Svay Rieng - Machida Zelvia
AFC Champions League Two
November 26, 2026 13:15
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.17%
Win
Svay Rieng
34.41%
Draw
35.42%
Win
Machida Zelvia
0.3
0.95
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(15.78%)
1X2 Result
1
30%
X
34%
2
35%
Double Chance
1X
65%
X2
70%
12
66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
50%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Machida Zelvia a 35% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Svay Rieng. Expected goals are 0.3 for Svay Rieng and 1.0 for Machida Zelvia (total 1.3), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 15.78% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Svay Rieng have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Machida Zelvia.
Season Stats
0W
1D
1L
2W
0D
0L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
1.5
1.0
Conceded
0.0
5.0
Shots OT
7.0
5.0
Corners
6.0
59%
Poss.
73%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
50%
0%
O 2.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in AFC Champions League Two. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Svay Rieng
Machida Zelvia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 28.6% | 27.2% | 13.0% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Svay Rieng
Attack
17
Defence
72
Form
40
Machida Zelvia
Attack
54
Defence
74
Form
71
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
17 Sep 2026
0–2
Group G
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Machida Zelvia
|
2 | 6 |
| 2 |
Shanghai Shenhua
|
2 | 4 |
| 3 |
Svay Rieng
|
2 | 1 |
| 4 |
Tampines Rovers
|
2 | 0 |
What's at stake · Group G
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #1 |
| → Svay Rieng | #3 | #1 |
| → Draw | #3 | #1 |
| → Machida Zelvia | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Svay Rieng vs Machida Zelvia?
The model gives Svay Rieng a 30% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 35% for an Machida Zelvia win.
How many goals are expected in Svay Rieng vs Machida Zelvia?
Expected goals: Svay Rieng 0.3, Machida Zelvia 1.0 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Svay Rieng vs Machida Zelvia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.78%.