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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1 August 08, 2026 13:00 Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor, Darmstadt
SV Darmstadt 98
#15 · 4 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Holstein Kiel
#18 · 3 pts
Lee Ho-Jae (ast. K. Klefisch) 76'
A. Vukotic (ast. L. Duijvestijn) 86'
8' (ast. P. Harres) G. Balzi
42' (ast. A. Kapralik) P. Harres
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SV Darmstadt 98 a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Holstein Kiel 32%). The final result was SV Darmstadt 98 2–2 Holstein Kiel. In 2 previous meetings, SV Darmstadt 98 have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Holstein Kiel.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
6
0.71
Actual xG
1.28
4
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
8
Corners
3
17
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
8'
ast. P. Harres · G. Balzi⚽
28'
I. Nekic
Y. Furukawa
35'
42'
ast. A. Kapralik · P. Harres⚽
N. Weisshaupt
45'+1
47'
H. Sekine
↕ F. Lakenmacher / Lee Ho-Jae
60'
↕ N. Weisshaupt / N. Verkooijen
60'
62'
L. Parduzi
↕ Y. Furukawa / M. Merx
68'
⚽Lee Ho-Jae · ast. K. Klefisch
76'
77'
J. Therkelsen / A. Kapralik ↕
77'
F. Alidou / A. Bernhardsson ↕
84'
M. Ivezic / L. Parduzi ↕
↕ C. Lannert / I. El Kadiri
85'
↕ F. Kleinhansl / R. Petretta
85'
⚽A. Vukotic · ast. L. Duijvestijn
86'
90'+2
I. Ugoh / K. Davidsen ↕
Pre-match prediction
34.72%
SV
32.38%
X ←
32.89%
Holstein
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 32.38% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SV
1.43
0.71
-0.72
Holstein
1.74
1.28
-0.46
Holstein Kiel dominated by xG (1.28 vs 0.71). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 5 13
2 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 4 12
3 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 5 9
4 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 4 9
5 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 4 8
6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 5 8
7 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 5 7
8 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 4 6
9 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5 5
10 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4 5
11 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 5 4
12 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 4 4
13 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 5 4
14 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 5 4
15 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 5 4
16 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 5 4
17 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 4 3
18 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 4 3
Lineups
SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 4-2-3-1
1 M. Schuhen M. Schuhen G 7.20
3 F. Kleinhansl F. Kleinhansl 85' D 6.90
20 A. Vukotić A. Vukotić 1 ⚽ D 6.90
6 P. Pfeiffer P. Pfeiffer D 6.60
28 C. Lannert C. Lannert 85' D 6.20
16 H. Akiyama H. Akiyama M 6.30
17 K. Klefisch K. Klefisch 1 👟 M 6.90
44 Y. Furukawa Y. Furukawa 68' M 6.90
41 L. Duijvestijn L. Duijvestijn 1 👟 M 6.30
7 N. Weißhaupt N. Weißhaupt 60' M 6.20
19 Fynn Lakenmacher Fynn Lakenmacher 60' F 6.70
Bench
30 A. Brunst A. Brunst G
23 C. Sickinger C. Sickinger M
11 I. El Kadiri I. El Kadiri 10' F 6.20
9 Lee Ho-Jae Lee Ho-Jae 1 ⚽ 35' F 7.30
22 L. Kehl L. Kehl M
10 N. Verkooijen N. Verkooijen 35' M 6.70
18 R. Petretta R. Petretta 10' D 6.30
49 Y. Lührs Y. Lührs D
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 4-1-4-1
1 T. Weiner T. Weiner G 6.30
40 Leon Parduzi Leon Parduzi 84' D 7.30
26 D. Zec D. Zec D 6.70
13 I. Nekić I. Nekić D 6.20
32 H. Sekine H. Sekine D 6.90
28 J. Meffert J. Meffert M 7.00
20 A. Kaprálik A. Kaprálik 1 👟 76' M 7.00
15 K. Davidsen K. Davidsen M 7.20
8 G. Balzi G. Balzi 1 ⚽ M 8.30
11 A. Bernhardsson A. Bernhardsson 76' M 6.60
19 P. Harres P. Harres 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.20
Bench
17 Faride Alidou Faride Alidou 19' F 6.30
27 Ikem Ugoh Ikem Ugoh 3' M
10 J. Therkelsen J. Therkelsen 19' M 6.20
41 Lio Rothenhagen Lio Rothenhagen G
6 Marko Ivezić Marko Ivezić 11' D 6.20
22 M. Reimers M. Reimers M
Best on the pitch
G. Balzi
G. Balzi
M · Holstein
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 45 pass
Lee Ho-Jae
Lee Ho-Jae
F · SV
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
Leon Parduzi
Leon Parduzi
D · Holstein
7.30
· 40 pass
P. Harres
P. Harres
F · Holstein
7.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 18 pass
K. Davidsen
K. Davidsen
M · Holstein
7.20
· 34 pass
M. Schuhen
M. Schuhen
G · SV
7.20
· 26 pass
SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Schuhen G 95 7.20 — — — 26 23% 1 — —
F. Kleinhansl D 85 6.90 — — — 45 38% 4 — —
A. Vukotić D 95 6.90 1 — 1 66 52% 2 — —
P. Pfeiffer D 95 6.60 — — 2 71 59% — — —
C. Lannert D 85 6.20 — — 2 21 16% 2 — —
H. Akiyama M 95 6.30 — — — 51 45% — — —
K. Klefisch M 95 6.90 — 1 — 63 56% — — —
Y. Furukawa M 68 6.90 — — 1 23 21% 4 1 —
L. Duijvestijn M 95 6.30 — 1 — 34 22% 1 — —
N. Weißhaupt M 60 6.20 — — — 8 6% 1 1 —
Fynn Lakenmacher F 60 6.70 — — 1 13 11% — — —
I. El Kadiri F 10 6.20 — — — 1 — — — —
Lee Ho-Jae F 35 7.30 1 — 1 3 2% — — —
N. Verkooijen M 35 6.70 — — — 4 3% 2 — —
R. Petretta D 10 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Weiner G 95 6.30 — — — 48 40% — — —
Leon Parduzi D 84 7.30 — — — 40 31% — 1 —
D. Zec D 95 6.70 — — — 44 40% 2 — —
I. Nekić D 95 6.20 — — 1 48 42% 2 1 —
H. Sekine D 95 6.90 — — 1 63 55% 2 1 —
J. Meffert M 95 7.00 — — 1 44 44% 1 — —
A. Kaprálik M 76 7.00 — 1 — 20 16% — — —
K. Davidsen M 92 7.20 — — — 34 23% 1 — —
G. Balzi M 95 8.30 1 — 2 45 39% 1 — —
A. Bernhardsson M 76 6.60 — — — 21 18% 1 — —
P. Harres F 95 7.20 1 1 3 18 11% — — —
Faride Alidou F 19 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
Ikem Ugoh M 3 — — — — 3 2% — — —
J. Therkelsen M 19 6.20 — — — — — 1 — —
Marko Ivezić D 11 6.20 — — — 8 6% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SV Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel?
The final score was SV Darmstadt 98 2–2 Holstein Kiel.
What did the model predict before SV Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel?
The model assigned 34% probability to a SV Darmstadt 98 win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Holstein Kiel win.