Championship · Regular Season - 39 March 21, 2026 18:15

Swansea

#5 · 26 pts

0 – 3

Final score

Coventry

✓Model correct — prediction Coventry

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coventry a 55% win probability (draw 20%, Swansea 23%). The final result was Swansea 0–3 Coventry. In 1 previous meetings, Swansea have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Coventry.

Match statistics

2

Shots on target

7

1.72

Actual xG

2.26

54%

Possession

46%

2

Corners

7

Pre-match prediction

23.36%

Swansea

20.83%

X

55.81%

Coventry ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Coventry) 55.81% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Swansea

0.82

1.72

+0.9

Coventry

2.07

2.26

+0.19

Coventry dominated by xG (2.26 vs 1.72). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	14	28
2	Wolves	14	27
3	Birmingham	14	26
4	Stoke City	14	26
5	Swansea	14	26
6	West Brom	14	25
7	Southampton	14	24
8	West Ham	14	23
9	Sheffield Utd	14	22
10	Portsmouth	14	22
11	QPR	14	21
12	Norwich	14	18
13	Millwall	14	18
14	Blackburn	14	18
15	Bristol City	14	18
16	Wrexham	14	17
17	Bolton	15	17
18	Cardiff	14	15
19	Lincoln	14	15
20	Watford	14	14
21	Charlton	14	14
22	Burnley	14	10
23	Derby	15	10
24	Preston	14	5