EFL Cup
· Round of 128
August 08, 2026 16:00
44'
(ast. C. Vicente)
A. Priske
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Birmingham a 40% win probability (draw 29%, Swansea 30%). The final result was Swansea 0–1 Birmingham. In 2 previous meetings, Swansea have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Birmingham.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
2
61%
Possession
39%
6
Corners
4
21
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
M. Widell
21'
44'
ast. C. Vicente ·
A. Priske⚽
46'
L. Buchanan
/
A. Cochrane
C. Burgess
62'
M. K. Yeo
/ L. Walta
63'
A. Idah
/ Z. Vipotnik
63'
M. Widell
/ J. Fulton
63'
F. Lissah
/ J. Key
65'
65'
D. Gray
/
Paik Seung-Ho
72'
E. Laird
/
J. Stansfield
72'
L. Vazquez
/
A. Priske
M. Stamenic
/ Eom Ji-Sung
82'
Pre-match prediction
30.88%
Swansea
29.05%
X
40.07%
Birmingham ←
we assigned to the actual result (Birmingham)
40.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.14
—
—
1.96
—
—
Lineups
22
L. Vigouroux
G
L. Vigouroux
G
14
J. Tymon
D
J. Tymon
D
15
Cameron Burgess
D
Cameron Burgess
D
5
B. Cabango
D
B. Cabango
D
26
F. Lissah
65'
D
F. Lissah
65'
D
8
E. Just
M
E. Just
M
6
M. Stamenić
82'
M
M. Stamenić
82'
M
7
M. Widell
63'
M
M. Widell
63'
M
30
Joseph Opoku
F
Joseph Opoku
F
33
A. Idah
63'
F
A. Idah
63'
F
49
M. Yeo
63'
F
M. Yeo
63'
F
Bench
1
A. Fisher
G
A. Fisher
G
10
Eom Ji-Sung
8'
F
Eom Ji-Sung
8'
F
4
J. Fulton
27'
M
J. Fulton
27'
M
2
J. Key
25'
D
J. Key
25'
D
21
Leo Walta
27'
M
Leo Walta
27'
M
35
Ronald
F
Ronald
F
23
S. Welsh
D
S. Welsh
D
20
Tiago Parente
D
Tiago Parente
D
9
Z. Vipotnik
27'
F
Z. Vipotnik
27'
F
1
J. Beadle
G
J. Beadle
G
20
A. Cochrane
45'
D
A. Cochrane
45'
D
4
C. Klarer
D
C. Klarer
D
5
P. Neumann
D
P. Neumann
D
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
D
B. Osayi-Samuel
D
28
J. Stansfield
72'
M
J. Stansfield
72'
M
14
J. Solis
M
J. Solis
M
24
T. Iwata
M
T. Iwata
M
7
Carlos Vicente
1 👟
M
Carlos Vicente
1 👟
M
9
A. Priske
1 ⚽
72'
F
A. Priske
1 ⚽
72'
F
8
Paik Seung-Ho
65'
F
Paik Seung-Ho
65'
F
Bench
23
D. Fry
D
D. Fry
D
10
D. Gray
25'
F
D. Gray
25'
F
2
E. Laird
18'
D
E. Laird
18'
D
25
K. Lund
D
K. Lund
D
3
L. Buchanan
45'
D
L. Buchanan
45'
D
32
L. Vázquez
18'
F
L. Vázquez
18'
F
16
P. Roberts
M
P. Roberts
M
21
R. Allsop
G
R. Allsop
G
11
Scott Wright
F
Scott Wright
F
Best on the pitch
J. Tymon
D · Swansea
7.30
· 42 pass
Cameron Burgess
D · Swansea
7.30
1 shots
· 60 pass
Carlos Vicente
M · Birmingham
7.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 23 pass
B. Osayi-Samuel
D · Birmingham
7.20
· 26 pass
M. Yeo
F · Swansea
7.20
1 shots
· 17 pass
E. Just
M · Swansea
7.00
2 shots
· 43 pass
Swansea — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Vigouroux | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 23% | — | — | — |
| J. Tymon | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Cameron Burgess | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 50% | 3 | 1 | — |
| B. Cabango | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Lissah | D | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Just | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Stamenić | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Widell | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Joseph Opoku | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Idah | F | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. Yeo | F | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Eom Ji-Sung | F | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Fulton | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Key | D | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Leo Walta | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Z. Vipotnik | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Birmingham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Beadle | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Cochrane | D | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Klarer | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | — | — | — |
| P. Neumann | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Osayi-Samuel | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Stansfield | M | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Solis | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Iwata | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Vicente | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Priske | F | 72 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Paik Seung-Ho | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Gray | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| E. Laird | D | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Buchanan | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Vázquez | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Swansea vs Birmingham?
The final score was Swansea 0–1 Birmingham.
What did the model predict before Swansea vs Birmingham?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Swansea win, 29% to a draw, and 40% to an Birmingham win.