽Nordi Mukiele
· ast. Habib Diarra
61'
62'
João Palhinha
/
Archie Gray
62'
Pape Matar Sarr
/
Lucas Bergvall
62'
Mathys Tel
/
Richarlison
70'
Kevin Danso
/
Cristian Romero
Chris Rigg
75'
Nordi Mukiele
/ Trai Hume
82'
Chris Rigg
/ Chemsdine Talbi
82'
85'
Xavi Simons
/
Conor Gallagher
Trai Hume
90'+1
Brian Brobbey
/ Wilson Isidor
90'
Pre-match prediction
56.59%
Sunderland ←
25.83%
X
17.58%
Tottenham
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sunderland)
56.59%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.73
1.79
+0.06
0.80
0.91
+0.11
Sunderland dominated by xG (1.79 vs 0.91).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
Robin Roefs
G
Robin Roefs
G
17
Reinildo
D
Reinildo
D
15
Omar Alderete
D
Omar Alderete
D
13
D
20
Nordi Mukiele
1 ⚽
82'
D
Nordi Mukiele
1 ⚽
82'
D
27
N. Sadiki
M
N. Sadiki
M
34
G. Xhaka
M
G. Xhaka
M
28
M
19
H. Diarra
1 👟
M
H. Diarra
1 👟
M
11
Chris Rigg
82'
M
Chris Rigg
82'
M
9
B. Brobbey
89'
F
B. Brobbey
89'
F
Bench
7
Chemsdine Talbi
8'
F
Chemsdine Talbi
8'
F
3
Dennis Cirkin
D
Dennis Cirkin
D
32
T. Hume
8'
D
T. Hume
8'
D
18
Wilson Isidor
1'
F
Wilson Isidor
1'
F
31
G
13
Destiny Udogie
D
Destiny Udogie
D
37
M. van de Ven
D
M. van de Ven
D
17
C. Romero
70'
D
C. Romero
70'
D
23
Pedro Porro
D
Pedro Porro
D
22
Conor Gallagher
85'
M
Conor Gallagher
85'
M
14
Archie Gray
62'
M
Archie Gray
62'
M
9
Richarlison
62'
M
Richarlison
62'
M
15
L. Bergvall
62'
M
L. Bergvall
62'
M
39
Randal Kolo Muani
M
Randal Kolo Muani
M
19
Dominic Solanke
F
Dominic Solanke
F
Bench
6
João Palhinha
28'
M
João Palhinha
28'
M
4
Kevin Danso
20'
D
Kevin Danso
20'
D
11
Mathys Tel
28'
F
Mathys Tel
28'
F
3
Radu Drăguşin
D
7
X. Simons
17'
M
X. Simons
17'
M
8
Y. Bissouma
M
Y. Bissouma
M
Best on the pitch
Robin Roefs
G · Sunderland
8.70
· 26 pass
Nordi Mukiele
D · Sunderland
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
G. Xhaka
M · Sunderland
8.00
2 shots
· 63 pass
M · Sunderland
7.90
· 38 pass
Reinildo
D · Sunderland
7.70
· 35 pass
T. Hume
D · Sunderland
7.20
· 2 pass
Sunderland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robin Roefs | G | 90 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Reinildo | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Omar Alderete | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — | |
| Nordi Mukiele | D | 82 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Sadiki | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Xhaka | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 63 | 53% | 5 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | 1 | — | — | |
| H. Diarra | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Chris Rigg | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Brobbey | F | 89 | 5.30 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Chemsdine Talbi | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Hume | D | 8 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Wilson Isidor | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Tottenham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Destiny Udogie | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| M. van de Ven | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 54 | 52% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Romero | D | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Porro | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Conor Gallagher | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Archie Gray | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Richarlison | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Bergvall | M | 62 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Randal Kolo Muani | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Dominic Solanke | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| João Palhinha | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Danso | D | 20 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Mathys Tel | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| X. Simons | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Tottenham?
The final score was Sunderland 1–0 Tottenham.
What did the model predict before Sunderland vs Tottenham?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Sunderland win, 25% to a draw, and 17% to an Tottenham win.