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Canadian Premier League · Group Stage October 10, 2026 22:00
Supra du Quebec
#4 · 38 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Vancouver FC
#5 · 37 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Supra du Quebec, result Draw
Loic Adrien Kwemi (ast. Ibrahim Conde) 7'
S. Mlah 88'
59' (ast. Emrick Fotsing) Terran Campbell
90'+6 (ast. Callum Irving) Matteo.Campagna
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Supra du Quebec a 62% win probability (draw 20%, Vancouver FC 17%). The final result was Supra du Quebec 2–2 Vancouver FC. In 3 previous meetings, Supra du Quebec have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Vancouver FC.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
3
1.26
Actual xG
0.94
1
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
9
Corners
4
13
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Loic Adrien Kwemi · ast. Ibrahim Conde
7'
25'
Matteo.Campagna
47'
Luis Toomey
59'
ast. Emrick Fotsing · Terran Campbell⚽
61'
↕ Ibrahim Conde / Clement Bayiha
61'
↕ Omar El Kalkouli / R. Bey
61'
68'
Lys Mousset / Terran Campbell ↕
68'
Damiano Pecile / Emrick Fotsing ↕
↕ Aboubacar Sissoko / S. Mlah
78'
86'
Benjamin Lee / Luis Toomey ↕
86'
Abdoulaye·Ouattara / Damiano Pecile ↕
⚽S. Mlah
88'
89'
Aboubacar Traore / Tom Field ↕
90'+4
Benjamin Lee
Zachary Brault Guillard
90'+5
S. Mlah
90'+5
90'+6
ast. Callum Irving · Matteo.Campagna⚽
Pre-match prediction
62.62%
Supra
20.29%
X ←
17.09%
Vancouver
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.29% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Supra
1.95
1.26
-0.69
Vancouver
0.76
0.94
+0.18
Supra du Quebec dominated by xG (1.26 vs 0.94). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Cavalry FC Cavalry FC 28 60
2 Forge Forge 28 58
3 Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 28 43
4 Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 28 38
5 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 28 37
6 York United York United 28 30
7 HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 28 28
8 Pacific FC Pacific FC 28 15
Lineups
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 4-2-3-1
32 J. Milli J. Milli G 5.92
11 D. Abzi D. Abzi D 6.91
4 M. Chretien M. Chretien D 6.72
2 C. Auguste C. Auguste D 6.95
15 Z. Brault-Guillard Z. Brault-Guillard D 5.60
6 Alessandro Biello Alessandro Biello M 6.50
33 A. Sissoko A. Sissoko 78' M 6.32
8 O. El Kalkouli O. El Kalkouli 61' M 6.29
10 S. Rea S. Rea M 6.23
9 L. Kwemi L. Kwemi 1 ⚽ M 7.58
99 I. Conde I. Conde 1 👟 61' F 6.59
Bench
12 C. Bayiha C. Bayiha 29' F 6.45
49 E. Awonongbadje E. Awonongbadje D 0.00
80 M. Diop M. Diop G 0.00
92 N. Santos N. Santos F 0.00
77 R. Bey R. Bey 29' F 6.70
24 S. Mlah S. Mlah 1 ⚽ 12' M 7.27
3 T. Lebeuf T. Lebeuf D 0.00
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 4-2-3-1
1 C. Irving C. Irving 1 👟 G 6.92
23 K. Proctor K. Proctor D 6.10
30 Thomas Geoffrey Field Thomas Geoffrey Field 89' D 7.21
5 M. Campagna M. Campagna 1 ⚽ D 7.41
3 M. Doner M. Doner D 6.66
8 L. Toomey L. Toomey 86' M 5.86
4 I. Ssewankambo I. Ssewankambo M 6.39
10 M. Amissi M. Amissi M 6.24
17 Emrick Fotsing Emrick Fotsing 1 👟 68' M 6.74
7 T. Bah T. Bah M 6.48
14 T. Campbell T. Campbell 1 ⚽ 68' F 7.82
Bench
15 Abdoulaye Ouattara Abdoulaye Ouattara 4' M 6.02
11 A. Traore A. Traore 1' F 7.13
16 Benjamin Lee Benjamin Lee 4' M 5.79
6 D. Pecile D. Pecile 18' M 6.07
33 Henrik Regitnig Henrik Regitnig G 0.00
9 L. Mousset L. Mousset 22' F 6.58
2 P. Gee P. Gee D 0.00
Best on the pitch
T. Campbell
T. Campbell
F · Vancouver
7.82
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
L. Kwemi
L. Kwemi
M · Supra
7.58
1 ⚽
2 shots · 27 pass
M. Campagna
M. Campagna
D · Vancouver
7.41
1 ⚽
1 shots · 74 pass
S. Mlah
S. Mlah
M · Supra
7.27
1 ⚽
3 shots · 9 pass
Thomas Geoffrey Field
Thomas Geoffrey Field
D · Vancouver
7.21
· 54 pass
A. Traore
A. Traore
F · Vancouver
7.13
· 1 pass
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Milli G 90 5.92 — — 0 16 10% 0 — —
D. Abzi D 90 6.91 — — 1 37 30% 2 — —
M. Chretien D 90 6.72 — — 1 51 43% 1 — —
C. Auguste D 90 6.95 — — 1 57 45% 0 — —
Z. Brault-Guillard D 90 5.60 — — 0 36 25% 0 1 —
Alessandro Biello M 90 6.50 — — 1 35 28% 6 — —
A. Sissoko M 78 6.32 — — 2 23 15% 0 — —
O. El Kalkouli M 61 6.29 — — 0 14 10% 0 — —
S. Rea M 90 6.23 — — 2 24 19% 0 — —
L. Kwemi M 90 7.58 1 — 2 27 23% 1 — —
I. Conde F 61 6.59 — 1 0 8 6% 2 — —
C. Bayiha F 29 6.45 — — 0 16 13% 0 — —
R. Bey F 29 6.70 — — 1 8 7% 1 — —
S. Mlah M 12 7.27 1 — 3 9 6% 0 1 —
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Irving G 90 6.92 — 1 0 28 23% 0 — —
K. Proctor D 90 6.10 — — 1 30 22% 3 — —
Thomas Geoffrey Field D 89 7.21 — — 0 54 48% 0 — —
M. Campagna D 90 7.41 1 — 1 74 70% 3 1 —
M. Doner D 90 6.66 — — 0 50 44% 1 — —
L. Toomey M 86 5.86 — — 1 34 24% 2 1 —
I. Ssewankambo M 90 6.39 — — 0 49 37% 5 — —
M. Amissi M 90 6.24 — — 1 18 13% 2 — —
Emrick Fotsing M 68 6.74 — 1 0 39 32% 1 — —
T. Bah M 90 6.48 — — 0 35 31% 3 — —
T. Campbell F 68 7.82 1 — 1 9 7% 0 — —
Abdoulaye Ouattara M 4 6.02 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
A. Traore F 1 7.13 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Benjamin Lee M 4 5.79 — — 1 2 1% 0 1 —
D. Pecile M 18 6.07 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
L. Mousset F 22 6.58 — — 2 3 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC?
The final score was Supra du Quebec 2–2 Vancouver FC.
What did the model predict before Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Supra du Quebec win, 20% to a draw, and 17% to an Vancouver FC win.