Y. Ayari
7'
A. Isak
(ast. V. Gyokeres)
30'
V. Gyokeres
(ast. A. Isak)
59'
M. Svanberg
(ast. A. Isak)
84'
Y. Ayari
(ast. L. Bergvall)
90'+6
43'
(ast. H. Mejbri)
O. Rekik
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sweden a 45% win probability (draw 29%, Tunisia 24%). The final result was Sweden 5–1 Tunisia.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
2
1.26
Actual xG
0.20
1
Saves
1
49%
Possession
51%
4
Corners
2
14
Tackles
21
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Y. Ayari
7'
⚽A. Isak
· ast. V. Gyokeres
30'
43'
ast. H. Mejbri ·
O. Rekik⚽
54'
R. Khedira
⚽V. Gyokeres
· ast. A. Isak
59'
G. Gudmundsson
/ E. Stroud
65'
B. Nygren
/ L. Bergvall
65'
72'
S. Tounekti
/
E. Saad
72'
M. Belhadj
/
Y. Valery
72'
E. Achouri
/
E. Skhiri
83'
I. Gharbi
/
R. Khedira
84'
F. Chaouat
/
A. Slimane
J. Karlstrom
/ M. Svanberg
84'
⚽M. Svanberg
· ast. A. Isak
84'
A. Isak
/ A. Elanga
90'+1
A. Bernhardsson
/ D. Svensson
90'+1
⚽Y. Ayari
· ast. L. Bergvall
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
45.62%
Sweden ←
29.91%
X
24.46%
Tunisia
we assigned to the actual result (Sweden)
45.62%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.60
1.26
-0.34
0.74
0.20
-0.53
Sweden dominated by xG (1.26 vs 0.20).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
K. Nordfeldt
G
K. Nordfeldt
G
3
V. Lindelöf
D
V. Lindelöf
D
4
I. Hien
D
I. Hien
D
2
G. Lagerbielke
D
G. Lagerbielke
D
16
J. Karlström
84'
M
J. Karlström
84'
M
5
G. Gudmundsson
65'
M
G. Gudmundsson
65'
M
18
Y. Ayari
2 ⚽
M
Y. Ayari
2 ⚽
M
10
B. Nygren
65'
M
B. Nygren
65'
M
21
A. Bernhardsson
M
A. Bernhardsson
M
9
A. Isak
1 ⚽
2 👟
F
A. Isak
1 ⚽
2 👟
F
17
V. Gyökeres
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
V. Gyökeres
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
11
A. Elanga
5'
F
A. Elanga
5'
F
22
B. Zeneli
M
B. Zeneli
M
15
C. Starfelt
D
C. Starfelt
D
8
D. Svensson
5'
D
D. Svensson
5'
D
20
E. Smith
D
E. Smith
D
24
E. Stroud
31'
M
E. Stroud
31'
M
25
G. Nilsson
F
G. Nilsson
F
14
H. Ekdal
D
H. Ekdal
D
6
H. Johansson
M
H. Johansson
M
1
J. Widell Zetterström
G
J. Widell Zetterström
G
13
K. Sema
M
K. Sema
M
7
L. Bergvall
1 👟
31'
M
L. Bergvall
1 👟
31'
M
19
M. Svanberg
1 ⚽
12'
M
M. Svanberg
1 ⚽
12'
M
26
T. Ali
M
T. Ali
M
12
V. Johansson
G
V. Johansson
G
1
C. Abdelmouhib
G
C. Abdelmouhib
G
2
A. Abdi
D
A. Abdi
D
21
A. Ben Hmida
D
A. Ben Hmida
D
3
M. Talbi
D
M. Talbi
D
4
O. Rekik
1 ⚽
D
O. Rekik
1 ⚽
D
20
Y. Valery
72'
D
Y. Valery
72'
D
10
H. Mejbri
1 👟
M
H. Mejbri
1 👟
M
17
E. Skhiri
72'
M
E. Skhiri
72'
M
13
R. Khedira
83'
M
R. Khedira
83'
M
25
A. Ben Slimane
84'
F
A. Ben Slimane
84'
F
8
E. Saad
72'
F
E. Saad
72'
F
Bench
5
A. Arous
D
A. Arous
D
16
A. Dahmen
G
A. Dahmen
G
6
D. Bronn
D
D. Bronn
D
7
E. Achouri
24'
M
E. Achouri
24'
M
19
F. Chaouat
12'
F
F. Chaouat
12'
F
15
H. Mahmoud
24'
M
H. Mahmoud
24'
M
9
H. Mastouri
F
H. Mastouri
F
11
Ismaël Gharbi
13'
F
Ismaël Gharbi
13'
F
14
K. Ayari
F
K. Ayari
F
12
M. Ben Ouanes
M
M. Ben Ouanes
M
23
Moataz Nefati
D
Moataz Nefati
D
24
R. Chikhaoui
D
R. Chikhaoui
D
18
R. Elloumi
F
R. Elloumi
F
22
S. Ben Hsan
G
S. Ben Hsan
G
26
S. Tounekti
24'
F
S. Tounekti
24'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Isak
F · Sweden
8.90
1 ⚽ 2 👟
2 shots
· 17 pass
Y. Ayari
M · Sweden
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 27 pass
V. Gyökeres
F · Sweden
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 19 pass
H. Mejbri
M · Tunisia
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 54 pass
M. Svanberg
M · Sweden
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
G. Gudmundsson
M · Sweden
7.20
· 23 pass
Sweden — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Nordfeldt | G | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| V. Lindelöf | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Hien | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Lagerbielke | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 38% | — | — | — |
| J. Karlström | M | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Gudmundsson | M | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Ayari | M | 96 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 2 | 27 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Nygren | M | 65 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| A. Bernhardsson | M | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Isak | F | 91 | 8.90 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Gyökeres | F | 96 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| A. Elanga | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Svensson | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| E. Stroud | M | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Bergvall | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Svanberg | M | 12 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Tunisia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Abdelmouhib | G | 96 | 4.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Abdi | D | 96 | 5.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ben Hmida | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 45% | 6 | — | — |
| M. Talbi | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Rekik | D | 96 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 47 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Valery | D | 72 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| H. Mejbri | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 54 | 37% | 5 | — | — |
| E. Skhiri | M | 72 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Khedira | M | 83 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Ben Slimane | F | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | — | — | — |
| E. Saad | F | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Achouri | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| F. Chaouat | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| H. Mahmoud | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Ismaël Gharbi | F | 13 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. Tounekti | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sweden vs Tunisia?
The final score was Sweden 5–1 Tunisia.
What did the model predict before Sweden vs Tunisia?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Sweden win, 29% to a draw, and 24% to an Tunisia win.