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Swansea University - Treowen Stars

FAW Championship November 13, 2026 20:30
Swansea University
#3 · 24 pts
vs
Treowen Stars
#9 · 17 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
62.29%
Win
Swansea University
18.91%
Draw
18.8%
Win
Treowen Stars
4.36
Expected xG
1.54
Most likely outcome
Swansea University
62.29%
Probability
65.4%
1X2 accuracy · 26 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–1 (7.29%)
1X2 Result
1 62%
X 19%
2 19%
Double Chance
1X 81%
X2 38%
12 81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 62%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Swansea University a 62% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 18% for Treowen Stars. Expected goals are 4.4 for Swansea University and 1.5 for Treowen Stars (total 5.9), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 7.29% probability.

Season Stats

Swansea University
7W 3D 1L
Treowen Stars
6W 2D 7L
Averages per game
3.1
Goals
1.8
1.4
Conceded
2.3
Percentages
91%
O 1.5
93%
82%
O 2.5
80%
45%
BTTS
73%
55%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in FAW Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
60%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Swansea University
4W 1D 0L · at home
Treowen Stars
5W 1D 4L · away
3.2
gls/g
1.7
1.0
Conceded
2.5
80%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
60%
100%
O 1.5
90%
80%
O 2.5
80%
60%
O 3.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
60%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Swansea University Treowen Stars →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —
1 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.6% 4.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 3.8% 5.8% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.1% 6.4% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
5 3.6% 5.5% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%

Recent form

Swansea University Swansea University
W Cardiff Draconians 2–0
L Ynyshir Albions 4–2
D Afan Lido 5–5
W Caerphilly Athletic 3–1
D Aberystwyth Town 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 42%
Treowen Stars Treowen Stars
D Newport City 2–2
W Baglan Dragons 0–1
L Trethomas Bluebirds 1–3
L Ynyshir Albions 1–2
L Pontardawe Town 6–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Swansea University Swansea University
Attack
73
Defence
53
Form
66
Treowen Stars Treowen Stars
Attack
38
Defence
54
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

South

# Team G Pts
1 Pontypridd Town Pontypridd Town 13 27
2 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 11 25
3 Swansea University Swansea University 11 24
4 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 13 22
5 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 13 20
6 Ynyshir Albions Ynyshir Albions 11 19
7 Afan Lido Afan Lido 14 18
8 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 13 17
9 Treowen Stars Treowen Stars 12 17
10 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 13 15
11 Pontardawe Town Pontardawe Town 11 14
12 Caerphilly Athletic Caerphilly Athletic 13 14
13 Newport City Newport City 11 13
14 Cardiff Draconians Cardiff Draconians 11 12
15 Llantwit Major Llantwit Major 12 12
16 llanelli AFC llanelli AFC 14 3

What's at stake · South

Top 2 advance to the next round

Swansea University Treowen Stars
Current #3 #9
→ Swansea University #1 #9
→ Draw #2 #7
→ Treowen Stars #3 #6

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Swansea University vs Treowen Stars?
The model gives Swansea University a 62% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 18% for an Treowen Stars win.
How many goals are expected in Swansea University vs Treowen Stars?
Expected goals: Swansea University 4.4, Treowen Stars 1.5 (total 5.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Swansea University vs Treowen Stars?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.29%.