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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 34 May 17, 2026 15:30 Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg
SV Elversberg
3 – 0
Final score
Preußen Münster
✓Model correct — prediction SV Elversberg
B. Conte (ast. T. Zimmerschied) 11'
D. Mokwa Ntusu (ast. L. Gunther) 15'
D. Mokwa Ntusu (ast. B. Conte) 66'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SV Elversberg a 81% win probability (draw 10%, Preußen Münster 7%). The final result was SV Elversberg 3–0 Preußen Münster. In 1 previous meetings, SV Elversberg have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Preußen Münster.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
2
2.14
Actual xG
0.39
2
Saves
2
64%
Possession
36%
6
Corners
2
15
Tackles
25
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽B. Conte · ast. T. Zimmerschied
11'
⚽D. Mokwa Ntusu · ast. L. Gunther
15'
59'
L. Lokotsch / S. Yamada ↕
M. Rohr
62'
⚽D. Mokwa Ntusu · ast. B. Conte
66'
↕ B. Conte / L. Schnellbacher
72'
↕ D. Mokwa Ntusu / I. Pherai
72'
74'
Z. Sertdemir / M. Meyerhofer ↕
74'
M. Demirhan / J. Mees ↕
79'
Y. Bouchama
↕ L. Gunther / N. Mickelson
79'
87'
O. Vilhelmsson / I. Rondic ↕
87'
L. Bolay / C. Makridis ↕
↕ T. Zimmerschied / F. Schmahl
88'
↕ L. Petkov / R. Adam
88'
Pre-match prediction
81.49%
SV ←
10.65%
X
7.85%
Preußen
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (SV Elversberg) 81.49% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SV
3.24
2.14
-1.11
Preußen
0.80
0.39
-0.41
SV Elversberg dominated by xG (2.14 vs 0.39). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 9 25
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 9 18
3 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 9 18
4 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 9 16
5 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 9 16
6 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 9 15
7 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 10 14
8 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 9 12
9 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 9 11
10 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 10 11
11 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 10 10
12 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 10 10
13 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9 9
14 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 9 8
15 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 9 8
16 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 9 8
17 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 9 8
18 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 9 8
Lineups
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 4-2-3-1
20 N. Kristof N. Kristof G 7.50
21 L. Günther L. Günther 1 👟 79' D 8.20
31 M. Rohr M. Rohr D 7.60
19 L. Pinckert L. Pinckert D 8.20
30 J. Gyamerah J. Gyamerah D 7.90
8 Ł. Poręba Ł. Poręba M 7.20
6 A. Condé A. Condé M 7.30
29 T. Zimmerschied T. Zimmerschied 1 👟 88' M 7.60
10 B. Conté B. Conté 1 ⚽ 1 👟 72' M 9.30
25 L. Petkov L. Petkov 88' M 7.00
42 D. Mokwa D. Mokwa 2 ⚽ 72' F 6.90
Bench
43 F. Keidel F. Keidel D
3 F. Le Joncour F. Le Joncour D
17 F. Schmahl F. Schmahl 2' M
22 I. Pherai I. Pherai 18' M 6.70
24 L. Schnellbacher L. Schnellbacher 18' M 6.30
16 Luca Pfeiffer Luca Pfeiffer F
2 N. Mickelson N. Mickelson 11' D 6.90
15 R. Adam R. Adam 2' F
28 T. Boss T. Boss G
Preußen Münster Preußen Münster 4-3-1-2
1 J. Schenk J. Schenk G 6.30
14 Charalampos Makridis Charalampos Makridis 87' D 6.60
24 Niko Koulis Niko Koulis D 6.30
3 P. Jaeckel P. Jaeckel D 5.90
27 J. ter Horst J. ter Horst D 6.20
5 Yassine Bouchama Yassine Bouchama M 7.20
28 Marco Meyerhöfer Marco Meyerhöfer 74' M 6.90
32 T. Raschl T. Raschl M 6.50
8 Joshua Mees Joshua Mees 74' M 6.00
29 I. Rondić I. Rondić 87' F 6.50
9 Shin Yamada Shin Yamada 59' F 6.20
Bench
13 Lars Lokotsch Lars Lokotsch 31' F 6.50
25 Luca Bolay Luca Bolay 3' D
45 Michel Scharlau Michel Scharlau D
46 Mikail Demirhan Mikail Demirhan 16' M 6.50
26 Morten Behrens Morten Behrens G
36 Niklas Varelmann Niklas Varelmann D
17 O. Batista Meier O. Batista Meier M
11 Oscar Vilhelmsson Oscar Vilhelmsson 3' F
7 Z. Sertdemir Z. Sertdemir 16' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
B. Conté
B. Conté
M · SV
9.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 25 pass
L. Günther
L. Günther
D · SV
8.20
1 👟
· 33 pass
L. Pinckert
L. Pinckert
D · SV
8.20
1 shots · 75 pass
J. Gyamerah
J. Gyamerah
D · SV
7.90
· 66 pass
M. Rohr
M. Rohr
D · SV
7.60
1 shots · 70 pass
T. Zimmerschied
T. Zimmerschied
M · SV
7.60
1 👟
· 28 pass
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Kristof G 90 7.50 — — — 53 47% — — —
L. Günther D 79 8.20 — 1 — 33 26% 1 — —
M. Rohr D 90 7.60 — — 1 70 62% 1 1 —
L. Pinckert D 90 8.20 — — 1 75 70% 2 — —
J. Gyamerah D 90 7.90 — — — 66 57% 2 — —
Ł. Poręba M 90 7.20 — — — 42 37% — — —
A. Condé M 90 7.30 — — — 37 32% 2 — —
T. Zimmerschied M 88 7.60 — 1 — 28 22% — — —
B. Conté M 72 9.30 1 1 1 25 20% 4 — —
L. Petkov M 88 7.00 — — 1 31 26% 1 — —
D. Mokwa F 72 6.90 2 — 5 10 8% — — —
F. Schmahl M 2 — — — — 3 2% — — —
I. Pherai M 18 6.70 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
L. Schnellbacher M 18 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
N. Mickelson D 11 6.90 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
R. Adam F 2 — — — — — — — — —
Preußen Münster Preußen Münster — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Schenk G 90 6.30 — — — 37 24% — — —
Charalampos Makridis D 87 6.60 — — — 23 17% 5 — —
Niko Koulis D 90 6.30 — — — 39 34% 1 — —
P. Jaeckel D 90 5.90 — — — 33 28% — — —
J. ter Horst D 90 6.20 — — — 19 12% 3 — —
Yassine Bouchama M 90 7.20 — — — 37 33% 6 1 —
Marco Meyerhöfer M 74 6.90 — — — 18 13% 4 — —
T. Raschl M 90 6.50 — — 1 15 11% 3 — —
Joshua Mees M 74 6.00 — — 1 14 9% — — —
I. Rondić F 87 6.50 — — — 17 11% 2 — —
Shin Yamada F 59 6.20 — — — 4 3% — — —
Lars Lokotsch F 31 6.50 — — 1 4 3% — — —
Luca Bolay D 3 — — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Mikail Demirhan M 16 6.50 — — 1 1 1% — — —
Oscar Vilhelmsson F 3 — — — — — — — — —
Z. Sertdemir M 16 6.70 — — — 8 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SV Elversberg vs Preußen Münster?
The final score was SV Elversberg 3–0 Preußen Münster.
What did the model predict before SV Elversberg vs Preußen Münster?
The model assigned 81% probability to a SV Elversberg win, 10% to a draw, and 7% to an Preußen Münster win.