Swansea - Birmingham
EFL Cup
August 08, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.62%
Win
Swansea
30.81%
Draw
38.57%
Win
Birmingham
0.79
1.54
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.79%)
1X2 Result
1
31%
X
31%
2
39%
Double Chance
1X
61%
X2
69%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
60%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Birmingham a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Swansea. Expected goals are 0.8 for Swansea and 1.5 for Birmingham (total 2.3), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.79% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Swansea have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Birmingham.
Season Stats
2W
1D
1L
1W
0D
1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.0
1.8
Conceded
1.0
4.3
Shots OT
2.5
4.3
Corners
7.5
49%
Poss.
62%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
75%
O 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Swansea
Birmingham →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.8% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Swansea
Attack
33
Defence
57
Form
51
Birmingham
Attack
51
Defence
81
Form
73
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Swansea vs Birmingham?
The model gives Swansea a 30% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 38% for an Birmingham win.
How many goals are expected in Swansea vs Birmingham?
Expected goals: Swansea 0.8, Birmingham 1.5 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Swansea vs Birmingham?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.79%.