Virsliga
· Regular Season - 34
October 25, 2026 17:00
✓Model correct — prediction Rīgas FS
50'
(ast. Dmitrijs Zelenkovs)
Ziga Lipuscek
59'
(ast. lasha odisharia)
Darko Lemajić
88'
(ast. Dmitrijs Zelenkovs)
Ziga Lipuscek
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rīgas FS a 73% win probability (draw 15%, Super Nova 10%). The final result was Super Nova 0–3 Rīgas FS. In 4 previous meetings, Super Nova have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 4 wins for Rīgas FS.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
12
1
Shots on target
6
0.33
Actual xG
1.81
0
Saves
1
42%
Possession
58%
5
Corners
8
20
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
46'
martins kigurs
/
Cedric kouadio
46'
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs
/
Roberts Savalnieks
50'
ast. Dmitrijs Zelenkovs ·
Ziga Lipuscek⚽
57'
Stefan Panić
59'
ast. lasha odisharia ·
Darko Lemajić⚽
Valerijs lizunovs
/ agris glaudans
60'
raivis kirss
/ Ndiaye Pathé
60'
65'
Rostand Ndjiki
/
Darko Lemajić
ivans patrikejevs
/ Ralfs Šitjakovs
65'
Bamba
/ Aram baghdasaryan
76'
88'
ast. Dmitrijs Zelenkovs ·
Ziga Lipuscek⚽
90'
shina kumater
/
Ziga Lipuscek
90'
duje korac
/
Stefan Panić
Pre-match prediction
10.15%
Super
15.93%
X
73.91%
Rīgas ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Rīgas FS)
73.91%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.58
0.33
-0.25
2.21
1.81
-0.4
Rīgas FS dominated by xG (1.81 vs 0.33).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
90
D. Veisbuks
G
3
R. Iida
D
R. Iida
D
2
K. Augusts
D
5
J. Cīrulis
D
J. Cīrulis
D
21
M. Tihonovičs
M
M. Tihonovičs
M
22
Kristers Skadmanis
M
Kristers Skadmanis
M
9
Bamba
6
E. Emsis
M
E. Emsis
M
8
I. Patrikejevs
65'
M
I. Patrikejevs
65'
M
15
R. Ķiršs
60'
F
R. Ķiršs
60'
F
10
V. Lizunovs
60'
F
V. Lizunovs
60'
F
Bench
29
A. Baghdasaryan
F
7
A. Glaudāns
30'
F
A. Glaudāns
30'
F
4
L. Berzins
D
27
N. Pathe
30'
D
N. Pathe
30'
D
24
R. Šitjakovs
25'
M
R. Šitjakovs
25'
M
31
T. Petrovics
G
16
J. Ņerugals
G
J. Ņerugals
G
6
A. Filipović
D
A. Filipović
D
43
Ž. Lipušček
2 ⚽
89'
D
Ž. Lipušček
2 ⚽
89'
D
23
H. Prenga
D
H. Prenga
D
11
R. Savaļnieks
45'
D
R. Savaļnieks
45'
D
26
S. Panić
89'
M
S. Panić
89'
M
66
M. Saidy
M
M. Saidy
M
17
C. Kouadio
F
10
J. Ikaunieks
M
J. Ikaunieks
M
8
L. Odisharia
1 👟
M
L. Odisharia
1 👟
M
22
D. Lemajić
1 ⚽
65'
F
D. Lemajić
1 ⚽
65'
F
Bench
19
Alfa Baldé
F
Alfa Baldé
F
9
Duje Korač
F
18
D. Zelenkovs
2 👟
45'
F
D. Zelenkovs
2 👟
45'
F
30
H. Njie
M
49
M. Ķigurs
M
5
N. Sliede
D
N. Sliede
D
1
R. Matrevics
G
R. Matrevics
G
15
R. Ndjiki
25'
M
R. Ndjiki
25'
M
99
S. Kumater
1'
M
S. Kumater
1'
M
Best on the pitch
Ž. Lipušček
D · Rīgas
8.60
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 64 pass
L. Odisharia
M · Rīgas
8.19
1 👟
1 shots
· 27 pass
D. Zelenkovs
F · Rīgas
7.70
2 👟
· 24 pass
M. Saidy
M · Rīgas
7.70
2 shots
· 62 pass
S. Panić
M · Rīgas
7.60
· 80 pass
H. Prenga
D · Rīgas
7.40
3 shots
· 61 pass
Super Nova — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Veisbuks | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Iida | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Augusts | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Cīrulis | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 56 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Tihonovičs | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| Kristers Skadmanis | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Bamba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| E. Emsis | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 32% | 5 | — | — |
| I. Patrikejevs | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Ķiršs | F | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| V. Lizunovs | F | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Glaudāns | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Pathe | D | 30 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Šitjakovs | M | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
Rīgas FS — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ņerugals | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Filipović | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| Ž. Lipušček | D | 89 | 8.60 | 2 | — | 2 | 64 | 57% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Prenga | D | 90 | 7.40 | — | — | 3 | 61 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Savaļnieks | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Panić | M | 89 | 7.60 | — | — | 0 | 80 | 73% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Saidy | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 62 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Kouadio | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Ikaunieks | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Odisharia | M | 90 | 8.19 | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Lemajić | F | 65 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Zelenkovs | F | 45 | 7.70 | — | 2 | 0 | 24 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Ndjiki | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Kumater | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Super Nova vs Rīgas FS?
The final score was Super Nova 0–3 Rīgas FS.
What did the model predict before Super Nova vs Rīgas FS?
The model assigned 10% probability to a Super Nova win, 15% to a draw, and 73% to an Rīgas FS win.