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Sutton Utd - Aldershot Town

National League October 28, 2026 20:45
Sutton Utd
#16 · 18 pts
vs
Aldershot Town
#13 · 18 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.77%
Win
Sutton Utd
24.65%
Draw
39.58%
Win
Aldershot Town
1.29
Expected xG
1.51

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.21%)
1X2 Result ✓ 71.4% hit rate (28 picks)
1 36%
X 25%
2 40%
Double Chance
1X 60%
X2 64%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 61%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Aldershot Town a 39% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Sutton Utd. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sutton Utd and 1.5 for Aldershot Town (total 2.8), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.21% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Sutton Utd have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Aldershot Town.

Season Stats

Sutton Utd
5W 3D 7L
Aldershot Town
5W 3D 7L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.2
1.5
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
67%
40%
O 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in National League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Sutton Utd
3W 1D 6L · at home
Aldershot Town
3W 2D 5L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.0
1.8
Conceded
1.4
30%
Win %
30%
40%
Win or Draw
50%
90%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
50%
10%
O 3.5
10%
50%
BTTS
60%
10%
Clean Sht
20%
40%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Sutton Utd Aldershot Town →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1% 9.2% 6.9% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.9% 11.9% 8.9% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.1% 7.7% 5.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.2% 3.3% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% —
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Sutton Utd Sutton Utd
L Harrogate Town 3–1
L Boreham Wood 0–2
D Kidderminster Harriers 1–1
L Tamworth 2–0
D Forest Green 3–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Aldershot Town Aldershot Town
L Wealdstone 0–1
L Altrincham 3–1
L Carlisle 1–3
L AFC Hornchurch 2–1
W Tamworth 5–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 40%

Playing profile

Sutton Utd Sutton Utd
Attack
25
Defence
52
Form
34
Aldershot Town Aldershot Town
Attack
30
Defence
59
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Sutton Utd
2
Draw
0
Aldershot Town
3 Apr 2026 National League 2–2
26 Dec 2025 National League 0–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 15 41
2 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 14 31
3 Southend Southend 15 29
4 Yeovil Town Yeovil Town 15 28
5 Worthing Worthing 15 28
6 Altrincham Altrincham 15 28
7 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 15 26
8 Barrow Barrow 14 24
9 FC Halifax Town FC Halifax Town 15 21
10 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 15 21
11 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 15 21
12 Carlisle Carlisle 14 20
13 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 14 18
14 Woking Woking 15 18
15 Eastleigh Eastleigh 14 18
16 Sutton Utd Sutton Utd 14 18
17 Tamworth Tamworth 14 17
18 Forest Green Forest Green 12 15
19 Wealdstone Wealdstone 15 15
20 Hartlepool Hartlepool 15 15
21 Boston United Boston United 15 15
22 Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 14 10
23 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 15 10
24 Gateshead Gateshead 14 4
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town?
The model gives Sutton Utd a 35% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 39% for an Aldershot Town win.
How many goals are expected in Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town?
Expected goals: Sutton Utd 1.3, Aldershot Town 1.5 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Sutton Utd vs Aldershot Town?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.21%.