Virsliga · Regular Season - 12 May 11, 2026 19:00

Super Nova

#6 · 35 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Tukums

#9 · 24 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Tukums, result Draw

A. Glaudans (ast. V. Lizunovs) 18'

90'+2 (ast. B. Samoilovs) D. Valmiers

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tukums a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Super Nova 22%). The final result was Super Nova 1–1 Tukums. In 3 previous meetings, Super Nova have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Tukums.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽A. Glaudans · ast. V. Lizunovs

18'

Bamba

29'

35'

S. Shibata

54'

R. Reingolcs

↕ A. Grikovs / N. Barkovskis

64'

65'

Leoni / R. Deruzinskis ↕

65'

R. Melkis / M. Derkach ↕

↕ Facu / I. Sylla

72'

↕ A. Glaudans / K. Skadmanis

72'

R. Sitjakovs

73'

73'

R. Baumanis / S. Shibata ↕

N. Barkovskis

76'

↕ N. Pathe / G. Bombans

79'

I. Sylla

80'

82'

D. Valmiers / R. Reingolcs ↕

90'+2

ast. B. Samoilovs · D. Valmiers⚽

Pre-match prediction

22.53%

Super

22.33%

X ←

55.14%

Tukums

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.33% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Super

1.01

—

—

Tukums

2.38

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	30	74
2	Riga	31	73
3	Auda	31	61
4	FK Liepaja	31	43
5	BFC Daugavpils	31	39
6	Super Nova	30	35
7	FS Jelgava	31	32
8	Grobiņa	31	26
9	Tukums	31	24
10	Ogre United	31	18