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Canadian Premier League · Group Stage October 17, 2026 01:00
Supra du Quebec
#4 · 38 pts
3 – 0
Final score
York United
#6 · 30 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Supra du Quebec
Kembo·Kibato 53' (og)
Sean Rea (ast. Alessandro Simone Biello) 62'
Noah Lauren Trudel dos Santos (ast. Loic Adrien Kwemi) 87'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Supra du Quebec a 77% win probability (draw 11%, York United 11%). The final result was Supra du Quebec 3–0 York United. In 3 previous meetings, Supra du Quebec have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for York United.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
2.55
Actual xG
0.86
2
Saves
3
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
3
15
Tackles
30
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
24'
Tomasz Skublak
44'
44'
Max Ferrari
Sean Rea
45'+1
⚽Kembo·Kibato (og)
53'
54'
Shola Jimoh / David Peraza ↕
⚽Sean Rea · ast. Alessandro Simone Biello
62'
↕ David Choiniere / Omar El Kalkouli
67'
↕ Aboubacar Sissoko / S. Mlah
67'
67'
Kevonte Tyrique Jaaziah Clarke / Beni Badibanga ↕
↕ Ibrahim Conde / Noah Lauren Trudel dos Santos
79'
⚽Noah Lauren Trudel dos Santos · ast. Loic Adrien Kwemi
87'
Pre-match prediction
77.0%
Supra ←
11.94%
X
11.06%
York
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Supra du Quebec) 77.0% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Supra
3.73
2.55
-1.18
York
1.05
0.86
-0.19
Supra du Quebec dominated by xG (2.55 vs 0.86). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Cavalry FC Cavalry FC 28 60
2 Forge Forge 28 58
3 Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 28 43
4 Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 28 38
5 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 28 37
6 York United York United 28 30
7 HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 28 28
8 Pacific FC Pacific FC 28 15
Lineups
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 4-2-3-1
32 J. Milli J. Milli G 6.69
11 D. Abzi D. Abzi D 7.18
4 M. Chretien M. Chretien D 7.23
2 C. Auguste C. Auguste D 7.33
15 Z. Brault-Guillard Z. Brault-Guillard D 7.33
6 Alessandro Biello Alessandro Biello 1 👟 M 7.70
33 A. Sissoko A. Sissoko 67' M 6.44
9 L. Kwemi L. Kwemi 1 👟 M 7.70
10 S. Rea S. Rea 1 ⚽ M 7.52
7 D. Choinière D. Choinière 67' M 6.29
99 I. Conde I. Conde 79' F 6.35
Bench
80 M. Diop M. Diop G 0.00
92 N. Santos N. Santos 1 ⚽ 11' F 7.37
8 O. El Kalkouli O. El Kalkouli 23' M 6.64
24 S. Mlah S. Mlah 23' M 6.43
3 T. Lebeuf T. Lebeuf D 0.00
23 Z. Fernandez Z. Fernandez D 0.00
York United York United 4-2-3-1
12 I. Pavela I. Pavela G 5.74
16 M. Ferrari M. Ferrari 44' D 5.12
4 O. León O. León D 5.73
3 L. Singh L. Singh D 6.22
6 R. López R. López D 5.83
7 S. Yeates S. Yeates M 5.97
13 L. Accettola L. Accettola M 6.04
21 K. Kibato K. Kibato 1 ⚽ M 4.46
39 B. Badibanga B. Badibanga 67' M 5.03
38 David Peraza David Peraza 54' M 6.15
77
F 6.51
Bench
17 Campos Ralston Kai Antonio Campos Ralston Kai Antonio G 0.00
28 J. N. Costa J. N. Costa M 0.00
36 K. Clarke K. Clarke 23' M 5.92
37 N. Andrada N. Andrada D 0.00
9 S. Gonzales S. Gonzales F 0.00
19 Shola Jimoh Shola Jimoh 36' F 6.58
Best on the pitch
Alessandro Biello
Alessandro Biello
M · Supra
7.70
1 👟
· 68 pass
L. Kwemi
L. Kwemi
M · Supra
7.70
1 👟
3 shots · 51 pass
S. Rea
S. Rea
M · Supra
7.52
1 ⚽
5 shots · 44 pass
N. Santos
N. Santos
F · Supra
7.37
1 ⚽
1 shots · 1 pass
C. Auguste
C. Auguste
D · Supra
7.33
· 78 pass
Z. Brault-Guillard
Z. Brault-Guillard
D · Supra
7.33
2 shots · 43 pass
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Milli G 90 6.69 — — 0 14 13% 0 — —
D. Abzi D 90 7.18 — — 2 67 54% 5 — —
M. Chretien D 90 7.23 — — 0 70 64% 1 — —
C. Auguste D 90 7.33 — — 0 78 70% 0 — —
Z. Brault-Guillard D 90 7.33 — — 2 43 39% 1 — —
Alessandro Biello M 90 7.70 — 1 0 68 62% 2 — —
A. Sissoko M 67 6.44 — — 3 22 16% 2 — —
L. Kwemi M 90 7.70 — 1 3 51 40% 0 — —
S. Rea M 90 7.52 1 — 5 44 35% 1 1 —
D. Choinière M 67 6.29 — — 0 25 21% 1 — —
I. Conde F 79 6.35 — — 1 10 6% 1 — —
N. Santos F 11 7.37 1 — 1 1 1% 0 — —
O. El Kalkouli M 23 6.64 — — 1 14 12% 1 — —
S. Mlah M 23 6.43 — — 0 16 14% 0 — —
York United York United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. Pavela G 90 5.74 — — 0 24 17% 0 — —
M. Ferrari D 44 5.12 — — 1 21 17% 1 — 1
O. León D 90 5.73 — — 0 51 32% 2 — —
L. Singh D 90 6.22 — — 0 29 25% 0 — —
R. López D 90 5.83 — — 0 31 25% 5 — —
S. Yeates M 90 5.97 — — 0 58 47% 3 — —
L. Accettola M 90 6.04 — — 0 32 24% 4 — —
K. Kibato M 90 4.46 1 — 1 24 16% 2 — —
B. Badibanga M 67 5.03 — — 0 22 11% 1 — —
David Peraza M 54 6.15 — — 1 4 2% 8 — —
F 90 6.51 — — 2 13 10% 0 1 —
K. Clarke M 23 5.92 — — 0 6 3% 2 — —
Shola Jimoh F 36 6.58 — — 0 5 4% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Supra du Quebec vs York United?
The final score was Supra du Quebec 3–0 York United.
What did the model predict before Supra du Quebec vs York United?
The model assigned 77% probability to a Supra du Quebec win, 11% to a draw, and 11% to an York United win.