Championship · Regular Season - 39 March 21, 2026 18:15

Swansea

#4 · 11 pts

0 – 3

Final score

Coventry

✓Model correct — prediction Coventry

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coventry a 55% win probability (draw 20%, Swansea 23%). The final result was Swansea 0–3 Coventry. In 1 previous meetings, Swansea have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Coventry.

Match statistics

2

Shots on target

7

1.72

Actual xG

2.26

54%

Possession

46%

2

Corners

7

Pre-match prediction

23.36%

Swansea

20.83%

X

55.81%

Coventry ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Coventry) 55.81% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Swansea

0.82

1.72

+0.9

Coventry

2.07

2.26

+0.19

Coventry dominated by xG (2.26 vs 1.72). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	West Ham	7	14
2	West Brom	7	14
3	QPR	7	12
4	Swansea	6	11
5	Charlton	6	11
6	Middlesbrough	5	10
7	Bristol City	5	10
8	Birmingham	7	10
9	Millwall	5	9
10	Norwich	6	9
11	Sheffield Utd	6	9
12	Wolves	5	8
13	Watford	6	8
14	Southampton	6	7
15	Stoke City	6	7
16	Wrexham	7	7
17	Bolton	7	7
18	Portsmouth	5	6
19	Blackburn	6	5
20	Lincoln	5	5
21	Cardiff	7	4
22	Derby	7	4
23	Burnley	6	3
24	Preston	6	3