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Sutjeska - Jezero

First League October 29, 2026 14:00
#4 · 19 pts
vs
#9 · 11 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
72.71%
Win
Sutjeska
13.68%
Draw
13.62%
Win
Jezero
4.5
Expected xG
1.33
Most likely outcome
Sutjeska
72.71%
Probability
25.0%
1X2 accuracy · 4 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–1 (7.52%)
1X2 Result
1 73%
X 14%
2 14%
Double Chance
1X 86%
X2 27%
12 86%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 68%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sutjeska a 72% win probability, against 13% for a draw and 13% for Jezero. Expected goals are 4.5 for Sutjeska and 1.3 for Jezero (total 5.8), with a 68% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 7.52% probability. In 6 previous meetings, Sutjeska have won 1 times, with 3 draws and 2 wins for Jezero.

Season Stats

Sutjeska
7W 4D 4L
Jezero
4W 5D 6L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.4
0.7
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
53%
O 1.5
73%
33%
O 2.5
60%
27%
BTTS
47%
60%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in First League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Sutjeska
6W 1D 3L · at home
Jezero
1W 3D 6L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.1
1.0
Conceded
2.2
60%
Win %
10%
70%
Win or Draw
40%
80%
O 1.5
90%
50%
O 2.5
70%
40%
O 3.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
10%
10%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Sutjeska Jezero →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — —
1 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% —
2 3.0% 4.0% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.4% 5.9% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 5.0% 6.7% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
5 4.5% 6.0% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%

Recent form

D Otrant-Olympic 1–1
W Bokelj 4–0
D Buducnost Podgorica 0–0
W Arsenal Tivat 0–2
W Dečić 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 31%
L Petrovac 1–2
D Mladost DG 0–0
D Mornar 3–3
L Otrant-Olympic 4–1
D Bokelj 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Sutjeska Sutjeska
Attack
44
Defence
94
Form
71
Jezero Jezero
Attack
34
Defence
48
Form
32
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Buducnost Podgorica Buducnost Podgorica 13 22
2 Otrant-Olympic Otrant-Olympic 12 21
3 Mornar Mornar 13 20
4 Sutjeska Sutjeska 12 19
5 Bokelj Bokelj 11 18
6 Dečić Dečić 11 15
7 Mladost DG Mladost DG 12 12
8 Petrovac Petrovac 11 11
9 Jezero Jezero 12 11
10 Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat 11 8
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sutjeska vs Jezero?
The model gives Sutjeska a 72% win probability, 13% for a draw, and 13% for an Jezero win.
How many goals are expected in Sutjeska vs Jezero?
Expected goals: Sutjeska 4.5, Jezero 1.3 (total 5.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 68%.
What is the most likely score in Sutjeska vs Jezero?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.52%.