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Championship · Regular Season - 41 April 06, 2026 18:30
Swansea
#11 · 64 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Middlesbrough
#5 · 80 pts
Z. Vipotnik 20' (pen.)
Z. Vipotnik 45'+4 (pen.)
12' (ast. T. Conway) A. Bangura
(pen.) 75' T. Conway

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Middlesbrough a 44% win probability (draw 24%, Swansea 30%). The final result was Swansea 2–2 Middlesbrough. In 1 previous meetings, Swansea have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Middlesbrough.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
6
2.16
Actual xG
3.13
4
Saves
1
35%
Possession
65%
2
Corners
10
17
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
12'
ast. T. Conway · A. Bangura⚽
⚽Z. Vipotnik (pen.)
20'
34'
F. Munroe / A. Bangura ↕
⚽Z. Vipotnik (pen.)
45'+4
45'+5
R. McGree
G. Franco
51'
↕ G. Franco / M. Stamenic
56'
↕ M. Widell / Ronald
56'
↕ Z. Vipotnik / A. Idah
56'
62'
A. Browne
J. Eom
65'
66'
D. Fry / J. Sarmiento ↕
66'
M. K. Sene / R. McGree ↕
66'
S. Hansen / D. Strelec ↕
↕ S. Parker / J. Ward
72'
75'
(pen.) T. Conway⚽
↕ J. Fulton / M. Yalcouye
81'
81'
A. Gilbert / F. Munroe ↕
M. Yalcouye
90'+5
90'
T. Conway
Pre-match prediction
30.44%
Swansea
24.6%
X ←
44.96%
Middlesbrough
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.6% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Swansea
0.90
2.16
+1.26
Middlesbrough
1.74
3.13
+1.38
Middlesbrough dominated by xG (3.13 vs 2.16). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Swansea Swansea 4-5-1
22
L. Vigouroux G 7.90
14 J. Tymon J. Tymon D 6.30
15
D 7.00
5
B. Cabango D 7.90
41
S. Parker 72' D 6.90
10
J. Eom M 6.60
7
M. Widell 56' M 6.20
4
J. Fulton 81' M 6.30
17
G. Franco 56' M 6.50
20
L. Cullen M 7.50
9 Z. Vipotnik Z. Vipotnik 2 ⚽ 56' F 7.50
Bench
33
A. Idah 40' F 6.30
25
J. Ward 24' D 6.20
21
L. Walta M
8
Malick Yalcouyé 15' M 6.70
6 M. Stamenić M. Stamenić 40' M 6.50
35
Ronald 40' F 7.20
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 4-2-2-2
31
G 6.00
24
A. Bangura 1 ⚽ 34' D 6.90
29 Adilson Malanda Adilson Malanda D 6.90
12 Luke Ayling Luke Ayling D 7.90
2 Callum Brittain Callum Brittain D 7.30
18 Aidan Morris Aidan Morris M 7.90
16 Alan Browne Alan Browne M 6.30
45 Jeremy Sarmiento Jeremy Sarmiento 66' M 6.30
8 Riley McGree Riley McGree 66' M 6.70
9 T. Conway T. Conway 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.30
13 David Strelec David Strelec 66' F 6.70
Bench
14 Alexander Gilbert Alexander Gilbert 15' F 6.70
6 Dael Fry Dael Fry 30' D 7.20
15 Finley Munroe Finley Munroe 47' D 6.90
27 Sontje Hansen Sontje Hansen 30' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
L. Vigouroux
G · Swansea
7.90
· 32 pass
Aidan Morris
Aidan Morris
M · Middlesbrough
7.90
1 shots · 83 pass
B. Cabango
D · Swansea
7.90
1 shots · 44 pass
Luke Ayling
Luke Ayling
D · Middlesbrough
7.90
2 shots · 84 pass
Z. Vipotnik
Z. Vipotnik
F · Swansea
7.50
2 ⚽
4 shots · 12 pass
L. Cullen
M · Swansea
7.50
1 shots · 15 pass
Swansea Swansea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Vigouroux G 96 7.90 — — — 32 12% — — —
J. Tymon D 96 6.30 — — — 19 17% — — —
D 96 7.00 — — — 25 18% 1 — —
B. Cabango D 96 7.90 — — 1 44 41% 4 — —
S. Parker D 72 6.90 — — — 30 26% 4 — —
J. Eom M 96 6.60 — — — 20 15% 2 1 —
M. Widell M 56 6.20 — — 1 19 18% — — —
J. Fulton M 81 6.30 — — — 28 24% — — —
G. Franco M 56 6.50 — — — 24 19% 2 1 —
L. Cullen M 96 7.50 — — 1 15 11% 2 — —
Z. Vipotnik F 56 7.50 2 — 4 12 6% — — —
A. Idah F 40 6.30 — — — 8 4% — — —
J. Ward D 24 6.20 — — — 3 2% — — —
Malick Yalcouyé M 15 6.70 — — — 4 2% — — —
M. Stamenić M 40 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
Ronald F 40 7.20 — — 1 6 5% 2 — —
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.00 — — — 13 9% — — —
A. Bangura D 34 6.90 1 — 1 19 17% 1 — —
Adilson Malanda D 96 6.90 — — — 77 69% 1 — —
Luke Ayling D 96 7.90 — — 2 84 73% 2 — —
Callum Brittain D 96 7.30 — — — 61 53% 3 — —
Aidan Morris M 96 7.90 — — 1 83 76% 3 — —
Alan Browne M 96 6.30 — — — 74 62% 1 1 —
Jeremy Sarmiento M 66 6.30 — — 1 20 16% 2 — —
Riley McGree M 66 6.70 — — — 21 19% 1 1 —
T. Conway F 96 7.30 1 1 2 27 21% 1 1 —
David Strelec F 66 6.70 — — 1 5 5% — — —
Alexander Gilbert F 15 6.70 — — 1 5 5% — — —
Dael Fry D 30 7.20 — — — 23 20% — — —
Finley Munroe D 47 6.90 — — 2 33 27% 1 — —
Sontje Hansen F 30 6.70 — — 1 14 11% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Swansea vs Middlesbrough?
The final score was Swansea 2–2 Middlesbrough.
What did the model predict before Swansea vs Middlesbrough?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Swansea win, 24% to a draw, and 44% to an Middlesbrough win.