Championship
· Regular Season - 41
April 06, 2026 18:30
Z. Vipotnik
20'
(pen.)
Z. Vipotnik
45'+4
(pen.)
12'
(ast. T. Conway)
A. Bangura
(pen.)
75'
T. Conway
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Middlesbrough a 44% win probability (draw 24%, Swansea 30%). The final result was Swansea 2–2 Middlesbrough. In 1 previous meetings, Swansea have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Middlesbrough.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
6
2.16
Actual xG
3.13
4
Saves
1
35%
Possession
65%
2
Corners
10
17
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
12'
ast. T. Conway ·
A. Bangura⚽
⚽Z. Vipotnik
(pen.)
20'
34'
F. Munroe
/
A. Bangura
⚽Z. Vipotnik
(pen.)
45'+4
45'+5
R. McGree
G. Franco
51'
G. Franco
/ M. Stamenic
56'
M. Widell
/ Ronald
56'
Z. Vipotnik
/ A. Idah
56'
62'
A. Browne
J. Eom
65'
66'
D. Fry
/
J. Sarmiento
66'
M. K. Sene
/
R. McGree
66'
S. Hansen
/
D. Strelec
S. Parker
/ J. Ward
72'
75'
(pen.)
T. Conway⚽
J. Fulton
/ M. Yalcouye
81'
81'
A. Gilbert
/
F. Munroe
M. Yalcouye
90'+5
90'
T. Conway
Pre-match prediction
30.44%
Swansea
24.6%
X ←
44.96%
Middlesbrough
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.6%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.90
2.16
+1.26
1.74
3.13
+1.38
Middlesbrough dominated by xG (3.13 vs 2.16).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Lawrence Vigouroux
G
Lawrence Vigouroux
G
14
J. Tymon
D
J. Tymon
D
15
D
5
B. Cabango
D
41
S. Parker
72'
D
10
Ji-sung Eom
M
Ji-sung Eom
M
7
M. Widell
56'
M
4
J. Fulton
81'
M
17
G. Franco
56'
M
20
L. Cullen
M
9
Z. Vipotnik
2 ⚽
56'
F
Z. Vipotnik
2 ⚽
56'
F
Bench
33
Adam Idah
40'
F
Adam Idah
40'
F
25
J. Ward
24'
D
21
Leo Walta
M
Leo Walta
M
8
Malick Yalcouyé
15'
M
6
M. Stamenić
40'
M
M. Stamenić
40'
M
35
Ronald
40'
F
31
G
24
A. Bangura
1 ⚽
34'
D
29
Adilson Malanda
D
Adilson Malanda
D
12
Luke Ayling
D
Luke Ayling
D
2
Callum Brittain
D
Callum Brittain
D
18
Aidan Morris
M
Aidan Morris
M
16
Alan Browne
M
Alan Browne
M
45
Jeremy Sarmiento
66'
M
Jeremy Sarmiento
66'
M
8
Riley McGree
66'
M
Riley McGree
66'
M
9
T. Conway
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
T. Conway
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
13
David Strelec
66'
F
Bench
14
Alexander Gilbert
15'
F
Alexander Gilbert
15'
F
6
Dael Fry
30'
D
Dael Fry
30'
D
15
Finley Munroe
47'
D
Finley Munroe
47'
D
27
S. Hansen
30'
F
S. Hansen
30'
F
Best on the pitch
Lawrence Vigouroux
G · Swansea
7.90
· 32 pass
Aidan Morris
M · Middlesbrough
7.90
1 shots
· 83 pass
B. Cabango
D · Swansea
7.90
1 shots
· 44 pass
Luke Ayling
D · Middlesbrough
7.90
2 shots
· 84 pass
Z. Vipotnik
F · Swansea
7.50
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 12 pass
L. Cullen
M · Swansea
7.50
1 shots
· 15 pass
Swansea — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawrence Vigouroux | G | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Tymon | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | 1 | — | — | |
| B. Cabango | D | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Parker | D | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| Ji-sung Eom | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Widell | M | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Fulton | M | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| G. Franco | M | 56 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Cullen | M | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Z. Vipotnik | F | 56 | 7.50 | 2 | — | 4 | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Adam Idah | F | 40 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Ward | D | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Malick Yalcouyé | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Stamenić | M | 40 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ronald | F | 40 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Middlesbrough — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| A. Bangura | D | 34 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Adilson Malanda | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 77 | 69% | 1 | — | — |
| Luke Ayling | D | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 84 | 73% | 2 | — | — |
| Callum Brittain | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| Aidan Morris | M | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 83 | 76% | 3 | — | — |
| Alan Browne | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 74 | 62% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jeremy Sarmiento | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Riley McGree | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Conway | F | 96 | 7.30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| David Strelec | F | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Alexander Gilbert | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Dael Fry | D | 30 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Finley Munroe | D | 47 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Hansen | F | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Swansea vs Middlesbrough?
The final score was Swansea 2–2 Middlesbrough.
What did the model predict before Swansea vs Middlesbrough?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Swansea win, 24% to a draw, and 44% to an Middlesbrough win.