Canadian Premier League · Group Stage June 07, 2026 01:00

Supra du Quebec

#6 · 22 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Pacific FC

#8 · 10 pts

S. Rea (ast. D. Choiniere) 54'

43' A. Diaz

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Supra du Quebec a 48% win probability (draw 27%, Pacific FC 23%). The final result was Supra du Quebec 1–1 Pacific FC. In 2 previous meetings, Supra du Quebec have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Pacific FC.

Match statistics

5

Shots on target

3

0.84

Actual xG

1.15

51%

Possession

49%

3

Corners

1

Match Events

20'

E. Lajeunesse

39'

C. Greco-Taylor

43'

A. Diaz⚽

45'+1

Y. R. Toualy

↕ B. Kabore / S. Deslandes

46'

⚽S. Rea · ast. D. Choiniere

54'

S. Mlah

61'

↕ D. Choiniere / D. Abzi

72'

↕ T. Lebeuf / O. El Kalkouli

72'

↕ S. Mlah / R. Bey

72'

A. Sissoko

78'

78'

M. Schiavoni / M. Bustos ↕

80'

M. Edwards / R. Kratt ↕

D. Abzi

84'

↕ L. A. Kwemi / C. Bayiha

87'

87'

M. Vales / A. Diaz ↕

Pre-match prediction

48.29%

Supra

27.87%

X ←

23.84%

Pacific

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 27.87% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Supra

1.62

0.84

-0.79

Pacific

0.63

1.15

+0.52

Pacific FC dominated by xG (1.15 vs 0.84). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	20	46
2	Forge	21	45
3	Atlético Ottawa	22	34
4	Vancouver FC	21	30
5	HFX Wanderers FC	22	23
6	Supra du Quebec	21	22
7	York United	19	20
8	Pacific FC	20	10