Super Nova - Ogre United

Virsliga May 16, 2026 15:00

Super Nova

#5 · 14 pts

15:00

vs

Ogre United

#10 · 3 pts

⚡ Pre-match analysis

51.51%

Win

Super Nova

25.79%

Draw

22.71%

Win

Ogre United

1.69

Expected xG

0.91

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Super Nova a 51% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Ogre United. Expected goals are 1.7 for Super Nova and 0.9 for Ogre United (total 2.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.6% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Super Nova have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Ogre United.

Score Matrix

↕ Super Nova Ogre United →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7.5%	6.8%	3.1%	0.9%	0.2%	—
1	12.6%	11.4%	5.2%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
2	10.7%	9.6%	4.4%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
3	6.0%	5.4%	2.5%	0.7%	0.2%	—
4	2.5%	2.3%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%	—
5	0.9%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	—	—

Recent form

Super Nova

D Tukums 1–1

L FS Jelgava 1–0

L Auda 1–2

W BFC Daugavpils 0–1

L FK Liepaja 1–2

Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 15%

Ogre United

L FK Liepaja 4–1

L Tukums 6–1

L Rīgas FS 3–4

L FS Jelgava 0–1

L Riga 4–0

Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 15%

Playing profile

Super Nova

Attack

19

Defence

63

Form

37

Ogre United

Attack

25

Defence

33

Form

22

Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1

Super Nova

0

Draw

0

Ogre United

W 3 Apr 2026 Virsliga 2–1

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	12	31
2	Riga	12	29
3	Auda	12	25
4	FK Liepaja	12	15
5	Super Nova	12	14
6	BFC Daugavpils	12	14
7	Tukums	12	12
8	FS Jelgava	12	12
9	Grobiņa	12	11
10	Ogre United	12	3