The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC St. Pauli a 37% win probability (draw 34%, SV Darmstadt 98 28%). The final result was SV Darmstadt 98 0–0 FC St. Pauli.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
18
0
Shots on target
2
0.81
Actual xG
1.91
2
Saves
0
36%
Possession
64%
2
Corners
6
22
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
7'
Arkadiusz Pyrka
26'
Abdoulie Ceesay
Raoul Petretta
26'
45'
Martijn Kaars
/
Abdoulie Ceesay
45'
Adam Dźwigała
/
Arkadiusz Pyrka
45'
Samuel Klein
/
Mathias Rasmussen
Kai Klefisch
56'
Fynn-Luca Lakenmacher
/ Lee Ho-Jae
62'
Marco Richter
/ Nicolas Verkooijen
62'
65'
Adam Dźwigała
67'
Taichi Hara
/
Youssoupha Niang
83'
Eric Smith
84'
Branimir Hrgota
/
Connor Metcalfe
Milan Smit
/ Lance Duijvestijn
85'
William Mikelbrencis
90'+2
William Mikelbrencis
/ Christopher Lannert
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
28.67%
SV
34.01%
X ←
37.32%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
34.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.50
0.81
+0.31
0.82
1.91
+1.09
FC St. Pauli dominated by xG (1.91 vs 0.81).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
M. Schuhen
G
M. Schuhen
G
18
R. Petretta
D
R. Petretta
D
49
Y. Lührs
D
Y. Lührs
D
6
P. Pfeiffer
D
P. Pfeiffer
D
25
W. Mikelbrencis
89'
D
W. Mikelbrencis
89'
D
7
N. Weißhaupt
M
N. Weißhaupt
M
16
H. Akiyama
M
H. Akiyama
M
17
K. Klefisch
M
K. Klefisch
M
5
M. Richter
62'
M
M. Richter
62'
M
36
M. Smit
85'
F
M. Smit
85'
F
19
F. Lakenmacher
62'
F
F. Lakenmacher
62'
F
Bench
30
A. Brunst
G
A. Brunst
G
20
A. Vukotić
D
A. Vukotić
D
28
C. Lannert
1'
D
C. Lannert
1'
D
3
F. Kleinhansl
D
F. Kleinhansl
D
11
I. El Kadiri
F
I. El Kadiri
F
41
L. Duijvestijn
5'
M
L. Duijvestijn
5'
M
9
Lee Ho-Jae
28'
F
Lee Ho-Jae
28'
F
22
L. Kehl
M
L. Kehl
M
10
N. Verkooijen
28'
M
N. Verkooijen
28'
M
1
B. Voll
G
B. Voll
G
21
L. Ritzka
D
L. Ritzka
D
8
E. Smith
D
E. Smith
D
4
D. Nemeth
D
D. Nemeth
D
23
L. Oppie
M
L. Oppie
M
16
J. Fujita
M
J. Fujita
M
20
M. Rasmussen
45'
M
M. Rasmussen
45'
M
11
A. Pyrka
45'
M
A. Pyrka
45'
M
24
C. Metcalfe
84'
M
C. Metcalfe
84'
M
9
Abdoulie Ceesay
45'
F
Abdoulie Ceesay
45'
F
7
Y. Niang
67'
F
Y. Niang
67'
F
Bench
25
A. Dźwigała
45'
D
A. Dźwigała
45'
D
10
B. Hrgota
6'
F
B. Hrgota
6'
F
33
D. Mitov
G
D. Mitov
G
19
M. Kaars
45'
F
M. Kaars
45'
F
6
M. Mathisen
D
M. Mathisen
D
26
R. Jones
F
R. Jones
F
22
Samuel Klein
45'
M
Samuel Klein
45'
M
15
T. Ando
D
T. Ando
D
18
T. Hara
23'
F
T. Hara
23'
F
Best on the pitch
C. Metcalfe
M · FC
7.20
3 shots
· 42 pass
D. Nemeth
D · FC
7.18
2 shots
· 116 pass
N. Weißhaupt
M · SV
7.10
3 shots
· 26 pass
M. Rasmussen
M · FC
7.07
· 39 pass
P. Pfeiffer
D · SV
7.01
1 shots
· 34 pass
B. Voll
G · FC
6.96
· 32 pass
SV Darmstadt 98 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Schuhen | G | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Petretta | D | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 31% | 7 | 1 | — |
| Y. Lührs | D | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Pfeiffer | D | 90 | 7.01 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Mikelbrencis | D | 89 | 6.28 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| N. Weißhaupt | M | 90 | 7.10 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Akiyama | M | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Klefisch | M | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 41% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Richter | M | 62 | 6.18 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Smit | F | 85 | 6.27 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Lakenmacher | F | 62 | 6.44 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Lannert | D | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Duijvestijn | M | 5 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Lee Ho-Jae | F | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Verkooijen | M | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
FC St. Pauli — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Voll | G | 90 | 6.96 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Ritzka | D | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 69% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Smith | D | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 99 | 95% | 0 | 1 | — |
| D. Nemeth | D | 90 | 7.18 | — | — | 2 | 116 | 106% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Oppie | M | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Fujita | M | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 2 | 67 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Rasmussen | M | 45 | 7.07 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Pyrka | M | 45 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Metcalfe | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | F | 45 | 6.33 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Y. Niang | F | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Dźwigała | D | 45 | 5.95 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — |
| B. Hrgota | F | 6 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Kaars | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Samuel Klein | M | 45 | 6.36 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Hara | F | 23 | 6.61 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli?
The final score was SV Darmstadt 98 0–0 FC St. Pauli.
What did the model predict before SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli?
The model assigned 28% probability to a SV Darmstadt 98 win, 34% to a draw, and 37% to an FC St. Pauli win.