Championship
· Regular Season - 43
April 18, 2026 16:00
✓Model correct — prediction Southampton
M. Stamenic
(ast. Z. Vipotnik)
20'
57'
(ast. L. Scienza)
S. Charles
90'
(ast. C. Jander)
C. Archer
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 54% win probability (draw 21%, Swansea 23%). The final result was Swansea 1–2 Southampton. In 1 previous meetings, Swansea have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Southampton.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
1.08
Actual xG
0.92
3
Saves
2
44%
Possession
56%
4
Corners
12
12
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
F. Azaz
⚽M. Stamenic
· ast. Z. Vipotnik
20'
G. Franco
23'
25'
F. Downes
M. Widell
25'
46'
S. Charles
/
F. Downes
57'
ast. L. Scienza ·
S. Charles⚽
S. Parker
/ J. Ward
60'
M. Widell
/ M. Yalcouye
60'
L. Cullen
/ Gustavo Nunes
60'
Z. Vipotnik
/ A. Idah
68'
68'
C. Larin
/
R. Stewart
M. Stamenic
/ J. Fulton
73'
88'
C. Archer
/
J. Bree
90'+1
S. Edozie
/
L. Scienza
90'+1
C. Archer
90'+2
J. Stephens
/
K. Matsuki
90'
ast. C. Jander ·
C. Archer⚽
Pre-match prediction
23.36%
Swansea
21.85%
X
54.78%
Southampton ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Southampton)
54.78%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
1.08
+0.02
2.05
0.92
-1.13
xG dominance was balanced (1.08 – 0.92).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Lawrence Vigouroux
G
Lawrence Vigouroux
G
14
J. Tymon
D
J. Tymon
D
15
D
5
B. Cabango
D
41
S. Parker
60'
D
6
M. Stamenić
1 ⚽
73'
M
M. Stamenić
1 ⚽
73'
M
17
G. Franco
M
10
Ji-sung Eom
M
Ji-sung Eom
M
7
M. Widell
60'
M
20
L. Cullen
60'
M
9
Z. Vipotnik
1 👟
68'
F
Z. Vipotnik
1 👟
68'
F
Bench
33
Adam Idah
30'
F
Adam Idah
30'
F
4
J. Fulton
25'
M
25
J. Ward
38'
D
21
Leo Walta
M
Leo Walta
M
8
Malick Yalcouyé
38'
M
35
Ronald
F
41
G
3
R. Manning
D
R. Manning
D
15
D
6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D
14
James Bree
88'
D
James Bree
88'
D
20
Caspar Jander
1 👟
M
Caspar Jander
1 👟
M
4
F. Downes
45'
M
F. Downes
45'
M
13
Léo Scienza
1 👟
M
Léo Scienza
1 👟
M
10
F. Azaz
M
F. Azaz
M
27
K. Matsuki
M
K. Matsuki
M
11
Ross Stewart
68'
F
Ross Stewart
68'
F
Bench
19
Cameron Archer
1 ⚽
10'
F
Cameron Archer
1 ⚽
10'
F
48
Cameron Bragg
M
Cameron Bragg
M
9
C. Larin
30'
F
C. Larin
30'
F
5
Jack Stephens
6'
D
Jack Stephens
6'
D
23
Samuel Edozie
7'
M
Samuel Edozie
7'
M
24
Shea Charles
1 ⚽
53'
M
Shea Charles
1 ⚽
53'
M
18
T. Fellows
M
T. Fellows
M
34
Welington
D
Welington
D
Best on the pitch
Shea Charles
M · Southampton
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
Cameron Archer
F · Southampton
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Z. Vipotnik
F · Swansea
7.50
1 👟
· 7 pass
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D · Southampton
7.30
· 67 pass
Caspar Jander
M · Southampton
7.00
1 👟
· 63 pass
R. Manning
D · Southampton
7.00
· 81 pass
Swansea — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawrence Vigouroux | G | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 25% | — | — | — |
| J. Tymon | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 68 | 52% | 1 | — | — | |
| B. Cabango | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 51 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Parker | D | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Stamenić | M | 73 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 43 | 35% | — | — | — |
| G. Franco | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ji-sung Eom | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Widell | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Cullen | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Z. Vipotnik | F | 68 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Adam Idah | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Fulton | M | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Ward | D | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Malick Yalcouyé | M | 38 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
Southampton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| R. Manning | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 81 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 63 | 57% | — | — | — | |
| Taylor Harwood-Bellis | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 67 | 64% | 4 | — | — |
| James Bree | D | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Caspar Jander | M | 98 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 63 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Downes | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Léo Scienza | M | 91 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| F. Azaz | M | 98 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Matsuki | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Ross Stewart | F | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Cameron Archer | F | 10 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| C. Larin | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jack Stephens | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Edozie | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Shea Charles | M | 53 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Swansea vs Southampton?
The final score was Swansea 1–2 Southampton.
What did the model predict before Swansea vs Southampton?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Swansea win, 21% to a draw, and 54% to an Southampton win.